Matchup context
Home: Cagliari Calcio — 4th (P5 W4 D0 L1, GF 5 GA 2, 12 pts, form WWWLW). Last five: A Udinese Calcio 1-0 (W), A Atalanta BC 2-1 (W), H US Lecce 1-0 (W), H FC Internazionale Milano 0-1 (L), A Parma Calcio 1913 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.85, defence 0.88 from 20 matches.
Away: Juventus FC — 7th (P5 W3 D1 L1, GF 8 GA 4, 10 pts, form WLDWW). Last five: H Atalanta BC 2-0 (W), A US Sassuolo Calcio 2-3 (L), H AC Milan 1-1 (D), H Parma Calcio 1913 2-0 (W), A Frosinone Calcio 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.12, defence 0.83 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-17 Cagliari Calcio 1-0 Juventus FC; 2025-11-29 Juventus FC 2-1 Cagliari Calcio.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 0.92 vs 1.15; home 29% · draw 29.9% · away 41.1%; most likely score 0-1; over 2.5 goals 34.2%; both teams to score 41.1%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-10 17:17 UTC): home 6.225 · draw 3.95 · away 1.58; over/under 2.5: 2/1.805.