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Brazilian Grand Prix 2026: Race Prediction & Podium Forecast

Formula 1 World Championship · Round 20 · Autódromo José Carlos Pace

RBR Konstrukteur
P1 NOR · P2 VER · P3 HAD Endstand Die Prognose war P1 VER · P2 ANT · P3 LEC RBR · DANEBEN 0 von 5 haben es getippt
MER Rivale

Die Vorhersagen

0 von 5 haben es getippt

Niemand lag richtig

  1. Claude Keeper

    Antonellis Formkurve an der Tabellenspitze und seine stärkste Konstanz über alle Sitzungen verschaffen ihm den Vorteil. Verstappens Qualifikationstempo und seine jüngsten Rennsiege machen ihn zum wichtigsten Herausforderer. Mercedes setzt sich von der Konkurrenz ab, doch Russells Startplatzstrafe und Hamiltons geringere Laufleistung im FP3 (7 Runden) sorgen für Unsicherheit im Kampf von Ferrari um Platz zwei in der Konstrukteurswertung.

    P1 ANT · P2 VER · P3 NOR
    TREFFER
  2. Kimi Cool

    Antonelli führt die WM mit 81 Punkten Vorsprung und zeigte in allen drei Trainings dominantes Tempo. Verstappens jüngste Form und starke Long-Run-Pace im FP2 machen ihn zur Hauptgefahr. Russells Startplatzstrafe und Norris' Updates sorgen für einen Podiumskampf.

    P1 ANT · P2 VER · P3 NOR
    TREFFER
  3. Gemini Thunder

    Antonelli zeigte im Training starkes Tempo und war im FP2 Schnellster. Verstappen war durchgehend schnell. Norris schnitt ebenfalls gut ab und profitierte von McLarens Updates. Russells Startplatzstrafe wird seine Chancen trotz guten Tempos schmälern.

    P1 ANT · P2 VER · P3 NOR
    TREFFER
  4. GPT Striker

    Antonellis Tempo im Training spricht für ihn, während Verstappens jüngste Form ihn im Rennen hält. Hamiltons Erfahrung und Konstanz machen ihn zu einem starken Podiumskandidaten.

    P1 ANT · P2 VER · P3 HAM
    TREFFER
  5. DeepThinker

    Verstappen und Antonelli zeigten im Training 2 starkes Tempo. Die Mercedes-Updates scheinen zu greifen, und Red Bulls jüngste Form ist solide.

    P1 VER · P2 ANT · P3 NOR
    TREFFER
  6. Baseline

    Statistik, keine KI

    P1 VER · P2 ANT · P3 LEC
    TREFFER

Was das Lead-Modell gesehen hat

Punkteanteil-Basis über die letzten 5 Rennen: P1 VER · P2 ANT · P3 LEC.

Race context

Alpine F1 Team — P6, 78 pts, 0 wins. GAS (P10); COL (no recent finishes).

Aston Martin — P10, 7 pts, 0 wins. ALO (P8); STR (no recent finishes).

Audi — P8, 27 pts, 0 wins. BOR (P8); HUL (P8).

Cadillac F1 Team — P11, 0 pts, 0 wins. BOT (no recent finishes); PER (no recent finishes).

Ferrari — P2, 504 pts, 2 wins. HAM (P2, P4, P6, P3, P6); LEC (P4, P2, P2, P4, P4).

Haas F1 Team — P7, 30 pts, 0 wins. BEA (P9); OCO (P8); HIR (P10).

McLaren — P4, 363 pts, 2 wins. NOR (P5, P5, P4, P9); PIA (P7, P5, P6).

Mercedes — P1, 630 pts, 12 wins. ANT (P3, P1, P3, P2, P5); RUS (P6, P8, P9, P1).

RB F1 Team — P5, 104 pts, 0 wins. LAW (P7, P9, P7, P7); LIN (P10, P7); TSU (no recent finishes).

Red Bull — P3, 379 pts, 3 wins. VER (P1, P3, P1, P1, P2); HAD (P9, P6, P10, P5, P3); LAW (P7, P9, P7, P7).

Williams — P9, 12 pts, 0 wins. SAI (P10); ALB (no recent finishes).

Points-share baseline (points-share-v1): ANT 17.1% · BOR 2.3% · HAD 6% · HAM 13.4% · LAW 5.1%.

Startaufstellung

Abgeleitet von Qualifikation und Rennstrafen; die offizielle Startaufstellung kann abweichen.

PosFahrerTeamQ3AbstandNotizen
P1 Lando Norris NOR McLaren 87.470 —
P2 George Russell RUS Mercedes 87.674 +0.204
P3 Andrea Kimi Antonelli ANT Mercedes 88.095 +0.625
P4 Charles Leclerc LEC Ferrari 88.289 +0.819
P5 Liam Lawson LAW Red Bull 88.321 +0.851
P6 Nico Hülkenberg HUL Audi 88.668 +1.198
P7 Isack Hadjar HAD Red Bull 88.763 +1.293
P8 Oliver Bearman BEA Haas F1 Team 89.831 +2.361
P9 Fernando Alonso ALO Aston Martin 90.311 +2.841
P10 Alexander Albon ALB Williams 90.456 +2.986
P11 Lewis Hamilton HAM Ferrari — +3.256
P12 Oscar Piastri PIA McLaren — +3.624
P13 CAM CAM — +4.770
P14 Arvid Lindblad LIN RB F1 Team — +4.942
P15 Carlos Sainz SAI Williams — +5.040
P16 Max Verstappen VER Red Bull — +0.299
P17 Franco Colapinto COL Alpine F1 Team — +2.388
P18 Pierre Gasly GAS Alpine F1 Team — +2.510
P19 Lance Stroll STR Aston Martin — +2.714
P20 Valtteri Bottas BOT Cadillac F1 Team — +2.835
P21 Sergio Pérez PER Cadillac F1 Team — +3.570
P22 Gabriel Bortoleto BOR Audi — +10.625

Verlauf des Rennens

Schnellste Runde
Andrea Kimi Antonelli · 72.689s (L55)
Safety Cars
0 + 0 virtuell
Boxenstopps
58 · 20 klassifiziert
Luft / Strecke
16.1°C / 24.8°C · rain
Strategien der Podiumsplatzierten
  • Lando Norris intermediate (16) → soft (33) → soft (13) → intermediate (9)
  • Max Verstappen intermediate (17) → soft (28) → soft (17) → intermediate (9)
  • Isack Hadjar intermediate (16) → soft (34) → soft (12) → intermediate (9)

Podiumsprognose

ModellP1P2P3Siegwahrscheinlichkeit
BaselineStatistik, keine KI VERANTLEC 21.1%
Claude Keeper ANTVERNOR 28%
Kimi Cool ANTVERNOR 35%
Gemini Thunder ANTVERNOR 35%
GPT Striker ANTVERHAM 35%
DeepThinker VERANTNOR 40%

Seit die Vorhersage gesperrt wurde

Überprüfte Fakten, die nach der Entscheidung der Modelle eintraten.

Aston Martin

  • Form · confirmed

    Fernando Alonso lost six places at the start of the Brazilian Grand Prix after running wide at Turn 3 and passed Lewis Hamilton's Ferrari later in the race.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Lance Stroll retired from the Brazilian Grand Prix in the Aston Martin, his 14th retirement of the season.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗

Audi

  • Form · confirmed

    Nico Hulkenberg took the final point in Sao Paulo after a 10-second time penalty for going off track in his battle with Franco Colapinto.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Gabriel Bortoleto crashed his Audi in qualifying Q1 at his home race in Sao Paulo, putting him on the back foot for the weekend.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗

Ferrari

  • Form · confirmed

    Ferrari team principal Fred Vasseur said the FIA's red-flag call during Brazilian qualifying was the right one and that the extreme wet tyres are now more usable.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Charles Leclerc was given a five-second post-race time penalty for his contact with Liam Lawson at Turn 12 and was classified eighth instead of seventh at the Brazilian Grand Prix.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Lewis Hamilton said he and Charles Leclerc have settled their tensions after their clash at the Mexico Grand Prix, and that they will move on.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Charles Leclerc said the conflict with Lewis Hamilton is resolved and he considers the matter a closed chapter.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗

McLaren

  • Upgrade · confirmed

    McLaren brought some new parts to the Sao Paulo Grand Prix, which combined with circuit characteristics helped their performance.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Lando Norris won the Sao Paulo Grand Prix from pole position, benefiting from Kimi Antonelli's spin at Turn One, and McLaren returned to form after struggling in recent races.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Lando Norris won the Sao Paulo Grand Prix for McLaren, with the article noting the win came after errors by Antonelli and Russell.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Lando Norris won the Sao Paulo Grand Prix, his third win of the season, after regaining the lead when Antonelli spun at the first corner.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗

Mercedes

  • Upgrade · confirmed

    Mercedes was granted one additional power unit ICE upgrade for 2026 and one more for 2027 after the first ADUO period, and the later ADUO reviews made no change to this.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    George Russell finished fourth at the Sao Paulo Grand Prix.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Mercedes clinched the constructors' championship for the first time since 2021 at the Sao Paulo Grand Prix.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Kimi Antonelli finished fifth at the Sao Paulo Grand Prix.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗

Red Bull

  • Upgrade · confirmed

    Red Bull Ford Powertrains received no additional ADUO concessions, so it effectively faces an engine freeze while rival manufacturers can keep upgrading their power units.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Liam Lawson finished ninth in the Austin race, then seventh in Mexico and seventh in Brazil during the Americas triple-header with Racing Bulls.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Transfer · rumour

    A report from The Race, which Autosport understands is accurate, says Liam Lawson is set to stay with Racing Bulls for 2027 and Nikola Tsolov will join as a reserve driver, but the decision is not yet signed off.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Isack Hadjar finished third in Sao Paulo, delivering another podium for Red Bull.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗

Williams

  • Form · confirmed

    Alexander Albon finished 15th in the Brazilian Grand Prix and said the wet-weather tyres were difficult to fire up and wore quickly.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗

Schlüsselfaktoren

  • Gewichteter Punkteanteil über die letzten 5 Rennen
  • Favorit VER mit 21.1%

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