Matchup context
Home: Getafe CF — 15th (P4 W1 D1 L2, GF 2 GA 5, 4 pts, form DLWL). Last five: H RC Celta de Vigo 1-1 (D), A CA Osasuna 0-1 (L), H Real Racing Club de Santander 1-0 (W), A Deportivo Alavés 0-3 (L), H CA Osasuna 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.71, defence 0.76 from 20 matches.
Away: RC Deportivo La Coruña — 6th (P4 W2 D2 L0, GF 8 GA 5, 8 pts, form WWDD). Last five: A Villarreal CF 3-2 (W), H Valencia CF 3-1 (W), A Málaga CF 1-1 (D), H Elche CF 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.22, defence 0.97 from 4 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.10 vs 1.05; home 36.4% · draw 29.6% · away 34%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 36.3%; both teams to score 43.3%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-12 17:17 UTC): home 2.44 · draw 2.855 · away 3.45; over/under 2.5: 3.05/1.37.