Matchup context
Home: SV 07 Elversberg — 4th (P2 W2 D0 L0, GF 7 GA 5, 6 pts, form WW). Last five: A Borussia Mönchengladbach 4-3 (W), H Bayer 04 Leverkusen 3-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.32, defence 1.15 from 2 matches.
Away: FC Bayern München — 5th (P2 W1 D1 L0, GF 5 GA 1, 4 pts, form DW). Last five: A FC Schalke 04 0-0 (D), H VfB Stuttgart 5-1 (W), H 1. FC Köln 5-1 (W), A VfL Wolfsburg 1-0 (W), H 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3-3 (D). Rating: attack 1.65, defence 0.81 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.95 vs 2.77; home 26.8% · draw 17.8% · away 55.4%; most likely score 1-2; over 2.5 goals 85%; both teams to score 80.4%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-12 17:17 UTC): home 13.35 · draw 8.5 · away 1.16; over/under 2.5: 1.17/4.9.