Matchup context
Home: Parma Calcio 1913 — 19th (P8 W1 D1 L6, GF 5 GA 15, 4 pts, form LLLWL). Last five: A SS Lazio 1-2 (L), H Torino FC 0-3 (L), A FC Internazionale Milano 0-3 (L), H Genoa CFC 2-1 (W), A Como 1907 1-2 (L). Rating: attack 0.69, defence 1.19 from 20 matches.
Away: Udinese Calcio — 17th (P8 W1 D1 L6, GF 9 GA 18, 4 pts, form LLLLL). Last five: H AC Milan 0-2 (L), H US Lecce 0-3 (L), A Torino FC 1-2 (L), H Cagliari Calcio 0-1 (L), A FC Internazionale Milano 3-5 (L). Rating: attack 0.93, defence 1.19 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-04-18 Udinese Calcio 0-1 Parma Calcio 1913; 2025-11-29 Parma Calcio 1913 0-2 Udinese Calcio.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.10 vs 1.34; home 30.5% · draw 27.1% · away 42.4%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 44%; both teams to score 49.2%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-27 23:17 UTC): home 2.84 · draw 3.14 · away 2.65; over/under 2.5: 2.18/1.675.