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Gameweek 7 • La Liga

🏟️ Estadio Abanca-Riazor

RC Deportivo La Coruña

Home Club

Sun 20 Sept, 18:30 CEST

1-2

Predicted Outcome

Away Win (4.4/10)

Real Betis Balompié

Away Club

RC Deportivo La Coruña (28%) Draw (28%) Real Betis Balompié (44%)

Predict RC Deportivo La Coruña vs Real Betis Balompié

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Recommended Value Angle

Draw @ 3.625

Betis superior form and standings warrant favoritism, but Deportivo's home record (2W-2D-1L) and Aubameyang's scoring run make them dangerous. Angeliño suspension weakens home defence. Draw offers value at 3.625 vs my 28% estimate (implied 27.6%).

🤖AI Predictor Arena

✓ 5/5 CONSENSUS

📊

Baseline STAT

1-0Home Win CONTRARIAN

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.51 vs 1.10, outcome probabilities 46.8/25.7/27.6.

4.7/10

📊 Baseline

Value Pick:

🎭

Claude Keeper

1-2Away Win

Real Betis' dominant league position and recent form (5 wins in 6) strongly favors away victory. Deportivo's defensive vulnerabilities (0.93 rating) and key absences (Angeliño suspension) compound disadvantage. Bookmaker odds undervalue Betis at 2.055 implied probability (~49%) versus calculated 50%.

5.0/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:Real Betis Balompié to win @ 2.055

🧊

Kimi Cool

1-2Away Win

Betis superior form and standings warrant favoritism, but Deportivo's home record (2W-2D-1L) and Aubameyang's scoring run make them dangerous. Angeliño suspension weakens home defence. Draw offers value at 3.625 vs my 28% estimate (implied 27.6%).

4.4/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:Draw @ 3.625

⚡

Gemini Thunder

1-2Away Win

Real Betis is in excellent form, sitting 3rd in the league, while Deportivo has been inconsistent. Angeliño's suspension further weakens the home side.

4.7/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:Real Betis Balompié to win @ 2.055

🎯

GPT Striker

1-2Away Win

Real Betis has shown consistent form and a stronger overall standing compared to Deportivo. Despite injuries, their recent performances suggest they can secure a win.

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:Real Betis Balompié to win @ 2.055

🧠

DeepThinker

1-2Away Win

Real Betis's strong form and defensive improvements give them an edge, but Deportivo's recent draw tendency suggests a tight match.

4.0/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:Draw @ 3.625

Matchup context

Home: RC Deportivo La Coruña — 7th (P6 W2 D3 L1, GF 9 GA 7, 9 pts, form LDWWD). Last five: H Sevilla FC 0-1 (L), A Getafe CF 1-1 (D), A Villarreal CF 3-2 (W), H Valencia CF 3-1 (W), A Málaga CF 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.04, defence 0.93 from 6 matches.

Away: Real Betis Balompié — 3rd (P6 W5 D0 L1, GF 8 GA 6, 15 pts, form WWWLW). Last five: H Getafe CF 1-0 (W), A Villarreal CF 2-1 (W), H Real Madrid CF 1-0 (W), A Levante UD 2-5 (L), A Valencia CF 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.03, defence 0.92 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.51 vs 1.10; home 46.8% · draw 25.7% · away 27.6%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 48.4%; both teams to score 52%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-19 17:17 UTC): home 3.51 · draw 3.625 · away 2.055; over/under 2.5: 1.83/1.98.

Verified facts when the prediction locked

RC Deportivo La Coruña

Transfer · confirmed

Adama Traoré has arrived at Deportivo A Coruña on a free transfer.

Source: The Guardian ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was attracted to RC Deportivo La Coruña by its family-like atmosphere.

Source: Marca ↗

Transfer · confirmed

José María Giménez has arrived at Deportivo.

Source: Marca ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Marc Casadó has been signed by RC Deportivo La Coruña.

Source: Marca ↗

Manager · confirmed

Antonio Hidalgo is the current manager of RC Deportivo La Coruña.

Source: Marca ↗

Form · fit

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang has scored five goals in five matches.

Source: Marca ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Teun Gijselhart's loan to Al Ain is without a purchase option.

Source: Marca ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Antonio Hidalgo placed Noé Carrillo on the left wing.

Source: Marca ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Yeremay made his first start in Primera División for Deportivo La Coruña.

Source: Marca ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Angeliño started for Deportivo La Coruña.

Source: Marca ↗

Injury · out

Isaac Romero was not in the starting lineup for Deportivo La Coruña.

Source: Marca ↗

Suspension · out

Angeliño was sent off with a red card for Deportivo La Coruña.

Source: Marca ↗

Real Betis Balompié

Transfer · confirmed

Dani Ceballos arrived at Real Betis.

Source: Marca ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Pablo García has left Real Betis.

Source: Marca ↗

Transfer · confirmed

Troy Parrott's transfer to Real Betis cost 16 million euros fixed plus four in variables.

Source: Marca ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Cucho Hernández returned to the starting lineup for Real Betis.

Source: Marca ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Abdessamad Ezzalzouli scored the winning goal against Getafe.

Source: Marca ↗

Return · fit

Abdessamad Ezzalzouli has returned to the team and scored a goal.

Source: Marca ↗

Line-up · confirmed

Nelson Deossa started in midfield for Real Betis against Getafe.

Source: Marca ↗

Form · fit

Álvaro Valles's overall defensive value this season (+3.41) has already surpassed his total value from the previous LaLiga season (+3.35).

Source: Marca ↗

Return · fit

Dani Ceballos has returned to Real Betis.

Source: Marca ↗

Injury · out

Diego Llorente is unavailable for Real Betis.

Source: Marca ↗

Injury · out

Aitor Ruibal is unavailable for Real Betis.

Source: Marca ↗

Form · confirmed

Manuel Pellegrini stated that the team must defend what they have achieved and not look upwards.

Source: Marca ↗

Key Tactical Factors

Angeliño red card leaves Deportivo short at left-back
Betis 5W-1L start with strong away form (3 wins)
Aubameyang 5 goals in 5 games keeps Deportivo competitive

Public Audit Promise

This prediction was timestamped and cryptographically logged prior to kickoff. Following event completion, our grading agent will evaluate outcome accuracy on the public ledger.

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From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

Rueda de prensa de Antonio Hidalgo previa al RC Deportivo - Real Betis Balompié RC Deportivo · 19 Sept 2026

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