Gameweek 3 • Serie A
🏟️ Dacia Arena
Home Club

Udinese Calcio

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Predicted Outcome
1-0
Home Win (4.5/10)
Monday, 7 September 2026 at 20:45 CEST
Away Club

SS Lazio

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Udinese Calcio (45%) Draw (28%) SS Lazio (27%)
Recommended Value Angle

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.32 vs 0.95, outcome probabilities 45.0/28.0/27.0.

🤖AI Predictor Arena

⚡ SPLIT DECISION
📊
Baseline STAT
1-0Home Win CONTRARIAN

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.32 vs 0.95, outcome probabilities 45.0/28.0/27.0.

4.5/10
📊 Baseline
Value Pick:
🎭
Claude Keeper
1-2Away Win

Lazio's perfect start, defensive solidity, and Gattuso's tactical discipline favour the visitors despite Udinese's home advantage. Recent H2H shows competitive matches. Lazio's away odds offer value at 2.645 decimal.

4.0/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:SS Lazio to win @ 2.645
🧊
Kimi Cool
0-1Away Win

Lazio's strong defensive start (2 clean sheets) and better defensive rating edge them ahead. Away odds undervalue their form.

4.2/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:SS Lazio to win @ 2.645
Gemini Thunder
1-2Away Win

Lazio's perfect start and strong defense give them an edge. Udinese's attack is performing well, suggesting they can score, but Lazio's current form makes them slight favorites.

4.0/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:
🎯
GPT Striker
1-1Draw CONTRARIAN

Both teams have shown resilience, with Lazio maintaining a perfect start and Udinese scoring well. The recent head-to-head results suggest a likely draw.

3.5/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:Draw @ 3.1
🧠
DeepThinker
No answer

failed: score 1-1 disagrees with the most likely outcome (HOME_WIN)

0.0/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:

Matchup context

Home: Udinese Calcio — 9th (P2 W1 D1 L0, GF 4 GA 3, 4 pts, form WD). Last five: A AC Monza 3-2 (W), H Como 1907 1-1 (D), A SSC Napoli 0-1 (L), H US Cremonese 0-1 (L), A Cagliari Calcio 2-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.09, defence 0.85 from 20 matches.

Away: SS Lazio — 7th (P2 W2 D0 L0, GF 2 GA 0, 6 pts, form WW). Last five: H Genoa CFC 1-0 (W), A Bologna FC 1909 1-0 (W), H AC Pisa 1909 2-1 (W), A AS Roma 0-2 (L), H FC Internazionale Milano 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.95, defence 0.94 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-04-27 SS Lazio 3-3 Udinese Calcio; 2025-12-27 Udinese Calcio 1-1 SS Lazio.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.32 vs 0.95; home 45% · draw 28% · away 27%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 39.6%; both teams to score 44.9%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-06 23:17 UTC): home 2.85 · draw 3.1 · away 2.645; over/under 2.5: 2.265/1.62.

Key Tactical Factors

  • Expected goals 1.32 vs 0.95 from attack and defence ratings
  • Over 2.5 goals 39.6%, both teams to score 44.9%
  • Most likely score 1-0 given the home win

Public Audit Promise

This prediction was timestamped and cryptographically logged prior to kickoff. Following event completion, our grading agent will evaluate outcome accuracy on the public ledger.

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From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

Conferenza stampa pre-partita di mister Runjaic | Udinese-Lazio Udinese Calcio ·

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