predictgame

Levante UD v Athletic Club

La Liga · Matchday 6 · Estadio Ciudad de Valencia

Levante Home
3–1 Full time The call was 1–2 Athletic Club · Miss 0 of 5 called it
Athletic Club Away
Levante 28% Draw 28% Athletic Club 44%

The calls

0 of 5 called it

Nobody called it

  1. Claude Keeper

    Athletic Club favored despite injuries. Superior standing, recent form, and H2H record (2-0, 4-2) support away win. Levante's weak defence (1.11 rating) and inconsistent form (14th place, 5 pts) vulnerable to Athletic's attacking threat. Implied away probability ~47%; calculated 46% reflects close match but Athletic edge.

    1–2
    Miss
  2. Kimi Cool

    Athletic superior in H2H and standings, but multiple injuries and away form (2 losses in last 5) temper confidence. Draw at 3.5 offers value vs 28% probability (implied 28.6%).

    1–2
    Miss
  3. Gemini Thunder

    Athletic Club is in better form and has a strong head-to-head record against Levante. Levante also has key injuries, while Athletic Club's attack is boosted by Iñaki Williams' return from international duty.

    1–2
    Miss
  4. GPT Striker

    Athletic Club has shown better form and results compared to Levante, who are struggling defensively. The head-to-head record also favors Athletic Club, making them the likely winners.

    1–2
    Miss
  5. DeepThinker

    Athletic Club's better form and Levante's defensive issues, compounded by key injuries, favor an away win.

    1–2
    Miss
  6. Baseline

    Statistics, not an AI

    2–1
    Hit

What the lead model saw

Athletic superior in H2H and standings, but multiple injuries and away form (2 losses in last 5) temper confidence. Draw at 3.5 offers value vs 28% probability (implied 28.6%).

— Kimi Cool

Market: Draw · market 29%

Matchup context

Home: Levante UD — 14th (P5 W1 D2 L2, GF 7 GA 9, 5 pts, form LDWDL). Last five: H FC Barcelona 2-4 (L), A Málaga CF 0-0 (D), H Real Betis Balompié 5-2 (W), A CA Osasuna 0-0 (D), A RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 0-3 (L). Rating: attack 1.07, defence 1.11 from 20 matches.

Away: Athletic Club — 9th (P5 W2 D1 L2, GF 7 GA 6, 7 pts, form DWWLL). Last five: H Elche CF 1-1 (D), H Club Atlético de Madrid 3-0 (W), A RC Celta de Vigo 2-0 (W), A FC Barcelona 0-2 (L), H Sevilla FC 1-3 (L). Rating: attack 0.96, defence 1.09 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-08 Athletic Club 4-2 Levante UD; 2025-11-29 Levante UD 0-2 Athletic Club.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.83 vs 1.23; home 51.5% · draw 22.9% · away 25.6%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 59.1%; both teams to score 59.5%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-15 23:17 UTC): home 3.455 · draw 3.5 · away 2.105; over/under 2.5: 1.82/1.99.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

Levante UD

  • Form · confirmed

    Levante failed to score at home against Atlético de Madrid, ending a run of eleven consecutive official matches with a goal.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Injury · out

    Enzo Badeli (listed as Enzo Bardeli) will miss one more week with an injury, leaving Levante without a midfielder.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Return · fit

    Dela (not listed in the squad provided) is back from injury and available for Levante.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Levante are seeking a third win of the season after losing to Real Sociedad last weekend, and sit two points above the relegation zone.

    Source: Marca ↗

Athletic Club

  • Form · confirmed

    Real Sociedad's coach Matarazzo describes Athletic Club as a very solid, hard-working side that does not concede many goals.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Athletic Club's Nico Williams has an influential effect on the team's play when he is on the pitch, according to Real Sociedad's coach Matarazzo.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Injury · out

    Ruiz de Galarreta is out with a muscle injury and will miss at least the matches against Prat and Real Sociedad.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Injury · doubtful

    Ruiz de Galarreta has muscle discomfort that he suffered against Getafe, and he will start a specific recovery plan and undergo imaging tests to determine its origin and extent.

    Source: Marca ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

Levante UD

  • Manager · confirmed

    Luís Castro is the current coach of Levante.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Injury · out

    Álex Primo is still recovering from knee surgery.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Injury · out

    Karl Etta Eyong is out due to a rectus femoris injury.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Jeremy Toljan was expected to offer more in the game than Nacho Pérez, who was substituted due to fatigue.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · fit

    Aïssa Mandi spoke to the referee about an incident where a player allegedly hit him, without showing disrespect.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Hamza Abdelkarim was part of the Barcelona youth team that played against Luís Castro's Benfica.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Dani Requena is considered one of the team's best players and is growing in form.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · fit

    Roger Brugué missed some chances that he would normally score.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · fit

    Thiago Fernandez had a clear chance in the first minute of the match.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · fit

    Yanis Musuayi showed good qualities, including a 'sombrero', but is still adapting to the league's intensity.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Petar Ratkov needs more time to adapt and has made natural errors.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Ifeanyi Ndukwe has integrated well and is expected to help the team in the future.

    Source: Marca ↗

Athletic Club

  • Line-up · confirmed

    Robert Navarro scored after an assist from Iñaki Williams.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Nico Williams returned to scoring in the league.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Manager · confirmed

    Edin Terzić is satisfied with his current role at Athletic Club.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Return · fit

    Inaki Williams has retired from international duty with Ghana.

    Source: BBC Sport ↗
  • Injury · out

    Vivian is out due to injury for Athletic Club.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Injury · out

    Canales is out due to injury for Athletic Club.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Injury · out

    Guruzeta is out due to injury for Athletic Club.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · fit

    Oihan Sancet is back in the Athletic Club squad and is expected to play a significant role.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · fit

    Iñaki Williams is capable of playing as a winger or a second striker.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Form · fit

    Athletic Club is in a great moment of form and has a great opportunity to continue adding victories at home.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · confirmed

    Unai Simón is considered a potential candidate for the best goalkeeper in the world.

    Source: Marca ↗
  • Line-up · fit

    Álvaro Djaló is expected to be called up for the match against Elche.

    Source: Marca ↗

Key factors

  • Athletic Club won both H2H meetings 4-2 and 2-0
  • Athletic have 7 points from 5 games vs Levante's 5 points
  • Vivian, Canales, Guruzeta injured for Athletic; Primo, Etta Eyong out for Levante

Predict Levante UD vs Athletic Club

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