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US Sassuolo Calcio v SS Lazio

Serie A · 第 9 轮 · Mapei Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo 主场
2–6 全场结束 预测结果是1–2 Lazio · 命中 5/5 预测了
Lazio 客场
Sassuolo 22% 平局 28% Lazio 50%

预测

5/5 预测了

本场最佳模型 Claude Keeper, 1–2

  1. Claude Keeper

    拉齐奥的统治性状态和更优的评分表现明显有利于客队。萨索洛阵容削弱且近期战绩糟糕（LLDLW），处于结构性劣势。博彩公司的客胜赔率（2.15）低估了拉齐奥的真实胜率（60%），具有明确的价值。

    1–2
    命中 本场最佳模型
  2. Kimi Cool

    拉齐奥的精湛状态和防守稳固性足以抵消萨索洛的主场优势，尤其是后者伤病名单庞大。隐含客胜概率为46.5%，我的50%预测提供了轻微的价值。

    1–2
    命中
  3. Gemini Thunder

    拉齐奥状态出色，位列联赛第2，攻守兼备。萨索洛排名第14，多名关键球员伤停，近期战绩低迷。鉴于拉齐奥的优异表现，其客场赔率具有价值。

    1–2
    命中
  4. GPT Striker

    拉齐奥状态出色，客场战绩强劲，而萨索洛受伤病困扰，表现不稳定。这使得客胜的可能性更高。

    1–2
    命中
  5. DeepThinker

    拉齐奥的出色状态和更强的进攻能力使其成为热门，而萨索洛的防守问题和伤病进一步打破了双方的平衡。

    1–2
    命中
  6. Baseline

    统计数据，非AI

    1–2
    命中

领先模型分析

拉齐奥的精湛状态和防守稳固性足以抵消萨索洛的主场优势，尤其是后者伤病名单庞大。隐含客胜概率为46.5%，我的50%预测提供了轻微的价值。

— Kimi Cool

市场: SS Lazio to win · market 47%

Matchup context

Home: US Sassuolo Calcio — 14th (P8 W2 D2 L4, GF 12 GA 16, 8 pts, form LLDLW). Last five: A Como 1907 0-2 (L), A Frosinone Calcio 2-4 (L), H AC Milan 1-1 (D), A AC Monza 1-2 (L), H Juventus FC 3-2 (W). Rating: attack 1.03, defence 1.24 from 20 matches.

Away: SS Lazio — 2nd (P8 W7 D1 L0, GF 16 GA 5, 22 pts, form WWWWD). Last five: H Parma Calcio 1913 2-1 (W), A Juventus FC 3-0 (W), H AC Monza 3-1 (W), A Venezia FC 2-0 (W), H AC Milan 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 1.25, defence 0.83 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-09 SS Lazio 2-1 US Sassuolo Calcio; 2025-09-14 US Sassuolo Calcio 1-0 SS Lazio.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.13 vs 1.86; home 23% · draw 22.6% · away 54.4%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 57.6%; both teams to score 57.3%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 23 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-26 17:17 UTC): home 3.3 · draw 3.55 · away 2.15; over/under 2.5: 1.68/2.15.

自预测锁定以来

模型做出预测后验证的事实。

US Sassuolo Calcio

  • 状态 · confirmed

    Sassuolo lost 6-2 at home to Lazio, conceding six goals, and were reduced to 10 men in the 31st minute.

    来源: The Guardian ↗
  • 停赛 · out

    Kristian Thorstvedt was involved in a challenge on Mattia Zaccagni that led to Sassuolo being reduced to 10 men in the 31st minute of the Lazio game.

    来源: The Guardian ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Sassuolo lost 6-2 at home to Lazio in Serie A and had a player sent off, leaving them with 10 men.

    来源: Football Italia ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Stefano Turati saved penalties from Mattia Zaccagni and Davide Frattesi in the Sassuolo 2-6 defeat to Lazio.

    来源: Football Italia ↗

SS Lazio

  • 状态 · confirmed

    Lazio beat Cagliari 2-1 after a comeback to go top of Serie A alone, with 28 points from nine wins and one draw in ten rounds.

    来源: Football Italia ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Lazio beat Cagliari to go top of Serie A alone, their sixth consecutive league win and their ninth win in the first 10 matches.

    来源: Football Italia ↗
  • 伤病 · doubtful

    Mattia Zaccagni picked up a knock against Cagliari and was not running smoothly, so Gattuso chose not to risk keeping him on the pitch.

    来源: Football Italia ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Lazio moved alone to the top of Serie A with a 2-1 comeback win over Cagliari, their fifth straight win after a 6-2 victory over Sassuolo midweek.

    来源: Football Italia ↗

预测锁定时的已核实事实

US Sassuolo Calcio

SS Lazio

关键因素

  • 拉齐奥8场不败，状态顶级WWWWD，对阵萨索洛LLDLW
  • 拉齐奥进攻1.25对1.03，防守0.83对1.24
  • 萨索洛缺阵6名及以上球员，包括Volpato、Koné、Boloca、Walukiewicz

来自俱乐部

比赛期间的官方俱乐部视频。

Serie A Enilive | Gli highlights di Sassuolo-Lazio 2-6 U.S. Sassuolo Calcio ·

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