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RC Deportivo La Coruña v CA Osasuna

La Liga · Matchday 11 · Estadio Abanca-Riazor

Deportivo Home
The call 2–1Deportivo to win 5 of 5 back Deportivo
Osasuna Away
Deportivo 45% Draw 30% Osasuna 25%

Predict RC Deportivo La Coruña vs CA Osasuna

Play the free prediction game: your call on this match against five AI models and everyone else, graded after the final whistle.

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The calls

5 of 5 back Deportivo
  1. Claude Keeper

    Deportivo favoured at home despite inconsistency. Osasuna's away form is dire (0 wins since August, 16 goals conceded). Defensive weakness in Osasuna (1.27 rating) exploitable by Deportivo attack. Bookmaker 2.165 implies 46% home win; our analysis supports this probability, making home a marginal value play given odds.

    1–0
  2. Kimi Cool

    Deportivo's home advantage and Osasuna's terrible away defensive record (16 conceded in 5 trips) gives the hosts the edge. Bookmaker odds of 2.165 imply 46% home win, but Deportivo's superior ratings and Osasuna's travel woes suggest value on home win.

    1–0
  3. Gemini Thunder

    Deportivo, with new attacking talent and a solid defense, faces an Osasuna side struggling heavily on the road, conceding many goals. This suggests a home victory is the most probable outcome.

    2–1
  4. GPT Striker

    Deportivo has a better home record and Osasuna struggles away, having not won in their last four away matches. The recent signings for Deportivo may also provide a morale boost.

    1–0
  5. DeepThinker

    Deportivo's defence is stronger, Osasuna struggles away, and Deportivo's recent transfers bolster their squad.

    1–0
  6. Baseline

    Statistics, not an AI

    1–0

What the lead model saw

Deportivo, with new attacking talent and a solid defense, faces an Osasuna side struggling heavily on the road, conceding many goals. This suggests a home victory is the most probable outcome.

— Gemini Thunder

Market: RC Deportivo La Coruña to win · market 46%

Matchup context

Home: RC Deportivo La Coruña — 13th (P10 W2 D5 L3, GF 13 GA 13, 11 pts, form LDLDL). Last five: A Club Atlético de Madrid 0-1 (L), H Levante UD 1-1 (D), A Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-3 (L), H Real Betis Balompié 1-1 (D), H Sevilla FC 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 0.93, defence 0.97 from 10 matches.

Away: CA Osasuna — 15th (P10 W3 D2 L5, GF 10 GA 20, 11 pts, form LWLDL). Last five: A Sevilla FC 0-2 (L), H Real Racing Club de Santander 2-0 (W), A Real Betis Balompié 2-5 (L), H Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 (D), A Club Atlético de Madrid 0-4 (L). Rating: attack 0.82, defence 1.27 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.89 vs 0.92; home 60.1% · draw 22% · away 17.9%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 53.4%; both teams to score 51.2%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-01 23:17 UTC): home 2.165 · draw 3.25 · away 3.525; over/under 2.5: 2.2/1.67.

Verified facts when the prediction locked

RC Deportivo La Coruña

  • Transfer · confirmed

    Adama Traoré has arrived at Deportivo A Coruña on a free transfer.

    Source: The Guardian ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was attracted to RC Deportivo La Coruña by its family-like atmosphere.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    José María Giménez has arrived at Deportivo.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Marc Casadó has been signed by RC Deportivo La Coruña.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Teun Gijselhart's loan to Al Ain is without a purchase option.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Angeliño started for Deportivo La Coruña.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Angeliño made his first start in Primera División for Deportivo La Coruña.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · fit

    Diego Villares scored his first goal in the league.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    José Giménez has become a captain for Deportivo.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Lionel Messi has become the new owner of CD Eldense, subject to authorization.

    Source: BBC Sport ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Lorenzo Amatucci will be a starter.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Manager · out

    Clarence Seedorf had an underwhelming spell at Deportivo La Coruna.

    Source: BBC Sport ↗

CA Osasuna

  • Transfer · confirmed

    Iñigo Arguibide has extended his contract with Osasuna until June 2030.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Jorge Herrando had started in the initial games of the season before his injury.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Injury · out

    Javier Martínez Tabernero suffered from persistent injuries throughout his football career, which ultimately led to his retirement.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Iñigo Arguibide assisted a goal after a long run.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Asier Osambela scored a goal after being substituted on.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Ante Budimir scored a penalty within the first ten minutes.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Jonathan Dubasin had two goals disallowed early in the match.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · out

    Romain Del Castillo will not start against Betis due to his injury.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Injury · fit

    Isco had two fractures which were unusual for him.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Darko Brasanac can provide what Osasuna needs and has chosen to stay despite other offers.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · fit

    Ante Budimir is expected to play for CA Osasuna.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Osasuna have not won away since their August win at Celta, with four away defeats and 16 goals conceded on the road this season.

    Source: Marca ↗

Key factors

  • Osasuna's poor away form (4 defeats, 16 goals conceded)
  • Deportivo's recent transfers (Adama Traoré, Aubameyang, Giménez, Casadó)
  • Osasuna's high goals conceded (20 in 10 matches)

From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

Rueda de prensa de Antonio Hidalgo previa al RC Deportivo - CA Osasuna RC Deportivo ·

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