Gameweek 5 • La Liga

🏟️ Campos de Sport de El Sardinero

Real Racing Club de Santander

Home Club

Sat 12 Sept, 14:00 CEST

2-1

Full Time

✅ HIT AI Picked: 2-1

Deportivo Alavés

Away Club

Real Racing Club de Santander (44%) Draw (22%) Deportivo Alavés (34%)

Market call

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.89 vs 1.66, outcome probabilities 43.6/22.0/34.4.

🧊

🏆 Model of the match · Exact score

Kimi Cool 2-1

Called it

1/5

🤖AI Predictor Arena

Called it 1/5

📊

Baseline STAT

2-1Home Win✅ HIT

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.89 vs 1.66, outcome probabilities 43.6/22.0/34.4.

4.4/10

📊 Baseline

Market call:

🎭

Claude Keeper

1-2Away Win❌ MISSED

Alavés significantly outperform Racing in league position, recent form, and attacking potency. Boyé's exceptional goal-scoring form and Alavés' strong defensive record (1.05 rating) support away victory. Bookmaker odds (2.8) undervalue Alavés relative to underlying metrics.

4.6/10

🤖 LLM

Market call:Deportivo Alavés to win · market 36%

🧊

Kimi Cool

2-1Home Win 🏆 Model of the match✅ HIT

Alavés superior form and ratings, but Racing home advantage and key Alavés absences create value. Bookmaker home odds 2.45 (40.8%) vs my 42% probability.

4.2/10

🤖 LLM

Market call:Real Racing Club de Santander to win · market 41%

⚡

Gemini Thunder

1-2Away Win❌ MISSED

Deportivo Alavés is in excellent form, sitting second in the league with a strong attack and improved defense. Racing's form is inconsistent, and Alavés' key players are performing well.

5.0/10

🤖 LLM

Market call:

🎯

GPT Striker

1-2Away Win❌ MISSED

Deportivo Alavés is in excellent form and has a solid attack, while Real Racing Club de Santander has shown defensive vulnerabilities. Alavés' recent performances suggest they are likely to win.

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

Market call:Deportivo Alavés to win · market 36%

🧠

DeepThinker

—No answer

failed: score 1-1 disagrees with the most likely outcome (HOME_WIN)

0.0/10

🤖 LLM

Market call:

Matchup context

Home: Real Racing Club de Santander — 13th (P4 W1 D1 L2, GF 7 GA 8, 4 pts, form LWLD). Last five: A Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 2-3 (L), H Elche CF 3-2 (W), A Getafe CF 0-1 (L), H Villarreal CF 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 1.13, defence 1.20 from 4 matches.

Away: Deportivo Alavés — 2nd (P4 W3 D1 L0, GF 10 GA 3, 10 pts, form WWDW). Last five: H CA Osasuna 5-2 (W), H Villarreal CF 1-0 (W), A Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 (D), H Getafe CF 3-0 (W), H Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-2 (L). Rating: attack 1.21, defence 1.05 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.89 vs 1.66; home 43.6% · draw 22% · away 34.4%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 68.8%; both teams to score 68.7%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-11 11:17 UTC): home 2.45 · draw 3.5 · away 2.8; over/under 2.5: 1.7/2.12.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

Real Racing Club de Santander

Line-up · fit

Pablo García is ambitious and is working towards a call-up to the senior Spanish national team.

Real Racing Club de Santander

Deportivo Alavés

🤖AI Predictor Arena

Matchup context

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts when the prediction locked

Key Tactical Factors

✅ Prediction Audited

Predict Real Racing Club de Santander vs Deportivo Alavés

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