Matchup context
Home: Eintracht Frankfurt — 9th (P3 W1 D1 L1, GF 7 GA 8, 4 pts, form WLD). Last five: A 1. FSV Mainz 05 3-1 (W), H FC Augsburg 1-4 (L), A 1. FC Union Berlin 3-3 (D), H VfB Stuttgart 2-2 (D), A Borussia Dortmund 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.03, defence 1.13 from 20 matches.
Away: SC Freiburg — 1st (P3 W3 D0 L0, GF 10 GA 1, 9 pts, form WWW). Last five: H Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-0 (W), A SC Paderborn 07 1-0 (W), H SV Werder Bremen 4-1 (W), H RB Leipzig 4-1 (W), A Hamburger SV 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.13, defence 0.89 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-01 Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 SC Freiburg; 2025-10-19 SC Freiburg 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.68 vs 1.86; home 35.2% · draw 22% · away 42.8%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 68.7%; both teams to score 68.7%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-18 11:17 UTC): home 2.315 · draw 3.85 · away 2.705; over/under 2.5: 1.44/2.75.