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FK Bodø/Glimt v Borussia Dortmund

Champions League · Matchday 2 · Aspmyra Stadion

Bodø/Glimt Home
1–0 Full time The call was 1–3 Dortmund · Miss 0 of 5 called it
Dortmund Away
Bodø/Glimt 18% Draw 16% Dortmund 66%

The calls

0 of 5 called it

Nobody called it

  1. Claude Keeper

    Dortmund heavily favoured in Champions League Round 2. Bodø/Glimt's 0-5 Bayern loss and weak UCL record contrast sharply with Dortmund's attacking potency (Guirassy in form) and solid defence. Implied away probability ~48%; our 66% reflects quality gap and recent form disparity.

    1–3
    Miss
  2. Kimi Cool

    Dortmund's superior quality and form make them favorites, but Bodø/Glimt's home artificial turf and 2-2 H2H suggest upset potential. Home odds 3.15 imply 32%, my 28% is close but slight value exists given their UCL home wins vs Inter.

    1–2
    Miss
  3. Gemini Thunder

    Dortmund is in strong form with a higher attack rating and a recent UCL win. Bodø/Glimt suffered a heavy loss in their last UCL match and has a weaker overall form. The away win is the most probable outcome.

    1–2
    Miss
  4. GPT Striker

    Borussia Dortmund's recent form and superior attack suggest they will win, especially against a struggling FK Bodø/Glimt side that has shown defensive vulnerabilities.

    1–3
    Miss
  5. DeepThinker

    Dortmund's stronger form and attacking quality, combined with Bodø/Glimt's defensive issues, make the away win most likely.

    1–2
    Miss
  6. Baseline

    Statistics, not an AI

    2–1
    Hit

What the lead model saw

Dortmund heavily favoured in Champions League Round 2. Bodø/Glimt's 0-5 Bayern loss and weak UCL record contrast sharply with Dortmund's attacking potency (Guirassy in form) and solid defence. Implied away probability ~48%; our 66% reflects quality gap and recent form disparity.

— Claude Keeper

Market: Borussia Dortmund to win · market 48%

Matchup context

Home: FK Bodø/Glimt — 36th (P1 W0 D0 L1, GF 0 GA 5, 0 pts, form L). Last five: A FC Bayern München 0-5 (L), A Sporting Clube de Portugal 0-5 (L), H Sporting Clube de Portugal 3-0 (W), A FC Internazionale Milano 2-1 (W), H FC Internazionale Milano 3-1 (W). Rating: attack 0.97, defence 1.14 from 13 matches.

Away: Borussia Dortmund — 12th (P1 W1 D0 L0, GF 3 GA 2, 3 pts, form W). Last five: H SV Werder Bremen 2-2 (D), A VfB Stuttgart 1-0 (W), H SC Paderborn 07 3-0 (W), H Villarreal CF 3-2 (W), A TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 3-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.10, defence 1.12 from 11 matches.

Head-to-head (last 1): 2025-12-10 Borussia Dortmund 2-2 FK Bodø/Glimt.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.23 vs 1.85; home 47.2% · draw 20.2% · away 32.7%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 77.3%; both teams to score 75.2%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 22 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-13 17:17 UTC): home 3.15 · draw 4.025 · away 2.09; over/under 2.5: 1.39/3.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

FK Bodø/Glimt

Borussia Dortmund

  • Form · confirmed

    Borussia Dortmund drew 2:2 with Bayern Munich in the matchday 8 Bundesliga classic.

    Source: Kicker ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Ethan Nwaneri was an unused substitute in Borussia Dortmund's 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich on Matchday 8.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Jobe Bellingham played 86 minutes in Borussia Dortmund's 2-2 draw with Bayern Munich on Matchday 8 and received a yellow card.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Borussia Dortmund drew 1-1 (score not stated in the article) away at Bayern Munich, and the article describes the team's recent performances as improving.

    Source: Kicker ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

FK Bodø/Glimt

No verified facts on file

Borussia Dortmund

  • Line-up · confirmed

    Julian Ryerson started his 100th Bundesliga game.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Injury · out

    Giannis Konstantelias has undergone a successful operation for an ACL injury and will be out for several months.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Luca Reggiani is expected to be in the starting line-up for Borussia Dortmund.

    Source: Football Italia ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Ethan Nwaneri is currently on loan at Borussia Dortmund.

    Source: Sky Sports ↗
  • Return · fit

    Samuele Inácio has been included in the Italy squad.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Line-up · fit

    Felix Nmecha was one of two changes to the Borussia Dortmund starting lineup.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Maximilian Beier scored the decisive goal for Borussia Dortmund.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Joey Veerman is a summer signing for Borussia Dortmund from PSV Eindhoven.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Injury · out

    Nico Schlotterbeck will travel with the Germany squad for further treatment before heading home.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Jadon Sancho had a successful time at Borussia Dortmund, scoring 50 goals and making 64 assists in 137 games across all competitions.

    Source: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Serhou Guirassy has scored four goals in five games in all competitions for Borussia Dortmund.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Fabio Silva has scored two league goals in 2026/27, both assisted by Serhou Guirassy.

    Source: Bundesliga.com ↗

Key factors

  • Dortmund won their UCL opener (3-2 vs Villarreal); Bodø/Glimt lost heavily to Bayern (0-5)
  • Dortmund superior attack (1.10) and defence (1.12) ratings vs Bodø/Glimt (0.97/1.14)
  • Bodø/Glimt 0 goals in 1 UCL match; Dortmund form strong with Guirassy 4 goals in 5 games

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