Matchup context
Home: Real Betis Balompié — 3rd (P7 W5 D1 L1, GF 9 GA 7, 16 pts, form DWWWL). Last five: A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 (D), H Getafe CF 1-0 (W), A Villarreal CF 2-1 (W), H Real Madrid CF 1-0 (W), A Levante UD 2-5 (L). Rating: attack 1.03, defence 0.90 from 20 matches.
Away: CA Osasuna — 14th (P7 W2 D2 L3, GF 6 GA 13, 8 pts, form DLLLW). Last five: H Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 (D), A Club Atlético de Madrid 0-4 (L), H RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-2 (L), A Deportivo Alavés 2-5 (L), H Getafe CF 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.77, defence 1.23 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-04-12 CA Osasuna 1-1 Real Betis Balompié; 2025-09-28 Real Betis Balompié 2-0 CA Osasuna.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.01 vs 0.80; home 65.6% · draw 20.3% · away 14%; most likely score 2-0; over 2.5 goals 53.4%; both teams to score 47.8%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-10 17:17 UTC): home 1.5 · draw 4.4 · away 6.05; over/under 2.5: 1.73/2.1.