predict.game AI SPORTS PREDICTIONS

Football Predictions

Gameweek 4 • Bundesliga

🏟️ Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV

Home Club

Sat 19 Sept, 15:30 CEST

2-1

Predicted Outcome

Home Win (3.9/10)

1. FC Köln

Away Club

Hamburger SV (39%) Draw (23%) 1. FC Köln (38%)

Predict Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln

Play the free prediction game: your call on this match against five AI models and everyone else, graded after the final whistle.

Predict every fixture in the free prediction game →

Recommended Value Angle

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.71 vs 1.70, outcome probabilities 39.0/22.6/38.3.

🤖AI Predictor Arena

✓ 5/5 CONSENSUS

📊

Baseline STAT

2-1Home Win CONTRARIAN

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.71 vs 1.70, outcome probabilities 39.0/22.6/38.3.

3.9/10

📊 Baseline

Value Pick:

🎭

Claude Keeper

0-2Away Win

Hamburg in crisis with three consecutive defeats and catastrophic goal difference. Köln stabilizing with 4 points and recent attacking form. Bookmaker odds undervalue away win at 2.45 (41% implied) versus 50% assessed probability based on form disparity and defensive vulnerability.

5.0/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:1. FC Köln to win @ 2.45

🧊

Kimi Cool

1-2Away Win

HSV are in crisis with zero points, no goals, and defensive collapse. Köln are superior in form and quality. Away odds 2.45 imply 40.8% probability; my 46% estimate offers value.

4.6/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:1. FC Köln to win @ 2.45

⚡

Gemini Thunder

0-2Away Win

Hamburger SV is in terrible form, conceding many goals and lacking cohesion. Köln, despite some mixed results, has shown more attacking threat and a better defensive record, making them favorites to win away.

5.5/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:1. FC Köln to win @ 2.45

🎯

GPT Striker

1-2Away Win

Hamburger SV is struggling significantly, having lost all three matches without scoring. In contrast, 1. FC Köln has shown some attacking potential, making them favorites for this match.

5.5/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:1. FC Köln to win @ 2.45

🧠

DeepThinker

1-2Away Win

Hamburger SV is in terrible form with no goals scored and 12 conceded in 3 matches. Köln, despite mixed results, has a better defensive rating and more attacking threat.

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:1. FC Köln to win @ 2.45

Matchup context

Home: Hamburger SV — 18th (P3 W0 D0 L3, GF 0 GA 12, 0 pts, form LLL). Last five: A RB Leipzig 0-5 (L), H 1. FSV Mainz 05 0-5 (L), A Borussia Dortmund 0-2 (L), A Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1-1 (D), H SC Freiburg 3-2 (W). Rating: attack 0.75, defence 1.26 from 20 matches.

Away: 1. FC Köln — 12th (P3 W1 D1 L1, GF 5 GA 7, 4 pts, form DLW). Last five: H SV Werder Bremen 1-1 (D), A VfB Stuttgart 1-4 (L), H TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3-2 (W), A FC Bayern München 1-5 (L), H 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.93, defence 1.25 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-14 Hamburger SV 1-1 1. FC Köln; 2025-11-02 1. FC Köln 4-1 Hamburger SV.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.71 vs 1.70; home 39% · draw 22.6% · away 38.3%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 66.2%; both teams to score 66.9%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-18 11:17 UTC): home 2.72 · draw 3.635 · away 2.45; over/under 2.5: 1.58/2.32.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

1. FC Köln

Form · fit

1. FC Köln are still undefeated.

Source: Kicker ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

Hamburger SV

Line-up · confirmed

David Møller Wolfe made his debut for Hamburg against Mainz.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Ludovit Reis has left Hamburger SV.

Source: Kicker ↗

Suspension · out

Mario Vušković of Hamburger SV is suspended until November 15, 2026, due to a doping judgment.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Daniel Fernandes is the goalkeeper for Hamburger SV.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Return · fit

Mario Vuskovic will be eligible to play again in November.

Source: Kicker ↗

Form · out

Hamburger SV's sporting director described the team as having 'broken apart'.

Source: Kicker ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Merlin Polzin is expected to extend his contract with Hamburger SV.

Source: Kicker ↗

1. FC Köln

Line-up · fit

Linton Maina replaced Saïd El Mala for 1. FC Köln.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Reigan Heskey came on for the final 15 minutes in his first taste of Cologne action.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Tom Krauß spoke with coach René Wagner about his role and areas for improvement.

Source: Kicker ↗

Manager · out

Lukas Kwasniok is taking legal action against 1. FC Köln.

Source: Kicker ↗

Injury · fit

Saïd El Mala was back on the bench for Cologne after missing a previous match through illness.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Form · fit

Thijs Dallinga missed a penalty for Cologne.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Injury · fit

Saïd El Mala was back on the bench for Cologne after missing their previous match due to illness.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Form · confirmed

Linton Maina scored for 1. FC Köln.

Source: Kicker ↗

Return · fit

Mitchell Weiser returned to play after more than a year out.

Source: Kicker ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Jahmai Simpson-Pusey has started in all three league games for Köln.

Source: Kicker ↗

Form · confirmed

Mikey Moore set up Cologne's only goal after coming on as a substitute against VfB Stuttgart.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Mikey Moore joined Cologne on a season-long loan from Tottenham Hotspur without a buy option.

Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Key Tactical Factors

Expected goals 1.71 vs 1.70 from attack and defence ratings
Over 2.5 goals 66.2%, both teams to score 66.9%
Most likely score 2-1 given the home win

Public Audit Promise

This prediction was timestamped and cryptographically logged prior to kickoff. Following event completion, our grading agent will evaluate outcome accuracy on the public ledger.

Check Historic Track Record →

From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

VERTRAGSVERLÄNGERUNG UND STADIONTRAINING | Matchday-1 | HSV vs. 1. FC Köln HSV · 18 Sept 2026

💬 Match Discussion & Fan Consensus

Share your score forecast and debate the AI model picks with other fans.

Live Debate

✍️ Join the Match Debate

🏟️ No fan calls yet. Be the first to share your score prediction!