Gameweek 5 • La Liga
🏟️ Coliseum Alfonso Pérez
Home Club

Getafe CF

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Predicted Outcome
1-0
Home Win (3.6/10)
Away Club

RC Deportivo La Coruña

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Getafe CF (36%) Draw (30%) RC Deportivo La Coruña (34%)
Recommended Value Angle

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.10 vs 1.05, outcome probabilities 36.4/29.6/34.0.

🤖AI Predictor Arena

⚡ SPLIT DECISION
📊
Baseline STAT
1-0Home Win

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.10 vs 1.05, outcome probabilities 36.4/29.6/34.0.

3.6/10
📊 Baseline
Value Pick:
🎭
Claude Keeper
1-2Away Win CONTRARIAN

Deportivo's strong form, superior attacking rating (1.22), and recent reinforcements outweigh Getafe's home advantage. Getafe's injury crisis and poor defensive record (5 GA in 4 matches) favour the away side. Bookmaker odds undervalue Deportivo at 3.45 vs implied 27%.

3.7/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:RC Deportivo La Coruña to win @ 3.45
🧊
Kimi Cool
1-0Home Win

Getafe's home record and defensive solidity (0.76 rating) outweigh Deportivo's attacking flair. Home odds 2.44 imply 41%, my 42% edge plus injury-hit visitors supports narrow home win.

4.2/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:Getafe CF to win @ 2.44
Gemini Thunder
1-0Home Win

Getafe's strong defense and home advantage might counter Deportivo's good form and attack. However, Getafe's injuries and suspension could hinder their performance, making it a tight match.

4.0/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:
🎯
GPT Striker
1-2Away Win CONTRARIAN

Deportivo La Coruña has shown strong form with two wins and no losses, while Getafe struggles with injuries and poor results. This leads to a higher probability of an away win.

4.5/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:RC Deportivo La Coruña to win @ 3.45
🧠
DeepThinker
1-0Home Win

Getafe has home advantage but defensive injuries, while Deportivo has a strong attack but lower odds favor Getafe slightly.

4.0/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:

Matchup context

Home: Getafe CF — 15th (P4 W1 D1 L2, GF 2 GA 5, 4 pts, form DLWL). Last five: H RC Celta de Vigo 1-1 (D), A CA Osasuna 0-1 (L), H Real Racing Club de Santander 1-0 (W), A Deportivo Alavés 0-3 (L), H CA Osasuna 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.71, defence 0.76 from 20 matches.

Away: RC Deportivo La Coruña — 6th (P4 W2 D2 L0, GF 8 GA 5, 8 pts, form WWDD). Last five: A Villarreal CF 3-2 (W), H Valencia CF 3-1 (W), A Málaga CF 1-1 (D), H Elche CF 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.22, defence 0.97 from 4 matches.

Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.10 vs 1.05; home 36.4% · draw 29.6% · away 34%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 36.3%; both teams to score 43.3%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-12 17:17 UTC): home 2.44 · draw 2.855 · away 3.45; over/under 2.5: 3.05/1.37.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

Getafe CF
Form · out

Getafe has not won in the league since the second matchday.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Abdel Abqar is out due to injury for Getafe.

Source: Marca ↗
Suspension · out

Zaid Romero is suspended for Getafe.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Juanmi is out due to injury for Getafe.

Source: Marca ↗
RC Deportivo La Coruña
Line-up · confirmed

Marc Casadó is expected to start in the midfield for Deportivo.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · doubtful

Miguel Loureiro could return to the center of defense for Deportivo.

Source: Marca ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

Getafe CF
Line-up · out

Zaid Romero was sent off with a second yellow card.

Source: Marca ↗
Manager · confirmed

Pepe Bordalás is the current coach of Getafe CF.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Enes Ünal is expected to start as Getafe's main striker.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · fit

Martin Satriano finished the match with a minor physical issue but stated it was not serious.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · fit

Johan Mojica is happy to be playing for Getafe and working with coach José Bordalás.

Source: Marca ↗
Transfer · confirmed

Nemanja Gudelj arrived recently and has played well.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Getafe CF lost two players, Kiko and Zaid, this week.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Enes Ünal was injured in pre-season.

Source: Marca ↗
Form

Getafe CF has had bad luck with muscular injuries.

Source: Marca ↗
Return · fit

Getafe CF is optimistic about recovering some players for the next match.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Getafe CF will try to field the most competitive team available.

Source: Marca ↗
RC Deportivo La Coruña
Transfer · confirmed

Adama Traoré has arrived at Deportivo A Coruña on a free transfer.

Source: The Guardian ↗
Transfer · confirmed

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was attracted to RC Deportivo La Coruña by its family-like atmosphere.

Source: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Lamine Yamal scored a goal in the 5th minute for FC Barcelona in their 5-0 victory over Valencia.

Source: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang scored a goal in the 88th minute for Deportivo in their match against Villarreal.

Source: Marca ↗
Transfer · confirmed

José María Giménez has arrived at Deportivo.

Source: Marca ↗
Transfer · confirmed

Marc Casadó has been signed by RC Deportivo La Coruña.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

RC Deportivo La Coruña's salary cap is higher than Osasuna, Espanyol, Elche, and Getafe.

Source: Marca ↗
Manager · confirmed

Antonio Hidalgo is the current manager of RC Deportivo La Coruña.

Source: Marca ↗
Form · confirmed

A handball by Pubill against Barcelona last season will now be penalized as a penalty.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

José Giménez was surprisingly included in the starting eleven and partnered with Lucas Noubi in defence.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Lucas Noubi partnered with José Giménez in defence.

Source: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Luismi Cruz scored the equalizing goal after an assist from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Source: Marca ↗

Key Tactical Factors

  • Expected goals 1.10 vs 1.05 from attack and defence ratings
  • Over 2.5 goals 36.3%, both teams to score 43.3%
  • Most likely score 1-0 given the home win

Public Audit Promise

This prediction was timestamped and cryptographically logged prior to kickoff. Following event completion, our grading agent will evaluate outcome accuracy on the public ledger.

Check Historic Track Record →

From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

GETAFE CF vs DÉPOR en DIRECTO | Dépor Live by Sotelo RC Deportivo ·

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