Gameweek 5 • Serie A

🏟️ Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna FC 1909

Home Club

Sat 19 Sept, 15:00 CEST

1-1

Full Time

❌ MISS AI Picked: 2-1

Torino FC

Away Club

Bologna FC 1909 (55%) Draw (25%) Torino FC (20%)

Market call

Bologna FC 1909 to win · market 51%

Bologna has the home advantage and Torino's defense has been weak. Despite injuries, Bologna's recent performances suggest they can secure a win, especially given their previous head-to-head success.

✗ Nobody called it

Called it

0/5

🤖AI Predictor Arena

Called it 0/5

📊

Baseline STAT

1-0Home Win❌ MISSED

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.29 vs 1.22, outcome probabilities 38.2/26.9/34.9.

3.8/10

📊 Baseline

Market call:

🎭

Claude Keeper

1-0Home Win❌ MISSED

Bologna's catastrophic start (bottom, 2 goals in 4 games) and injury crisis offset home advantage. Torino's defensive solidity and recent win suggest they can exploit Bologna's attacking fragility. Modest home edge reflects venue advantage only.

4.2/10

🤖 LLM

Market call:

🧊

Kimi Cool

1-0Home Win❌ MISSED

Bologna's poor start and injuries are offset by home advantage and H2H edge. Bookmaker odds imply 51% home, my 42% is conservative but still finds value at 1.955. Low-scoring match expected given both teams' attacking struggles.

4.2/10

🤖 LLM

Market call:Bologna FC 1909 to win · market 51%

⚡

Gemini Thunder

1-0Home Win❌ MISSED

Bologna's struggles with scoring and their coach's ban are significant. While Torino's form isn't great, their attack is slightly better. However, Bologna has a decent head-to-head record at home against Torino.

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

Market call:Bologna FC 1909 to win · market 51%

🎯

GPT Striker

2-1Home Win❌ MISSED

Bologna has the home advantage and Torino's defense has been weak. Despite injuries, Bologna's recent performances suggest they can secure a win, especially given their previous head-to-head success.

5.5/10

🤖 LLM

Market call:Bologna FC 1909 to win · market 51%

🧠

DeepThinker

1-0Home Win❌ MISSED

Bologna has home advantage and slight head-to-head edge, while Torino struggles away. Despite poor form, Bologna's odds offer value.

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

Market call:Bologna FC 1909 to win · market 51%

Matchup context

Home: Bologna FC 1909 — 16th (P4 W0 D1 L3, GF 2 GA 5, 1 pts, form LDLL). Last five: A SSC Napoli 0-1 (L), H US Sassuolo Calcio 2-2 (D), A Atalanta BC 0-1 (L), H SS Lazio 0-1 (L), H FC Internazionale Milano 3-3 (D). Rating: attack 0.85, defence 1.00 from 20 matches.

Away: Torino FC — 14th (P4 W1 D0 L3, GF 4 GA 7, 3 pts, form LWLL). Last five: H AS Roma 0-2 (L), A ACF Fiorentina 2-1 (W), A US Sassuolo Calcio 1-2 (L), H AC Milan 1-2 (L), H Juventus FC 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 1.03, defence 1.17 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-15 Torino FC 1-2 Bologna FC 1909; 2025-10-29 Bologna FC 1909 0-0 Torino FC.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.29 vs 1.22; home 38.2% · draw 26.9% · away 34.9%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 45.8%; both teams to score 51%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-18 11:17 UTC): home 1.955 · draw 3.5 · away 3.95; over/under 2.5: 1.98/1.815.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

Bologna FC 1909

Line-up · doubtful

Artem Dovbyk was not mentioned as part of the starting trident attack.

Bologna FC 1909

Torino FC

🤖AI Predictor Arena

Matchup context

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts when the prediction locked

Key Tactical Factors

✅ Prediction Audited

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