Matchup context
Home: Levante UD — 14th (P5 W1 D2 L2, GF 7 GA 9, 5 pts, form LDWDL). Last five: H FC Barcelona 2-4 (L), A Málaga CF 0-0 (D), H Real Betis Balompié 5-2 (W), A CA Osasuna 0-0 (D), A RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.07, defence 1.11 from 20 matches.
Away: Athletic Club — 9th (P5 W2 D1 L2, GF 7 GA 6, 7 pts, form DWWLL). Last five: H Elche CF 1-1 (D), H Club Atlético de Madrid 3-0 (W), A RC Celta de Vigo 2-0 (W), A FC Barcelona 0-2 (L), H Sevilla FC 1-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.96, defence 1.09 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-08 Athletic Club 4-2 Levante UD; 2025-11-29 Levante UD 0-2 Athletic Club.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.83 vs 1.23; home 51.5% · draw 22.9% · away 25.6%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 59.1%; both teams to score 59.5%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-15 23:17 UTC): home 3.455 · draw 3.5 · away 2.105; over/under 2.5: 1.82/1.99.