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Football Predictions

Gameweek 4 • Serie A

🏟️ Stadio Olimpico di Torino

Home Club

Torino FC

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Full Time

0-2

✅ HIT AI Picked: 1-2

Monday, 14 September 2026 at 18:30 CEST

Away Club

AS Roma

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Torino FC (16%) Draw (19%) AS Roma (65%)

Recommended Value Angle

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.10 vs 2.34, outcome probabilities 16.4/18.5/65.1.

🎭

🏆 Model of the match · Exact score

Claude Keeper 0-2

Called it

5/5

🤖AI Predictor Arena

Called it 5/5

📊

Baseline STAT

1-2Away Win✅ HIT

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.10 vs 2.34, outcome probabilities 16.4/18.5/65.1.

6.5/10

📊 Baseline

Value Pick:

🎭

Claude Keeper

0-2Away Win 🏆 Model of the match✅ HIT

Roma's dominant form (10 goals, 1 conceded in 3 matches) and superior ratings heavily favour the away side. Torino's inconsistency and weak defensive record make them vulnerable. Bookmaker odds (1.56) undervalue Roma's probability; my 78% assessment offers value at current pricing.

7.8/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:AS Roma to win @ 1.56

🧊

Kimi Cool

1-2Away Win✅ HIT

Roma's dominant form (9 pts, 10 GF, 1 GA) contrasts sharply with Torino's struggles. Bookmaker odds imply 64% away win probability; my 60% is conservative but still offers slight value given Roma's quality and Torino's defensive frailty.

6.0/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:AS Roma to win @ 1.56

⚡

Gemini Thunder

1-2Away Win✅ HIT

AS Roma are in excellent form with a perfect record and strong ratings. Torino FC have struggled, losing two of their last three. Despite playing at home, Torino faces a tough challenge against a high-flying Roma side.

6.0/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:

🎯

GPT Striker

1-2Away Win✅ HIT

AS Roma's current form and strong attacking capabilities suggest they will outperform Torino, who are struggling defensively. The head-to-head record also favors Roma.

6.5/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:AS Roma to win @ 1.56

🧠

DeepThinker

1-2Away Win✅ HIT

AS Roma's dominant form and strong attack contrast with Torino's defensive issues, making Roma the likely winners.

6.0/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:

Matchup context

Home: Torino FC — 14th (P3 W1 D0 L2, GF 4 GA 5, 3 pts, form WLL). Last five: A ACF Fiorentina 2-1 (W), A US Sassuolo Calcio 1-2 (L), H AC Milan 1-2 (L), H Juventus FC 2-2 (D), A Cagliari Calcio 1-2 (L). Rating: attack 1.09, defence 1.21 from 20 matches.

Away: AS Roma — 2nd (P3 W3 D0 L0, GF 10 GA 1, 9 pts, form WWW). Last five: H Atalanta BC 2-1 (W), A US Lecce 4-0 (W), H ACF Fiorentina 4-0 (W), A Hellas Verona FC 2-0 (W), H SS Lazio 2-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.63, defence 0.79 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-18 Torino FC 0-2 AS Roma; 2025-09-14 AS Roma 0-1 Torino FC.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.10 vs 2.34; home 16.4% · draw 18.5% · away 65.1%; most likely score 1-2; over 2.5 goals 66.8%; both teams to score 60.3%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-13 17:17 UTC): home 5.895 · draw 4.165 · away 1.56; over/under 2.5: 1.75/2.055.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

Torino FC

Injury · out

Che Adams was unavailable for Torino.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Injury · out

Cesare Casadei was unavailable for Torino.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Line-up · rumour

Alessio Cacciamani is a young player that Italy manager Roberto Mancini has a particular interest in.

Source: Football Italia ↗

AS Roma

Line-up · confirmed

Donyell Malen scored for AS Roma against Torino.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Form · confirmed

AS Roma secured a 2-0 win against Torino, maintaining their perfect Serie A start.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Niccolo Pisilli scored for AS Roma against Torino.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Form · confirmed

Donyell Malen has scored six goals in the opening four league matches.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

Torino FC

Transfer · confirmed

Andrea Belotti previously played for Torino FC.

Source: Football Italia ↗

AS Roma

Line-up · fit

Matias Soule made a difference coming on as a substitute against Atalanta BC.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Line-up · fit

Mario Hermoso scored the winning goal for AS Roma against Atalanta BC.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Form · confirmed

Paulo Dybala is proving his consistency for AS Roma due to his longest spell of physical fitness in years.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Return · fit

Devyne Rensch returns to the AS Roma squad.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Suspension · out

Matteo Guendouzi is suspended for AS Roma.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Injury · out

AS Roma are set to play Fenerbahçe in Istanbul in the Europa League.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Injury · fit

Donyell Malen featured prominently in the build-up to AS Roma's Europa League match.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Marten de Roon has been signed by AS Roma from Atalanta BC.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Paulo Dybala agreed to a new contract with a reduced salary to stay at Roma.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Bryan Cristante agreed to a new contract with a reduced salary to stay at Roma.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Devyne Rensch starts on the right wing for Roma.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Lorenzo Pellegrini agreed to a new contract with a reduced salary to stay at Roma.

Source: Football Italia ↗

Key Tactical Factors

Expected goals 1.10 vs 2.34 from attack and defence ratings
Over 2.5 goals 66.8%, both teams to score 60.3%
Most likely score 1-2 given the away win

✅ Prediction Audited

Final Score: 0-2. Our AI predicted 1-2 (AWAY WIN). Outcome: CORRECT ✅

Check Historic Track Record →

From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

TORINO 0-2 ROMA | SERIE A HIGHLIGHTS 2026-27 AS Roma · 14 Sept 2026

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