Match Overview
Tottenham Hotspur welcome Everton to the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in what promises to be a compelling Premier League encounter. Spurs, currently sitting 17th in the table with just one point from three games, are under pressure to secure their first victory of the season. Their form reads ‘DLL’ in the league, having drawn one and lost two, failing to score a single goal in the process. New head coach Roberto De Zerbi will be keen to ignite his team’s campaign. Everton, on the other hand, have enjoyed a solid start to the season, remaining unbeaten with one win and two draws, placing them 8th in the standings. Their recent form is ‘DDW’, indicating a resilient side under the guidance of David Moyes, who was reappointed as manager in January 2025 [1].
The home side will be without Richarlison, who has been omitted from Tottenham’s Premier League squad and is ineligible to play [2]. However, new signings like Sandro Tonali, Omar Marmoush, and Jon Paul Van Hecke all started against Nottingham Forest [3], and £85m signing Matheus Fernandes believes he can become a much better player at the club [4]. Everton’s squad has also seen significant activity, with Tyrique George signing permanently [5], and Ainsley Maitland-Niles returning to English football as a deadline-day signing from Lyon [6]. Jack Grealish has also returned to Everton on loan and made an impact [7].
Team News and Recent Form
Tottenham’s recent results show a struggle for goals, with a 0-0 draw against Nottingham Forest, and 0-2 and 0-3 losses to Newcastle and Brentford respectively. Despite these attacking woes, the team has seen some positive developments. Xavi Simons and Wilson Odobert were included in the 25-man Premier League squad despite recent injury concerns, suggesting they may be nearing a return to full fitness [2]. Mykhailo Mudryk also made his first competitive appearance in 645 days after a doping suspension, coming off the bench against Forest [8].
Everton’s form has been more encouraging, with draws against Manchester United (2-2) and AFC Bournemouth (1-1), and a 2-0 victory over Crystal Palace. Hayden Hackney, a summer signing from Middlesbrough [9], made a telling impact as a substitute in a recent match [10]. David Moyes has persisted with Merlin Röhl at right-back despite the addition of Maitland-Niles [The Guardian](https://www.theguardian.com/football/2026/sep/06/everton-manchester-united-premier-league-match-report], though Maitland-Niles is expected to play a role at right-back following Seamus Coleman’s retirement [6]. However, Thierno Barry has missed four big chances in the Premier League this season, highlighting a potential area for improvement in Everton’s attack [6].
Head-to-Head and Predictions
The head-to-head record between these two clubs in recent times shows a mixed bag. Tottenham secured a 1-0 home victory against Everton in May 2026, while Everton claimed a dominant 3-0 win at home in October 2025. This suggests that home advantage could play a significant role in this fixture. The models are largely in agreement regarding the outcome, with a narrow home win for Tottenham being the most common prediction. The ‘opus’ model, for instance, predicts a 1-0 home win, noting that Tottenham’s dire attacking form conflicts with their home advantage and recent head-to-head dominance. It suggests a modest edge to Spurs despite their poor form, with bookmaker odds potentially undervaluing the home side.
The ‘gemini-flash’ and ‘deep-thinker’ models also forecast a 1-0 home win, emphasizing Tottenham’s strong home record against Everton and the impact of a new coach, even with their current struggles. The ‘gpt-striker’ model is even more confident, predicting a 1-0 home win with a 55% probability, citing Tottenham’s strong recent record against Everton and the pressure to secure their first win. The ‘baseline’ Poisson model, however, leans towards an away win (43.0% probability) with a most likely score of 0-1, suggesting Everton’s superior attack rating and unbeaten run could be decisive. Overall, a low-scoring affair is anticipated, with the majority of predictions pointing towards a Tottenham victory.
What it means
Tottenham Hotspur, currently 17th with 1 point, are in desperate need of a win to kickstart their season. Their ‘DLL’ form reflects a team struggling to find the back of the net, having scored 0 goals and conceded 5 in their first three games. A victory against Everton would provide a much-needed boost in confidence and help them climb out of the relegation zone. The next fixture for Tottenham is away against Chelsea, a challenging encounter that further emphasizes the importance of securing points in this home game.
Everton, sitting 8th with 5 points, have had a more positive start to the season. Their ‘DDW’ form, with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded, indicates a balanced side. Maintaining their unbeaten run against Tottenham would solidify their position in the top half of the table and build momentum for the upcoming fixtures. Their next match is a home game against West Ham United, offering another opportunity to add to their points tally. For both teams, this match is crucial for their respective ambitions early in the season.
Sources
- BBC Sport: I've never spoken to Everton owner Friedkin - Moyes bbc.co.uk ↩
- BBC Sport: Richarlison omission not my decision - De Zerbi bbc.co.uk ↩
- BBC Sport: 'Not Football Manager' - De Zerbi says misfiring Spurs need time bbc.co.uk ↩
- Sky Sports: De Zerbi 'was the key' - Fernandes on his Spurs switch and trophy ambitions skysports.com ↩
- BBC Sport: Everton FC bbc.co.uk ↩
- BBC Sport: After transfer worries, Everton have an unlikely new hero bbc.co.uk ↩
- The Guardian: Premier League: 10 talking points from the weekend’s action theguardian.com ↩
- The Guardian: Glasner claims VAR was ‘guessing’ after Forest are denied winner against Spurs theguardian.com ↩
- BBC Sport: Everton FC bbc.co.uk ↩
- The Guardian: Maitland-Niles stunner rescues late point for Everton against Manchester United theguardian.com ↩