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Football Predictions

Gameweek 4 • Bundesliga

🏟️ Deutsche Bank Park

Eintracht Frankfurt

Home Club

Sat 19 Sept, 15:30 CEST

1-2

Predicted Outcome

Away Win (4.3/10)

SC Freiburg

Away Club

Eintracht Frankfurt (35%) Draw (22%) SC Freiburg (43%)

Predict Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg

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Recommended Value Angle

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.68 vs 1.86, outcome probabilities 35.2/22.0/42.8.

🤖AI Predictor Arena

⚡ SPLIT DECISION

📊

Baseline STAT

1-2Away Win

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.68 vs 1.86, outcome probabilities 35.2/22.0/42.8.

4.3/10

📊 Baseline

Value Pick:

🎭

Claude Keeper

2-1Home Win CONTRARIAN

Freiburg's perfect start, superior ratings, and clinical finishing (10 goals, 1 conceded) suggest away value despite home odds of 2.315. Frankfurt's defensive vulnerabilities (1.13 rating, 8 GA in 3 matches) exposed by Freiburg's potent attack. Home win probability 38% exceeds implied 43%, but Freiburg favoured overall.

3.8/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:Eintracht Frankfurt to win @ 2.315

🧊

Kimi Cool

1-2Away Win

Freiburg's perfect start, elite defensive record, and superior ratings outweigh home advantage. Bookmaker away odds 2.705 imply 37%, my 40% offers value.

4.0/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:SC Freiburg to win @ 2.705

⚡

Gemini Thunder

1-2Away Win

Freiburg is in exceptional form, leading the league with a perfect record and strong goal difference. Frankfurt's recent home loss and lower ratings suggest an uphill battle. Freiburg's away odds offer value.

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:SC Freiburg to win @ 2.705

🎯

GPT Striker

1-2Away Win

SC Freiburg is in excellent form, winning all their matches, while Eintracht Frankfurt has shown defensive vulnerabilities. Freiburg's attack is potent, suggesting they will likely secure a win.

5.5/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:SC Freiburg to win @ 2.705

🧠

DeepThinker

2-1Home Win CONTRARIAN

Eintracht Frankfurt's recent win and home advantage balance SC Freiburg's strong form and head-to-head record.

4.0/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:Eintracht Frankfurt to win @ 2.315

Matchup context

Home: Eintracht Frankfurt — 9th (P3 W1 D1 L1, GF 7 GA 8, 4 pts, form WLD). Last five: A 1. FSV Mainz 05 3-1 (W), H FC Augsburg 1-4 (L), A 1. FC Union Berlin 3-3 (D), H VfB Stuttgart 2-2 (D), A Borussia Dortmund 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.03, defence 1.13 from 20 matches.

Away: SC Freiburg — 1st (P3 W3 D0 L0, GF 10 GA 1, 9 pts, form WWW). Last five: H Borussia Mönchengladbach 5-0 (W), A SC Paderborn 07 1-0 (W), H SV Werder Bremen 4-1 (W), H RB Leipzig 4-1 (W), A Hamburger SV 2-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.13, defence 0.89 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-01 Eintracht Frankfurt 2-0 SC Freiburg; 2025-10-19 SC Freiburg 2-2 Eintracht Frankfurt.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.68 vs 1.86; home 35.2% · draw 22% · away 42.8%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 68.7%; both teams to score 68.7%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-18 11:17 UTC): home 2.315 · draw 3.85 · away 2.705; over/under 2.5: 1.44/2.75.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

Eintracht Frankfurt

Form · confirmed

Eintracht Frankfurt is considered SC Freiburg's toughest test so far this season.

Source: Kicker ↗

SC Freiburg

Form · confirmed

SC Freiburg has a poor historical record against Eintracht Frankfurt.

Source: Kicker ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

Eintracht Frankfurt

Transfer · confirmed

Noel Aseko Nkili has joined Eintracht Frankfurt from Hannover.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Elias Baum is expected to make his first Bundesliga start.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Lilian Brassier made his Bundesliga debut for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Mario Götze returned to the starting XI for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Lilian Brassier is a new signing for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Source: Kicker ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Julian Etse has received a professional contract from Eintracht Frankfurt.

Source: Kicker ↗

Manager · confirmed

Adi Hütter is the current head coach of Eintracht Frankfurt.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Jeremiaha Maluze started for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Form · confirmed

Can Uzun scored two goals for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Form · confirmed

Noah Atubolu saved his sixth consecutive Bundesliga penalty.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Younes Ebnoutalib moved to Eintracht Frankfurt in January on a contract until June 30, 2031.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Injury · out

Younes Ebnoutalib suffered a knee ligament injury in his second appearance for Eintracht Frankfurt.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

SC Freiburg

Line-up · confirmed

Maximilian Eggestein scored the only goal for Freiburg.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Yuito Suzuki scored a hat-trick in the first Bundesliga match of the season against Werder Bremen.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Maximilian Eggestein's contract extension was announced.

Source: Kicker ↗

Form · fit

Yannik Engelhardt scored twice and led the home side's shot count with four attempts.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Form · fit

Maximilian Eggestein completed the scoring.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Form · confirmed

Matthias Ginter has provided three league assists for Freiburg.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Return · fit

Yannik Engelhardt has returned to central midfield for Freiburg.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Form · confirmed

Igor Matanovic has scored six goals in his last six competitive outings for Freiburg.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Injury · fit

Maj Schneider, a Freiburg player, won the Fritz-Walter-Medal in gold for the 2007 age group.

Source: Kicker ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Igor Matanovic was a double scorer in the match against Gladbach.

Source: Kicker ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Yannik Engelhardt scored twice for SC Freiburg against Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Matthias Ginter made two assists for SC Freiburg against Borussia Mönchengladbach.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Key Tactical Factors

Expected goals 1.68 vs 1.86 from attack and defence ratings
Over 2.5 goals 68.7%, both teams to score 68.7%
Most likely score 1-2 given the away win

Public Audit Promise

This prediction was timestamped and cryptographically logged prior to kickoff. Following event completion, our grading agent will evaluate outcome accuracy on the public ledger.

Check Historic Track Record →

From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

SALLI - das SC-Magazin: vor Frankfurt SC Freiburg · 18 Sept 2026

PK vor Frankfurt SC Freiburg · 17 Sept 2026

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