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Cagliari Calcio v Juventus FC

Serie A · Matchday 6 · Sardegna Arena

Cagliari Home
1–1 Full time The call was 1–2 Juventus · Miss 0 of 5 called it
Juventus Away
Cagliari 30% Draw 25% Juventus 45%

The calls

0 of 5 called it

Nobody called it

  1. Claude Keeper

    Juventus' superior attacking prowess (1.12 rating) and recent momentum justify heavy favouritism despite Cagliari's strong start. Bookmaker odds (1.58) imply ~63% away win; our 70% reflects Juve's quality edge and Cagliari's lack of elite opposition tests. Recent H2H mixed but Juve's current squad stronger.

    0–2
    Miss
  2. Kimi Cool
    No answer
  3. Gemini Thunder

    Juventus has a stronger attack and a slightly better defense rating. While Cagliari has good recent form, Juventus's overall quality and head-to-head record suggest an away win, despite Cagliari's recent home victories.

    0–1
    Miss
  4. GPT Striker

    Cagliari has performed well at home, but Juventus's attack and overall form give them an edge. The recent head-to-head suggests a competitive match, but Juventus is likely to edge it.

    1–2
    Miss
  5. DeepThinker

    Juventus has a stronger attack and slightly better defence. Cagliari's recent form is impressive, but Juventus' overall quality and higher league position suggest they are more likely to win.

    1–2
    Miss
  6. Baseline

    Statistics, not an AI

    0–1
    Miss

What the lead model saw

Cagliari has performed well at home, but Juventus's attack and overall form give them an edge. The recent head-to-head suggests a competitive match, but Juventus is likely to edge it.

— GPT Striker

Market: Juventus FC to win · market 63%

Matchup context

Home: Cagliari Calcio — 4th (P5 W4 D0 L1, GF 5 GA 2, 12 pts, form WWWLW). Last five: A Udinese Calcio 1-0 (W), A Atalanta BC 2-1 (W), H US Lecce 1-0 (W), H FC Internazionale Milano 0-1 (L), A Parma Calcio 1913 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.85, defence 0.88 from 20 matches.

Away: Juventus FC — 7th (P5 W3 D1 L1, GF 8 GA 4, 10 pts, form WLDWW). Last five: H Atalanta BC 2-0 (W), A US Sassuolo Calcio 2-3 (L), H AC Milan 1-1 (D), H Parma Calcio 1913 2-0 (W), A Frosinone Calcio 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.12, defence 0.83 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-17 Cagliari Calcio 1-0 Juventus FC; 2025-11-29 Juventus FC 2-1 Cagliari Calcio.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 0.92 vs 1.15; home 29% · draw 29.9% · away 41.1%; most likely score 0-1; over 2.5 goals 34.2%; both teams to score 41.1%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-10 17:17 UTC): home 6.225 · draw 3.95 · away 1.58; over/under 2.5: 2/1.805.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

Cagliari Calcio

  • Form · confirmed

    Cagliari lost 2-1 at Lazio, with M'Bala Nzola scoring their goal in the 20th minute.

    Source: The Guardian ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Cagliari lost to Lazio after taking the lead early, with Lazio coming back to win after the substitutes changed the game.

    Source: Football Italia ↗
  • Injury · out

    Alessandro Deiola was stretchered off after a head injury sustained in the Cagliari match against Lazio.

    Source: Football Italia ↗
  • Injury · doubtful

    Alessandro Deiola was hurt after taking a Fisayo Dele-Bashiru shot to the face and needed a stretcher.

    Source: Football Italia ↗

Juventus FC

  • Injury · out

    Pape Sarr had a fever and could not play against Napoli.

    Source: Football Italia ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Juventus bounced back from a 2-0 defeat to Genoa on Wednesday to beat Napoli 2-0, with late goals from Alajbegović and Boga after a largely unconvincing performance.

    Source: Football Italia ↗
  • Injury · out

    Weston McKennie went off at half-time with an adductor issue.

    Source: Football Italia ↗
  • Injury · doubtful

    Kerim Alajbegović was seen on the bench with an ice pack strapped to his calf after scoring.

    Source: Football Italia ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

Cagliari Calcio

Juventus FC

Key factors

  • Cagliari's strong home form
  • Juventus's superior attack rating
  • Recent head-to-head advantage for Cagliari

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