Matchup context
Home: Villarreal CF — 18th (P4 W0 D2 L2, GF 6 GA 8, 2 pts, form LLDD). Last five: H RC Deportivo La Coruña 2-3 (L), A Deportivo Alavés 0-1 (L), A Club Atlético de Madrid 2-2 (D), A Real Racing Club de Santander 2-2 (D), H Club Atlético de Madrid 5-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.25, defence 1.10 from 20 matches.
Away: Real Betis Balompié — 7th (P4 W3 D0 L1, GF 5 GA 5, 9 pts, form WLWW). Last five: H Real Madrid CF 1-0 (W), A Levante UD 2-5 (L), A Valencia CF 1-0 (W), H Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-0 (W), H Levante UD 2-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.04, defence 0.97 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-17 Real Betis Balompié 2-0 Villarreal CF; 2025-10-18 Villarreal CF 2-2 Real Betis Balompié.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.93 vs 1.30; home 52.1% · draw 22.2% · away 25.7%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 62.5%; both teams to score 62.1%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-13 17:17 UTC): home 1.905 · draw 3.91 · away 3.7; over/under 2.5: 1.55/2.38.