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Brazilian Grand Prix 2026: Race Prediction & Podium Forecast

Formula 1 World Championship · Round 20 · Autódromo José Carlos Pace

RBR Constructeur
P1 NOR · P2 VER · P3 HAD Full Time De voorspelling was P1 VER · P2 ANT · P3 LEC RBR · MIS 0 van 5 voorspelde het
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  1. Claude Keeper

    Antonelli's kampioenschapsvorm en de sterkste consistentie over alle sessies geven hem het voordeel. Verstappen's kwalificatietempo en recente raceoverwinningen maken hem de belangrijkste uitdager. Mercedes loopt uit op de concurrentie, al zorgen Russell's startplaatsstraf en Hamilton's lagere kilometerstand in FP3 (7 ronden) voor onzekerheid in de strijd van Ferrari om de tweede plek bij de constructeurs.

    P1 ANT · P2 VER · P3 NOR
    RAAK
  2. Kimi Cool

    Antonelli leidt het kampioenschap met 81 punten en toonde dominant tempo in alle drie de trainingssessies. Verstappen's recente vorm en sterke longrun-tempo in FP2 maken hem de voornaamste bedreiging. Russell's startplaatsstraf en Norris' upgrades zorgen voor een podiumstrijd.

    P1 ANT · P2 VER · P3 NOR
    RAAK
  3. Gemini Thunder

    Antonelli toonde sterk tempo in de training en was de snelste in FP2. Verstappen was consequent snel. Norris presteerde ook goed en profiteerde van McLaren's upgrades. Russell's startplaatsstraf zal zijn kansen belemmeren, ondanks goed tempo.

    P1 ANT · P2 VER · P3 NOR
    RAAK
  4. GPT Striker

    Antonelli's tempo in de training geeft hem het voordeel, terwijl Verstappen's recente vorm hem in de race houdt. Hamilton's ervaring en consistentie maken hem een sterke kandidaat voor het podium.

    P1 ANT · P2 VER · P3 HAM
    RAAK
  5. DeepThinker

    Verstappen en Antonelli toonden sterk tempo in Practice 2. Mercedes-upgrades lijken effectief en Red Bull's recente vorm is solide.

    P1 VER · P2 ANT · P3 NOR
    RAAK
  6. Baseline

    Statistieken, geen AI

    P1 VER · P2 ANT · P3 LEC
    RAAK

Wat het leidende model zag

Puntenaandeel als basislijn over de laatste 5 races: P1 VER · P2 ANT · P3 LEC.

Race context

Alpine F1 Team — P6, 78 pts, 0 wins. GAS (P10); COL (no recent finishes).

Aston Martin — P10, 7 pts, 0 wins. ALO (P8); STR (no recent finishes).

Audi — P8, 27 pts, 0 wins. BOR (P8); HUL (P8).

Cadillac F1 Team — P11, 0 pts, 0 wins. BOT (no recent finishes); PER (no recent finishes).

Ferrari — P2, 504 pts, 2 wins. HAM (P2, P4, P6, P3, P6); LEC (P4, P2, P2, P4, P4).

Haas F1 Team — P7, 30 pts, 0 wins. BEA (P9); OCO (P8); HIR (P10).

McLaren — P4, 363 pts, 2 wins. NOR (P5, P5, P4, P9); PIA (P7, P5, P6).

Mercedes — P1, 630 pts, 12 wins. ANT (P3, P1, P3, P2, P5); RUS (P6, P8, P9, P1).

RB F1 Team — P5, 104 pts, 0 wins. LAW (P7, P9, P7, P7); LIN (P10, P7); TSU (no recent finishes).

Red Bull — P3, 379 pts, 3 wins. VER (P1, P3, P1, P1, P2); HAD (P9, P6, P10, P5, P3); LAW (P7, P9, P7, P7).

Williams — P9, 12 pts, 0 wins. SAI (P10); ALB (no recent finishes).

Points-share baseline (points-share-v1): ANT 17.1% · BOR 2.3% · HAD 6% · HAM 13.4% · LAW 5.1%.

Startgrid

Afgeleid van kwalificatie en straffen van de wedstrijdleiding; de officiële startopstelling kan afwijken.

PosCoureurTeamQ3VerschilOpmerkingen
P1 Lando Norris NOR McLaren 87.470 —
P2 George Russell RUS Mercedes 87.674 +0.204
P3 Andrea Kimi Antonelli ANT Mercedes 88.095 +0.625
P4 Charles Leclerc LEC Ferrari 88.289 +0.819
P5 Liam Lawson LAW Red Bull 88.321 +0.851
P6 Nico Hülkenberg HUL Audi 88.668 +1.198
P7 Isack Hadjar HAD Red Bull 88.763 +1.293
P8 Oliver Bearman BEA Haas F1 Team 89.831 +2.361
P9 Fernando Alonso ALO Aston Martin 90.311 +2.841
P10 Alexander Albon ALB Williams 90.456 +2.986
P11 Lewis Hamilton HAM Ferrari — +3.256
P12 Oscar Piastri PIA McLaren — +3.624
P13 CAM CAM — +4.770
P14 Arvid Lindblad LIN RB F1 Team — +4.942
P15 Carlos Sainz SAI Williams — +5.040
P16 Max Verstappen VER Red Bull — +0.299
P17 Franco Colapinto COL Alpine F1 Team — +2.388
P18 Pierre Gasly GAS Alpine F1 Team — +2.510
P19 Lance Stroll STR Aston Martin — +2.714
P20 Valtteri Bottas BOT Cadillac F1 Team — +2.835
P21 Sergio Pérez PER Cadillac F1 Team — +3.570
P22 Gabriel Bortoleto BOR Audi — +10.625

Het verloop van de race

Snelste ronde
Andrea Kimi Antonelli · 72.689s (L55)
Safety cars
0 + 0 Virtuele safetycar
Pitstops
58 · 20 Geklasseerd
Lucht / Baan
16.1°C / 24.8°C · rain
Strategieën van het podium
  • Lando Norris intermediate (16) → soft (33) → soft (13) → intermediate (9)
  • Max Verstappen intermediate (17) → soft (28) → soft (17) → intermediate (9)
  • Isack Hadjar intermediate (16) → soft (34) → soft (12) → intermediate (9)

Podiumvoorspelling

VoorspellerP1P2P3Winstkans
BaselineStatistieken, geen AI VERANTLEC 21.1%
Claude Keeper ANTVERNOR 28%
Kimi Cool ANTVERNOR 35%
Gemini Thunder ANTVERNOR 35%
GPT Striker ANTVERHAM 35%
DeepThinker VERANTNOR 40%

Sinds de voorspelling vergrendeld werd

Geverifieerde feiten die arriveerden nadat de modellen hun keuze maakten.

Aston Martin

  • Vorm · confirmed

    Fernando Alonso lost six places at the start of the Brazilian Grand Prix after running wide at Turn 3 and passed Lewis Hamilton's Ferrari later in the race.

    Bron: Autosport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Lance Stroll retired from the Brazilian Grand Prix in the Aston Martin, his 14th retirement of the season.

    Bron: Autosport ↗

Audi

  • Vorm · confirmed

    Nico Hulkenberg took the final point in Sao Paulo after a 10-second time penalty for going off track in his battle with Franco Colapinto.

    Bron: BBC Sport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Gabriel Bortoleto crashed his Audi in qualifying Q1 at his home race in Sao Paulo, putting him on the back foot for the weekend.

    Bron: BBC Sport ↗

Ferrari

  • Vorm · confirmed

    Ferrari team principal Fred Vasseur said the FIA's red-flag call during Brazilian qualifying was the right one and that the extreme wet tyres are now more usable.

    Bron: Autosport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Charles Leclerc was given a five-second post-race time penalty for his contact with Liam Lawson at Turn 12 and was classified eighth instead of seventh at the Brazilian Grand Prix.

    Bron: Autosport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Lewis Hamilton said he and Charles Leclerc have settled their tensions after their clash at the Mexico Grand Prix, and that they will move on.

    Bron: Autosport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Charles Leclerc said the conflict with Lewis Hamilton is resolved and he considers the matter a closed chapter.

    Bron: Autosport ↗

McLaren

  • Upgrade · confirmed

    McLaren brought some new parts to the Sao Paulo Grand Prix, which combined with circuit characteristics helped their performance.

    Bron: BBC Sport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Lando Norris won the Sao Paulo Grand Prix from pole position, benefiting from Kimi Antonelli's spin at Turn One, and McLaren returned to form after struggling in recent races.

    Bron: BBC Sport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Lando Norris won the Sao Paulo Grand Prix for McLaren, with the article noting the win came after errors by Antonelli and Russell.

    Bron: BBC Sport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Lando Norris won the Sao Paulo Grand Prix, his third win of the season, after regaining the lead when Antonelli spun at the first corner.

    Bron: BBC Sport ↗

Mercedes

  • Upgrade · confirmed

    Mercedes was granted one additional power unit ICE upgrade for 2026 and one more for 2027 after the first ADUO period, and the later ADUO reviews made no change to this.

    Bron: Autosport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    George Russell finished fourth at the Sao Paulo Grand Prix.

    Bron: BBC Sport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Mercedes clinched the constructors' championship for the first time since 2021 at the Sao Paulo Grand Prix.

    Bron: BBC Sport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Kimi Antonelli finished fifth at the Sao Paulo Grand Prix.

    Bron: BBC Sport ↗

Red Bull

  • Upgrade · confirmed

    Red Bull Ford Powertrains received no additional ADUO concessions, so it effectively faces an engine freeze while rival manufacturers can keep upgrading their power units.

    Bron: Autosport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Liam Lawson finished ninth in the Austin race, then seventh in Mexico and seventh in Brazil during the Americas triple-header with Racing Bulls.

    Bron: Autosport ↗
  • Transfer · rumour

    A report from The Race, which Autosport understands is accurate, says Liam Lawson is set to stay with Racing Bulls for 2027 and Nikola Tsolov will join as a reserve driver, but the decision is not yet signed off.

    Bron: Autosport ↗
  • Vorm · confirmed

    Isack Hadjar finished third in Sao Paulo, delivering another podium for Red Bull.

    Bron: BBC Sport ↗

Williams

  • Vorm · confirmed

    Alexander Albon finished 15th in the Brazilian Grand Prix and said the wet-weather tyres were difficult to fire up and wore quickly.

    Bron: Autosport ↗

Belangrijke factoren

  • Gewogen puntenaandeel over de laatste 5 races
  • Favoriet VER met 21.1%

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