Matchup context
Home: Crystal Palace FC — 18th (P9 W2 D1 L6, GF 9 GA 21, 7 pts, form LLLWD). Last five: A Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-2 (L), H Newcastle United FC 0-2 (L), A Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0-5 (L), H Nottingham Forest FC 3-1 (W), A Leeds United FC 0-0 (D). Rating: attack 0.81, defence 1.38 from 20 matches.
Away: Liverpool FC — 6th (P9 W4 D3 L2, GF 11 GA 9, 15 pts, form LWWLW). Last five: H Arsenal FC 0-1 (L), H Brighton & Hove Albion FC 2-0 (W), A Brentford FC 2-1 (W), H Manchester City FC 0-3 (L), A AFC Bournemouth 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.01, defence 0.94 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-04-25 Liverpool FC 3-1 Crystal Palace FC; 2025-09-27 Crystal Palace FC 2-1 Liverpool FC.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.17 vs 1.70; home 26.2% · draw 24% · away 49.8%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 54.5%; both teams to score 56.2%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-07 17:17 UTC): home 5.54 · draw 4.4 · away 1.56; over/under 2.5: 1.55/2.5.