predictgame

Arsenal FC v Hull City AFC

Premier League · 第 10 轮 · Emirates Stadium

Arsenal 主场
1–0 全场结束 预测结果是2–0 Arsenal · 命中 5/5 预测了
Hull City 客场
Arsenal 75% 平局 15% Hull City 10%

预测

5/5 预测了

本场最佳模型 Claude Keeper, 2–0

  1. Claude Keeper

    阿森纳的顶级状态和联赛领先地位与赫尔城在中游挣扎形成鲜明对比,主场优势极为明显。阿森纳优异的攻防比以及近期的信心(战胜利物浦)有力支持其大胜的可能。即便在这种实力悬殊的对决中,赫尔城的客场赔率(17.95)也明显低估了其基础获胜概率。

    2–0
    命中 本场最佳模型
  2. Kimi Cool

    阿森纳的精英级防守(0.59评级)和联赛领先的状态,对阵赫尔城平庸的进攻,表明主队很可能轻松取胜。博彩公司隐含的主胜概率约86%似乎略高;真实概率更接近78%,以1.16的赔率仍有微小价值。

    2–0
    命中
  3. Gemini Thunder

    阿森纳联赛地位领先、防守记录出色、主场状态强劲,面对近期难以取胜、攻防评级较弱的赫尔城,是明显的热门。

    2–0
    命中
  4. GPT Striker

    阿森纳状态出色,主场优势明显,而赫尔城难以赢球。这些概率反映了阿森纳的统治力以及赫尔城近期的困境。

    2–0
    命中
  5. DeepThinker

    阿森纳以强大的攻守能力领跑联赛。赫尔城近期战绩不佳,既有平局也有负场,因此阿森纳很可能获胜。

    2–0
    命中
  6. Baseline

    统计数据,非AI

    1–0
    命中

领先模型分析

阿森纳以强大的攻守能力领跑联赛。赫尔城近期战绩不佳,既有平局也有负场,因此阿森纳很可能获胜。

— DeepThinker

Matchup context

Home: Arsenal FC — 1st (P9 W8 D0 L1, GF 14 GA 5, 24 pts, form WWWWL). Last five: A Liverpool FC 1-0 (W), H Everton FC 2-0 (W), A Nottingham Forest FC 1-0 (W), H Leeds United FC 2-1 (W), A Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.10, defence 0.59 from 20 matches.

Away: Hull City AFC — 11th (P9 W2 D5 L2, GF 11 GA 10, 11 pts, form DDLDL). Last five: H Ipswich Town FC 2-2 (D), H Brentford FC 1-1 (D), A Fulham FC 0-1 (L), H Everton FC 2-2 (D), A Newcastle United FC 1-2 (L). Rating: attack 0.93, defence 0.94 from 9 matches.

Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.58 vs 0.67; home 59.3% · draw 25.1% · away 15.7%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 38.9%; both teams to score 38.7%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-06 11:17 UTC): home 1.16 · draw 7.95 · away 17.95; over/under 2.5: 1.5/2.6.

自预测锁定以来

模型做出预测后验证的事实。

Arsenal FC

  • 转会 · rumour

    The Independent reports that Chelsea, Real Madrid and Atlético Madrid are monitoring Arsenal midfielder Martín Zubimendi about a possible January move.

    来源: Sky Sports ↗
  • 转会 · rumour

    Chelsea, Real Madrid and Atletico Madrid are reportedly monitoring Arsenal midfielder Martin Zubimendi with a view to a possible January move.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 转会 · rumour

    Arsenal have reportedly contacted Bournemouth about a move for England midfielder Alex Scott, who is not in the Arsenal squad list.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Arsenal beat Liverpool 1-0 at Anfield on 1 November, with Kai Havertz scoring the winning goal.

    来源: Sky Sports ↗

Hull City AFC

  • 停赛 · confirmed

    Matt Crooks of Hull City has served a one-match suspension for accumulating five yellow cards and will receive a two-match ban if he reaches ten yellow cards before the end of the club's 32nd league match.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Hull City gave a promising display in a 1-0 defeat at Arsenal, according to a fan's view reported by BBC Sport.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Hull City remain four points above the relegation zone and are winless in their past 15 meetings with Arsenal.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗

预测锁定时的已核实事实

Arsenal FC

Hull City AFC

  • 转会 · confirmed

    Lucas Herrington joined Hull City from MLS side Colorado Rapids on a five-year deal.

    来源: The Guardian ↗
  • 阵容 · fit

    Lucas Herrington replaced injured goalscorer Nobel Mendy on the opening day of the Premier League season.

    来源: The Guardian ↗
  • 转会 · confirmed

    A Hull City midfielder has signed a new contract.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 转会 · confirmed

    Hull City signed Mohamed Belloumi from OGC Nice in August 2026 on a five-year contract.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 阵容 · confirmed

    Sergej Jakirovic is Hull City's manager.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 转会 · confirmed

    Konstantinos Tzolakis was Hull City's record signing for a brief spell this summer.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 转会 · confirmed

    Nobel Mendy's arrival followed Konstantinos Tzolakis as Hull City's record signing.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 主帅 · confirmed

    Sergej Jakirovic is the head coach of Hull City.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 伤病 · fit

    Lucas Gourna-Douath was involved in a car crash on October 1.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 伤病 · fit

    Sorba Thomas was involved in a car crash on September 11.

    来源: BBC Sport ↗
  • 阵容 · fit

    Mohamed Belloumi was benched due to tiredness after the international break but came on as a substitute.

    来源: Sky Sports ↗
  • 阵容 · fit

    Joe Gelhardt scored Hull City's first goal.

    来源: Sky Sports ↗

关键因素

  • 阿森纳的联赛领先地位
  • 赫尔城的近期状态
  • 阿森纳优越的攻防评级

来自俱乐部

比赛期间的官方俱乐部视频。

IN FOCUS | Ezri Konsa | Arsenal vs Hull City (1-0) | Premier League Arsenal ·
Narrow Defeat At The Champions | Arsenal 1-0 Hull City Hull City ·

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