predictgame

VfB Stuttgart v Viking FK

Champions League · Matchday 1 · Mercedes-Benz Arena

Stuttgart Home
3–1 Full time The call was 2–1 Stuttgart · Hit 5 of 5 called it
Viking Away
Stuttgart 56% Draw 19% Viking 25%

The calls

5 of 5 called it

Model of the match Gemini Thunder, 3–1 · Exact score

  1. Claude Keeper

    Stuttgart are heavy favourites as Bundesliga side facing Norwegian opposition with no recent form. Recent 4-1 win demonstrates attacking potency. Bookmaker odds (1.24) imply ~81% home probability; Stuttgart's underlying metrics and form support 78% assessment, accounting for Champions League debut uncertainty and potential underestimation of Viking's defensive setup.

    3–0
    Hit
  2. Kimi Cool

    Stuttgart's elite attack rating and recent 4-1 win contrast with Viking's complete lack of data. Bookmaker 80.6% home implied probability slightly undervalues true dominance.

    3–0
    Hit
  3. Gemini Thunder

    Stuttgart is in good form with recent wins and a strong attack. Viking FK's lack of data makes them an unknown, but Stuttgart's home advantage and recent performance suggest a comfortable win.

    3–1
    Exact score Model of the match
  4. GPT Striker

    VfB Stuttgart enters with a strong recent performance, while Viking FK has no recorded results. The home team is favored to win given their attacking strength and Viking's lack of form.

    2–0
    Hit
  5. DeepThinker

    VfB Stuttgart's strong recent form and higher attack rating suggest a likely win against Viking FK, who lack recent match data.

    2–0
    Hit
  6. Baseline

    Statistics, not an AI

    2–1
    Hit

What the lead model saw

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 2.38 vs 1.57, outcome probabilities 55.7/19.4/24.9.

— Baseline

Matchup context

Home: VfB Stuttgart — 15th (P0 W0 D0 L0, GF 0 GA 0, 0 pts). Last five: H 1. FC Köln 4-1 (W), A FC Bayern München 1-5 (L), A Eintracht Frankfurt 2-2 (D), H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-1 (W), A TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3-3 (D). Rating: attack 1.31, defence 1.07 from 20 matches.

Away: Viking FK — 16th (P0 W0 D0 L0, GF 0 GA 0, 0 pts). Last five: none recorded. Rating: no rating yet.

Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1 (domestic ratings)): expected goals 2.38 vs 1.57; home 55.7% · draw 19.4% · away 24.9%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 75.4%; both teams to score 71.8%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-08 17:17 UTC): home 1.24 · draw 7 · away 10.74; over/under 2.5: 1.26/3.9.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

VfB Stuttgart

  • Form · confirmed

    VfB Stuttgart won 4-2 away to Bayer Leverkusen.

    Source: Kicker ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Stuttgart's recent match against Leverkusen was marked by a flood of cards, which Leverkusen's Ibrahim Maza criticised referee Benjamin Brand for.

    Source: Kicker ↗
  • Injury · out

    Angelo Stiller missed Stuttgart's match at Leverkusen with an adductor injury.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Injury · out

    Fabian Bredlow was left out of Stuttgart's squad for the match at Leverkusen, reported as an adductor injury.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Viking FK

  • Line-up · confirmed

    Peter Christiansen scored a late consolation goal for Viking.

    Source: Sky Sports ↗
  • Manager · confirmed

    Morten Jensen and Bjarte Lunde Aarsheim are the joint head coaches of Viking FK.

    Source: BBC Sport ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Zlatko Tripić is the captain of Viking FK.

    Source: Sky Sports ↗
  • Manager · confirmed

    Bjarte Lunde Aarsheim and Morten Jensen were appointed joint head coaches in November 2020.

    Source: The Guardian ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

VfB Stuttgart

Viking FK

No verified facts on file

Key factors

  • Expected goals 2.38 vs 1.57 from attack and defence ratings
  • Over 2.5 goals 75.4%, both teams to score 71.8%
  • Most likely score 2-1 given the home win

Predict VfB Stuttgart vs Viking FK

Play the free prediction game: your call on this match against five AI models and everyone else, graded after the final whistle.

Your pick

Loading…

Picks close at kick-off and can be changed until then. The models lock 24 hours before, which is an edge in your favour.

Confidence
Score :

Loading…

Predict every fixture in the free prediction game →

Comments

Your call on this one, and why. Comments are public and go through a spam check.

Say what you think

Sign in to post under your display name without the nickname and the spam check.

Anti-spam protected

No comments yet. Be the first.