predict.game AI 体育预测

足球比分预测

Gameweek 5 • La Liga

🏟️ Estadio de la Cerámica

主队

Villarreal CF

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预测赛果

2-1

Home Win (5.2/10)

2026年9月14日星期一 GMT+2 21:00

客队

Real Betis Balompié

查看球队档案 →

Villarreal CF (52%) 平局 (22%) Real Betis Balompié (26%)

推荐价值投注

基于过往战绩的泊松分布基线：预期进球 1.93 对比 1.30，赛果概率 52.1%/22.2%/25.7%。

🤖AI专家预测擂台

✓ 4/5 共识

📊

Baseline STAT

2-1主胜

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.93 vs 1.30, outcome probabilities 52.1/22.2/25.7.

5.2/10

📊 基准模型

价值推介:

🎭

Claude Keeper

2-1主胜

比利亚雷亚尔在新教练和糟糕的防守记录下排名第18，举步维艰。皇家贝蒂斯排名第7，近期状态强劲，并引进了新援（Ceballos、Parrott）。尽管拥有主场优势和科斯塔的回归，但比利亚雷亚尔的获胜乏力以及防守漏洞表明比赛将很激烈，皇家贝蒂斯略占优势。赔率低估了主胜的可能性。

4.2/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:

🧊

Kimi Cool

2-1主胜

比利亚雷亚尔糟糕的开局（排名第18，0胜）被赔率过分夸大了。主场优势、科斯塔的回归以及皇家贝蒂斯本周中欧战的疲劳，使得主胜的价值有所倾斜，尽管皇家贝蒂斯状态更好。

4.2/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:Villarreal CF to win @ 1.905

⚡

Gemini Thunder

2-1主胜

比利亚雷亚尔在新教练的带领下挣扎，但洛根·科斯塔的回归可能会提振他们的进攻。皇家贝蒂斯状态良好，并加强了阵容。考虑到他们近期的表现，客队提供了价值。

4.0/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:Real Betis Balompié to win @ 3.7

🎯

GPT Striker

1-2客胜 CONTRARIAN

比利亚雷亚尔在没有获胜且新教练的情况下陷入困境，而皇家贝蒂斯则表现出稳健的状态，并且在最近的交锋记录中占有优势。

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:Real Betis Balompié to win @ 3.7

🧠

DeepThinker

2-1主胜

尽管状态不佳，比利亚雷亚尔在主场仍略占优势，拥有更好的进攻评分，而皇家贝蒂斯的客场表现不稳定。

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:Villarreal CF to win @ 1.905

Matchup context

Home: Villarreal CF — 18th (P4 W0 D2 L2, GF 6 GA 8, 2 pts, form LLDD). Last five: H RC Deportivo La Coruña 2-3 (L), A Deportivo Alavés 0-1 (L), A Club Atlético de Madrid 2-2 (D), A Real Racing Club de Santander 2-2 (D), H Club Atlético de Madrid 5-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.25, defence 1.10 from 20 matches.

Away: Real Betis Balompié — 7th (P4 W3 D0 L1, GF 5 GA 5, 9 pts, form WLWW). Last five: H Real Madrid CF 1-0 (W), A Levante UD 2-5 (L), A Valencia CF 1-0 (W), H Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-0 (W), H Levante UD 2-1 (W). Rating: attack 1.04, defence 0.97 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-17 Real Betis Balompié 2-0 Villarreal CF; 2025-10-18 Villarreal CF 2-2 Real Betis Balompié.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.93 vs 1.30; home 52.1% · draw 22.2% · away 25.7%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 62.5%; both teams to score 62.1%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-13 17:17 UTC): home 1.905 · draw 3.91 · away 3.7; over/under 2.5: 1.55/2.38.

预测锁定时的已核实事实

Villarreal CF

复出 · fit

Logan Costa has returned to playing after a long-term injury.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Logan Costa was out with a cruciate ligament injury.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Logan Costa has returned to the starting lineup for Villarreal CF.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Juan Foyth was unavailable due to injury.

来源: Marca ↗

状态 · confirmed

Villarreal lost their Champions League match against Borussia Dortmund with a score of 2-3.

来源: BBC Sport ↗

主帅 · confirmed

Villarreal are yet to win under new head coach Iñigo Pérez.

来源: Bundesliga.com ↗

Real Betis Balompié

转会 · confirmed

Dani Ceballos arrived at Real Betis.

来源: Marca ↗

复出 · fit

Álvaro Fidalgo has returned to action for Real Betis after recovering from a knee issue.

来源: Marca ↗

状态 · confirmed

Marc Bartra scored two goals in the match against Lille.

来源: Marca ↗

转会 · confirmed

Pablo García has left Real Betis.

来源: Marca ↗

转会 · confirmed

Troy Parrott's transfer to Real Betis cost 16 million euros fixed plus four in variables.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Aitor Ruibal is out due to injury.

来源: Marca ↗

复出 · fit

Ez Abde returns to the squad.

来源: Marca ↗

复出 · fit

Real Betis has recovered several footballers for their upcoming demanding season.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Héctor Bellerín has played an important role in Troy Parrott's adaptation.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Troy Parrott has been given prominence in important matches.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · out

Morante has returned to the reserve team.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · fit

Dani Ceballos is improving and has been integrated more into training, making the squad list.

来源: Marca ↗

关键战术因素

根据攻防评分，预期进球 1.93 对比 1.30
大2.5球 62.5%，双方均进球 62.1%
鉴于主胜，最可能比分 2-1

公开审计承诺

本预测在开赛前已通过时间戳加密记录。赛后，审计代理将在公开账本上评估预测准确性。

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