Matchup context
Home: Villarreal CF — 14th (P6 W1 D2 L3, GF 10 GA 11, 5 pts, form WLLLD). Last five: A Málaga CF 3-1 (W), H Real Betis Balompié 1-2 (L), H RC Deportivo La Coruña 2-3 (L), A Deportivo Alavés 0-1 (L), A Club Atlético de Madrid 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 1.28, defence 1.10 from 20 matches.
Away: Levante UD — 15th (P5 W1 D2 L2, GF 7 GA 9, 5 pts, form LDWDL). Last five: H FC Barcelona 2-4 (L), A Málaga CF 0-0 (D), H Real Betis Balompié 5-2 (W), A CA Osasuna 0-0 (D), A RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.07, defence 1.11 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-02 Villarreal CF 5-1 Levante UD; 2026-02-18 Levante UD 0-1 Villarreal CF.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.24 vs 1.36; home 57.5% · draw 20% · away 22.5%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 69.7%; both teams to score 66.4%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-19 17:17 UTC): home 1.5 · draw 4.75 · away 5.8; over/under 2.5: 1.49/2.6.