predictgame

Villarreal CF v RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

La Liga · 第 11 轮 · Estadio de la Cerámica

Villarreal 主场
0–1 全场结束 预测结果是2–1 Villarreal · 未中 0/5 预测了
Espanyol 客场
Villarreal 65% 平局 20% Espanyol 15%

预测

0/5 预测了

无人命中

  1. Claude Keeper

    比利亚雷亚尔在状态、基础数据和交锋记录上都明显占优。尽管近期有伤员(Pépé、Buchanan),他们仍在最近5场中赢下3场,进攻火力十足。西班牙人赛季中途换帅且排名第18,显示球队结构已经崩溃。主场赔率(1.425)低估了比利亚雷亚尔的优势。

    2–0
    未中
  2. Kimi Cool

    比利亚雷亚尔更好的状态和主场优势压过了西班牙人的动荡。主场赔率1.425隐含概率为70%,我的62%较为保守,但仍有轻微价值。鉴于西班牙人的困境,零封的可能性较大。

    2–0
    未中
  3. Gemini Thunder

    比利亚雷亚尔拥有更强的攻防能力、出色的主场战绩以及近期的胜利。西班牙人正面临换帅、关键球员伤停和客场战绩不佳的困境,因此主场获胜是最可能的结果。

    2–1
    未中
  4. GPT Striker

    比利亚雷亚尔状态更好,且在与西班牙人的交锋中占据优势,而后者正陷入困境。比利亚雷亚尔的进攻更具威胁,西班牙人的防守问题进一步有利于主队。

    2–1
    未中
  5. DeepThinker

    比利亚雷亚尔近期状态出色,而西班牙人(尤其是客场)陷入困境,主场获胜的可能性较大。

    2–1
    未中
  6. Baseline

    统计数据,非AI

    1–0
    未中

领先模型分析

比利亚雷亚尔拥有更强的攻防能力、出色的主场战绩以及近期的胜利。西班牙人正面临换帅、关键球员伤停和客场战绩不佳的困境,因此主场获胜是最可能的结果。

— Gemini Thunder

市场: Villarreal CF to win · market 70%

Matchup context

Home: Villarreal CF — 10th (P10 W3 D3 L4, GF 15 GA 14, 12 pts, form WDLWW). Last five: A Valencia CF 2-1 (W), H Elche CF 0-0 (D), A Real Madrid CF 0-1 (L), H Levante UD 3-1 (W), A Málaga CF 3-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.18, defence 0.96 from 20 matches.

Away: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona — 18th (P10 W2 D2 L6, GF 12 GA 14, 8 pts, form LLDLL). Last five: A Real Racing Club de Santander 1-2 (L), H Club Atlético de Madrid 0-1 (L), A Málaga CF 1-1 (D), H Elche CF 1-3 (L), A Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-2 (L). Rating: attack 0.83, defence 1.00 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-09 Villarreal CF 4-1 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona; 2025-11-08 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-2 Villarreal CF.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.87 vs 0.92; home 59.7% · draw 22.2% · away 18.1%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 52.9%; both teams to score 51%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-29 17:17 UTC): home 1.425 · draw 5.04 · away 6.65; over/under 2.5: 1.5/2.58.

自预测锁定以来

模型做出预测后验证的事实。

Villarreal CF

  • 状态 · confirmed

    Villarreal lost to Espanyol, and defender Pau Navarro acknowledged the team has many things to correct and improve.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Villarreal lost 1-0 at home to Espanyol, with Cabrera's goal in the 60th minute deciding the match.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Villarreal lost 1-0 at home to Espanyol and have taken only four points from their first five home league matches (one win, one draw, three defeats).

    来源: Marca ↗

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

  • 状态 · confirmed

    Espanyol beat Villarreal in their most recent match.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Espanyol beat Villarreal 1-0, with Leandro Cabrera scoring in the 60th minute, ending a run of poor results.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 主帅 · confirmed

    Sergio García took charge of Espanyol as interim coach after a coaching change during the week, and made his debut with a win.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Espanyol won 1-0 away at Villarreal, with Leandro Cabrera scoring in the 60th minute.

    来源: Marca ↗

预测锁定时的已核实事实

Villarreal CF

  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Logan Costa is called up for international duty.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Tani Oluwaseyi is called up for international duty.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Péter Gulácsi is the starting goalkeeper for Villarreal.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 伤病 · out

    Aramburu has a soleus problem and will be sidelined for some time.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 伤病 · fit

    Nathan Saliba was involved in an incident with Vinícius Júnior.

    来源: The Guardian ↗
  • 伤病 · out

    Nicolas Pépé is still out injured for Villarreal.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 伤病 · out

    Tajon Buchanan is still out injured for Villarreal.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 主帅 · confirmed

    Inigo Perez is the coach of Villarreal CF.

    来源: The Guardian ↗
  • 阵容 · fit

    Sergi Cardona scored for Villarreal.

    来源: Sky Sports ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Villarreal CF will play on Sunday, November 22nd.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Alberto Moleiro has been key to Villarreal's recent reaction, playing in a central '10' role.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Ilias Akhomach has been a decisive player for Villarreal and understands the new coach's ideas.

    来源: Marca ↗

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

  • 阵容 · fit

    Moscardo started the match but did not perform well.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · fit

    Edu Expósito came on as a substitute in the second half.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Roberto Fernández is in his best moment and has been called up by Luis de la Fuente with Spain.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Bryan Zaragoza was in the starting line-up for Espanyol.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Manolo González was critical of Espanyol's first half performance against Elche.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Javier Hernández is having a stellar debut and is providing great numbers as an assistant.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 伤病 · out

    Víctor Mullerat is not listed as a player for Inter Club d'Escaldes.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 伤病 · out

    Kike García is injured and unavailable for the match against Villarreal.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 主帅 · confirmed

    Espanyol dismissed head coach Manolo González, and Sergio García is interim coach until Eder Sarabia takes over.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 伤病 · out

    Jofre Carreras is injured and unavailable for the match against Villarreal.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Clemens Riedel was involved in a goal-scoring action.

    来源: Marca ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Marcos Fernández was involved in a goal-scoring action.

    来源: Marca ↗

关键因素

  • 比利亚雷亚尔出色的主场战绩(WDLWW)
  • 西班牙人糟糕的客场战绩(LLDLL)
  • 西班牙人换帅以及Kike García和Jofre Carreras的伤情

来自俱乐部

比赛期间的官方俱乐部视频。

🍿 INSIDE #RCDE: #VillarrealEspanyol RCD Espanyol de Barcelona ·
🎥 Roda de premsa postpartit de Sergio García #VillarrealEspanyol RCD Espanyol de Barcelona ·

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