Gameweek 7 • La Liga
🏟️ Estadio de la Cerámica
2-1
预测赛果
Home Win (6.2/10)
Villarreal CF (62%) 平局 (22%) Levante UD (16%)

预测 Villarreal CF 对 Levante UD

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推荐价值投注
Villarreal CF to win @ 1.5

比利亚雷亚尔的进攻评级(1.28)超过了莱万特的防守(1.11),主胜赔率1.5意味着66.7%的概率——我的62%接近,但近期的状态回升和莱万特的伤病支持着热门。平局/客胜没有价值;主胜略有优势。

🤖AI专家预测擂台

✓ 5/5 共识
📊
Baseline STAT
2-1主胜

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 2.24 vs 1.36, outcome probabilities 57.5/20.0/22.5.

5.8/10
📊 基准模型
价值推介:
🎭
Claude Keeper
2-0主胜

比利亚雷亚尔近期的胜利和防守上的加强与莱万特的伤病危机和糟糕状态形成鲜明对比。主场优势、更优的评级和决定性的交锋记录支持比利亚雷亚尔轻松获胜。博彩公司赔率低估了主胜的概率。

6.8/10
🤖 LLM
价值推介:Villarreal CF to win @ 1.5
🧊
Kimi Cool
2-1主胜

比利亚雷亚尔的进攻评级(1.28)超过了莱万特的防守(1.11),主胜赔率1.5意味着66.7%的概率——我的62%接近,但近期的状态回升和莱万特的伤病支持着热门。平局/客胜没有价值;主胜略有优势。

6.2/10
🤖 LLM
价值推介:Villarreal CF to win @ 1.5
Gemini Thunder
2-1主胜

比利亚雷亚尔CF在最近获胜后状态更好,并且拥有更优的交锋记录。莱万特UD因伤病而受阻,这可能会影响他们的表现。主队的进攻也被评为更高。

5.5/10
🤖 LLM
价值推介:Villarreal CF to win @ 1.5
🎯
GPT Striker
2-1主胜

比利亚雷亚尔近期获胜并有一名球员回归,状态有所改善,而莱万特则饱受伤病困扰。他们的交锋记录对他们有利,这使得他们很可能获胜。

5.5/10
🤖 LLM
价值推介:Villarreal CF to win @ 1.5
🧠
DeepThinker
2-1主胜

比利亚雷亚尔近期获胜并且进攻数据更好,显示出进步。莱万特的防守问题和比利亚雷亚尔的历史统治地位表明主队将获胜。

5.5/10
🤖 LLM
价值推介:Villarreal CF to win @ 1.5

Matchup context

Home: Villarreal CF — 14th (P6 W1 D2 L3, GF 10 GA 11, 5 pts, form WLLLD). Last five: A Málaga CF 3-1 (W), H Real Betis Balompié 1-2 (L), H RC Deportivo La Coruña 2-3 (L), A Deportivo Alavés 0-1 (L), A Club Atlético de Madrid 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 1.28, defence 1.10 from 20 matches.

Away: Levante UD — 15th (P5 W1 D2 L2, GF 7 GA 9, 5 pts, form LDWDL). Last five: H FC Barcelona 2-4 (L), A Málaga CF 0-0 (D), H Real Betis Balompié 5-2 (W), A CA Osasuna 0-0 (D), A RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.07, defence 1.11 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-02 Villarreal CF 5-1 Levante UD; 2026-02-18 Levante UD 0-1 Villarreal CF.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.24 vs 1.36; home 57.5% · draw 20% · away 22.5%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 69.7%; both teams to score 66.4%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-19 17:17 UTC): home 1.5 · draw 4.75 · away 5.8; over/under 2.5: 1.49/2.6.

预测锁定时的已核实事实

Villarreal CF
伤病 · out

Logan Costa was out with a cruciate ligament injury.

来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · confirmed

Logan Costa has returned to the starting lineup for Villarreal CF.

来源: Marca ↗
伤病 · out

Juan Foyth was unavailable due to injury.

来源: Marca ↗
状态 · confirmed

Péter Gulácsi's saves prevented Villarreal CF's defensive statistic from being worse against Real Betis.

来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · confirmed

Málaga's coach Juan Funes warned that his team cannot speculate against Villarreal and needs to be effective in both areas.

来源: Marca ↗
状态 · fit

Villarreal has won after five matches without a win.

来源: Marca ↗
状态 · fit

Gerard Moreno has scored two goals this season.

来源: Marca ↗
状态 · fit

Nicolas Pépé has scored two goals this season.

来源: Marca ↗
主帅 · confirmed

Villarreal are in a process with a new coach, Inigo Perez.

来源: Marca ↗
状态 · fit

Pape Gueye has scored three goals from five shots on target this season.

来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · fit

Georges Mikautadze disputed taking a penalty with Pape Gueye.

来源: Marca ↗
转会 · rumour

Málaga's coach Juan Funes clarified that any new signing must provide immediate performance.

来源: Marca ↗
Levante UD
伤病 · out

Álex Primo is still recovering from knee surgery.

来源: Marca ↗
伤病 · out

Karl Etta Eyong is out due to a rectus femoris injury.

来源: Marca ↗
伤病 · out

Hugo Sotelo of Levante UD is out with a knee sprain.

来源: Marca ↗
停赛 · out

The match between Levante UD and Athletic Club has been suspended.

来源: Marca ↗
主帅 · confirmed

Levante UD's CEO, José Danvila, is preparing a letter to LaLiga president Javier Tebas.

来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · confirmed

Levante UD trained at the Ciutat de València stadium.

来源: Marca ↗
状态 · confirmed

Levante UD's coach is using the international break as a 'second pre-season' to organize and improve the team's play.

来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · confirmed

Jeremy Toljan was expected to offer more in the game than Nacho Pérez, who was substituted due to fatigue.

来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · fit

Aïssa Mandi spoke to the referee about an incident where a player allegedly hit him, without showing disrespect.

来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · confirmed

Dani Requena is considered one of the team's best players and is growing in form.

来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · fit

Roger Brugué missed some chances that he would normally score.

来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · fit

Thiago Fernandez had a clear chance in the first minute of the match.

来源: Marca ↗

关键战术因素

  • 比利亚雷亚尔以3-1客场战胜马拉加,结束了5场不胜的纪录
  • 莱万特因伤缺席 Álex Primo、Karl Etta Eyong 和 Hugo Sotelo
  • 交锋记录显示比利亚雷亚尔以5-1和1-0赢得了最近两次交锋

公开审计承诺

本预测在开赛前已通过时间戳加密记录。赛后,审计代理将在公开账本上评估预测准确性。

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