Matchup context
Home: Bologna FC 1909 — 16th (P4 W0 D1 L3, GF 2 GA 5, 1 pts, form LDLL). Last five: A SSC Napoli 0-1 (L), H US Sassuolo Calcio 2-2 (D), A Atalanta BC 0-1 (L), H SS Lazio 0-1 (L), H FC Internazionale Milano 3-3 (D). Rating: attack 0.85, defence 1.00 from 20 matches.
Away: Torino FC — 14th (P4 W1 D0 L3, GF 4 GA 7, 3 pts, form LWLL). Last five: H AS Roma 0-2 (L), A ACF Fiorentina 2-1 (W), A US Sassuolo Calcio 1-2 (L), H AC Milan 1-2 (L), H Juventus FC 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 1.03, defence 1.17 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-15 Torino FC 1-2 Bologna FC 1909; 2025-10-29 Bologna FC 1909 0-0 Torino FC.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.29 vs 1.22; home 38.2% · draw 26.9% · away 34.9%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 45.8%; both teams to score 51%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-18 11:17 UTC): home 1.955 · draw 3.5 · away 3.95; over/under 2.5: 1.98/1.815.