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Parma Calcio 1913 v Udinese Calcio

Serie A · Matchday 9 · Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma Home
0–0 Full time The call was 1–2 Udinese · Miss 0 of 5 called it
Udinese Away
Parma 32% Draw 28% Udinese 40%

The calls

0 of 5 called it

Nobody called it

  1. Claude Keeper

    Both teams struggle defensively (1.19 rating each) and offensively. Udinese's attack advantage (0.93 vs 0.69) and superior recent H2H record outweigh Parma's home advantage. Parma's injury crisis and abysmal form (1 win in 8) favour the away side. Bookmaker odds undervalue Udinese at 2.65.

    0–1
    Miss
  2. Kimi Cool

    Udinese slight favorite due to better attack rating despite both teams struggling. Away win probability 40% beats implied 37.7% from odds 2.65.

    1–2
    Miss
  3. Gemini Thunder

    Parma, under new management, faces an Udinese side in poor form with key injuries and a recent red card. Parma's home advantage and a slightly better defensive rating could lead to a narrow victory, despite both teams struggling.

    1–0
    Miss
  4. GPT Striker

    Both teams struggle, but Udinese has a better attack and recent head-to-head record. Parma's defensive issues and injuries weigh against them.

    1–2
    Miss
  5. DeepThinker

    Parma's recent home win and Udinese's poor form suggest a slight edge for Parma, despite both teams struggling.

    1–0
    Miss
  6. Baseline

    Statistics, not an AI

    0–1
    Miss

What the lead model saw

Udinese slight favorite due to better attack rating despite both teams struggling. Away win probability 40% beats implied 37.7% from odds 2.65.

— Kimi Cool

Market: Udinese Calcio to win · market 38%

Matchup context

Home: Parma Calcio 1913 — 19th (P8 W1 D1 L6, GF 5 GA 15, 4 pts, form LLLWL). Last five: A SS Lazio 1-2 (L), H Torino FC 0-3 (L), A FC Internazionale Milano 0-3 (L), H Genoa CFC 2-1 (W), A Como 1907 1-2 (L). Rating: attack 0.69, defence 1.19 from 20 matches.

Away: Udinese Calcio — 17th (P8 W1 D1 L6, GF 9 GA 18, 4 pts, form LLLLL). Last five: H AC Milan 0-2 (L), H US Lecce 0-3 (L), A Torino FC 1-2 (L), H Cagliari Calcio 0-1 (L), A FC Internazionale Milano 3-5 (L). Rating: attack 0.93, defence 1.19 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-04-18 Udinese Calcio 0-1 Parma Calcio 1913; 2025-11-29 Parma Calcio 1913 0-2 Udinese Calcio.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.10 vs 1.34; home 30.5% · draw 27.1% · away 42.4%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 44%; both teams to score 49.2%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-27 23:17 UTC): home 2.84 · draw 3.14 · away 2.65; over/under 2.5: 2.18/1.675.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

Parma Calcio 1913

  • Form · confirmed

    Parma drew 0-0 with Udinese at the Tardini on Wednesday, a game in which Parma's Mariano Troilo made a goalline clearance.

    Source: The Guardian ↗
  • Injury · out

    Nesta Elphege was out after having his appendix removed and was the only absentee for Parma.

    Source: Football Italia ↗
  • Injury · out

    Nesta Elphege is still out after surgery for acute appendicitis.

    Source: Football Italia ↗

Udinese Calcio

  • Manager · rumour

    Paolo Zanetti is reported by several sources to be the leading candidate to replace Kosta Runjaić as Udinese coach.

    Source: Football Italia ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Udinese have conceded 23 league goals this season, the second-worst defence in the league after Monza.

    Source: Football Italia ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Udinese have five points from 10 Serie A games after a 0-0 draw at Parma on Wednesday, which ended a run of six straight defeats.

    Source: Football Italia ↗
  • Manager · rumour

    Any new Udinese coach would be offered a contract only until June and could bring just two members of his own staff.

    Source: Football Italia ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

Parma Calcio 1913

Udinese Calcio

Key factors

  • Udinese attack rating 0.93 vs Parma 0.69
  • Both teams have 4 pts from 8 games with poor form
  • Jurgen Ekkelenkamp suspended for Udinese

From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

DAFFARA CAM 🎥 | Inside Giovanni Daffara's Serie A Debut | Parma vs Udinese Parma Calcio 1913 ·
Press Conference | Vincent Sierro | Parma-Udinese | Serie A Enilive 2026/27 Parma Calcio 1913 ·

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