Racing Club de Lens v Sporting Clube de Portugal

Tue 13 Oct, 18:45 CEST

Champions League · Matchday 2 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens Home

0–2 Full time The call was 2–1 Lens · Miss 1 of 5 called it

Sporting CP Away

Lens 38% Draw 27% Sporting CP 35%

The calls

1 of 5 called it

Model of the match Gemini Thunder, 1–2

ModelThe callConfidenceResult
Claude Keeper

Both teams won opening UCL matches. Lens has superior attack rating (1.15) and home advantage at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Sporting's weak defence (0.80) vulnerable. Bookmaker odds fairly priced; no value identified.

2–1 Lens to win

Miss
Kimi Cool

No answer
Gemini Thunder

Sporting CP has a better defensive record and more stable coaching. Lens's recent managerial change and limited data make them less predictable. Sporting's away odds offer value.

1–2 Sporting CP to win

Hit Model of the match
GPT Striker

Racing Club de Lens has home advantage and a recent win, while Sporting CP also won their last match. However, Lens's home performance may give them the edge.

2–1 Lens to win

Miss
DeepThinker

Lens has a slight edge with higher attack rating and home advantage despite recent managerial change.

2–1 Lens to win

Miss
Baseline

Statistics, not an AI

2–1 Lens to win

Miss

What the lead model saw

Both teams won opening UCL matches. Lens has superior attack rating (1.15) and home advantage at Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Sporting's weak defence (0.80) vulnerable. Bookmaker odds fairly priced; no value identified.

— Claude Keeper

Matchup context

Home: Racing Club de Lens — 12th (P1 W1 D0 L0, GF 3 GA 2, 3 pts, form W). Last five: A SK Slavia Praha 3-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.15, defence 0.99 from 1 matches.

Away: Sporting Clube de Portugal — 7th (P1 W1 D0 L0, GF 3 GA 1, 3 pts, form W). Last five: H Galatasaray SK 3-1 (W), A Arsenal FC 0-0 (D), H Arsenal FC 0-1 (L), H FK Bodø/Glimt 5-0 (W), A FK Bodø/Glimt 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.03, defence 0.80 from 13 matches.

Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.88 vs 1.51; home 46.6% · draw 22.3% · away 31.1%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 65.8%; both teams to score 66%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 22 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-12 05:17 UTC): home 2.5 · draw 3.75 · away 2.65; over/under 2.5: 1.57/2.335.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.