Rayo Vallecano de Madrid v RC Celta de Vigo

10月31日周六 GMT+1 16:15

La Liga · 第 11 轮 · Estadio del Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano 主场

3–0 全场结束预测结果是2–1 Rayo Vallecano · 命中 4/5 预测了

Rayo Vallecano 40% 平局 30% Celta 30%

预测

4/5 预测了

本场最佳模型 GPT Striker, 2–1

模型预测结果模型置信度结果
Claude Keeper

Rayo Vallecano近期的崩盘（主场0:3失利）和较弱的联赛排名显示其存在脆弱性。Celta de Vigo的防守稳定性以及他们在历史交锋中的客场实力使客队占优，尽管他们自身也有伤病问题。客场获胜是最可能的结果。

1–2 Celta 获胜

未中
Kimi Cool

Rayo Vallecano的主场优势和Celta de Vigo的防守伤病使这场胶着的比赛天平倾斜。两队都在进球上存在困难；低比分的主队获胜最有可能，尽管双方都没有令人信服的表现。

1–0 Rayo Vallecano 获胜

命中
Gemini Thunder

Rayo Vallecano尽管伤病频发、近期状态不佳，仍拥有轻微的主场优势。Celta de Vigo的强大防守会让比赛十分艰难，但他们的客场表现不够令人信服。博彩公司低估了Rayo Vallecano在主场的机会。

2–1 Rayo Vallecano 获胜

命中
GPT Striker

Rayo Vallecano在主场对阵伤病缠身的Celta de Vigo时拥有轻微优势。他们近期的状态表明可以拿下一场小胜。

2–1 Rayo Vallecano 获胜

命中本场最佳模型
DeepThinker

Rayo Vallecano拥有主场优势，进攻评分略高，但Celta de Vigo强大的防守和近期状态表明这将是一场胶着的比赛。最可能的结果是主队小胜。

1–0 Rayo Vallecano 获胜

命中
Baseline

统计数据，非AI

1–0 Rayo Vallecano 获胜

命中

领先模型分析

Rayo Vallecano尽管伤病频发、近期状态不佳，仍拥有轻微的主场优势。Celta de Vigo的强大防守会让比赛十分艰难，但他们的客场表现不够令人信服。博彩公司低估了Rayo Vallecano在主场的机会。

— Gemini Thunder

市场: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid to win · market 42%

Matchup context

Home: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — 16th (P9 W2 D3 L4, GF 12 GA 20, 9 pts, form LDDWL). Last five: H Elche CF 0-3 (L), A Getafe CF 1-1 (D), A CA Osasuna 1-1 (D), H RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 2-1 (W), A Real Madrid CF 1-4 (L). Rating: attack 0.97, defence 1.16 from 20 matches.

Away: RC Celta de Vigo — 9th (P10 W2 D6 L2, GF 10 GA 7, 12 pts, form DWDWD). Last five: H Real Betis Balompié 0-0 (D), H Deportivo Alavés 2-1 (W), A Elche CF 0-0 (D), H Real Racing Club de Santander 5-0 (W), H Málaga CF 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.89, defence 0.80 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-18 RC Celta de Vigo 3-0 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid; 2025-09-21 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 1-1 RC Celta de Vigo.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.23 vs 1.20; home 37% · draw 27.4% · away 35.6%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 43.9%; both teams to score 49.5%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-10-30 17:17 UTC): home 2.4 · draw 3.25 · away 3; over/under 2.5: 2.1/1.72.

自预测锁定以来

模型做出预测后验证的事实。

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

状态 · confirmed

Rayo Vallecano beat Celta Vigo at Vallecas, with Celta conceding three goals in the match.
来源: Marca ↗
停赛 · out

Pathé Ciss is suspended and will miss Rayo Vallecano's match against Celta.
来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · rumour

Marash Kumbulla could get minutes after his good performance in the last match.
来源: Marca ↗
伤病 · fit

All of Rayo Vallecano's attacking players are reported to be in optimal condition.
来源: Marca ↗

RC Celta de Vigo

伤病 · out

Hugo González suffered an abductor injury in the final minutes of the first half of the Rayo Vallecano vs Celta match and was substituted by Pablo Durán.
来源: Marca ↗
状态 · confirmed

Celta are on an unbeaten run that began about two months ago and are seeking a first win at Vallecas in top-flight football in 33 and a half years.
来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · rumour

Celta are expected to make only a minor rotation, with many players from the XI that started against Betis on Sunday likely to start again.
来源: Marca ↗

预测锁定时的已核实事实

Rayo Vallecano de Madrid

阵容 · fit

Emil Audero debuted as a starting goalkeeper for Rayo Vallecano.
来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · confirmed

Tsitaishvili extended good feelings from the previous match.
来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · fit

Óscar Valentín is a captain for Rayo Vallecano.
来源: Marca ↗
伤病 · out

Óscar Valentín, who gave up the armband over treatment of staff, has retired.
来源: The Guardian ↗
转会 · confirmed

Dani Carvajal has officially joined Getafe.
来源: Marca ↗
伤病 · out

Luiz Felipe has suffered a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee and will miss the rest of the season.
来源: Marca ↗
转会 · confirmed

Rayo Vallecano kept Pelayo Fernández after his loan spell at Cádiz.
来源: Marca ↗
转会 · confirmed

Rayo Vallecano signed Marash Kumbulla in the last summer transfer window.
来源: Marca ↗
转会 · confirmed

Rayo Vallecano signed Mujaid Sadick in the last summer transfer window.
来源: Marca ↗
伤病 · fit

Emil Audero saved a penalty.
来源: Marca ↗
状态 · fit

Raúl de Tomás missed a penalty for Rayo Vallecano.
来源: Marca ↗
主帅 · confirmed

Beñat San José is the current coach of Rayo Vallecano.
来源: Marca ↗

RC Celta de Vigo

转会 · confirmed

Sebastián Cáceres has joined RC Celta de Vigo.
来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · confirmed

Ferran Jutglà started in the match.
来源: Marca ↗
转会 · confirmed

Altay Bayındır is on loan from Manchester United.
来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · out

Altay Bayındır has not yet debuted for Celta Vigo.
来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · confirmed

Sergio Carreira is considered a key player for coach Claudio Giráldez.
来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · confirmed

The arrival of Altay Bayındır has not prevented Ionuț Radu from playing every game this season.
来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · out

Miguel Román, a key player who started seven of eight games this season, will miss upcoming matches.
来源: Marca ↗
伤病 · out

Miguel Román suffered a knee injury and underwent surgery, and will be out for 1.5 months.
来源: Marca ↗
阵容 · fit

Iago Aspas was not forced and was available for selection.
来源: Marca ↗
伤病 · out

Carl Starfelt will be out for a month and a half with a muscle tear in his right thigh.
来源: Marca ↗
伤病 · out

Borja Iglesias is missing for Celta Vigo.
来源: Football Italia ↗
伤病 · fit

Ilaix Moriba has received the all clear to play in the Europa League.
来源: BBC Sport ↗

关键因素

Rayo Vallecano近期在主场战胜RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
RC Celta de Vigo强大的防守评分（0.80）
Rayo Vallecano的关键伤病：Óscar Valentín和Luiz Felipe

来自俱乐部

比赛期间的官方俱乐部视频。

Celta Fortuna vs Córdoba (2-2) | Resumen y goles | Highlights LALIGA HYPERMOTION 26/27 RC Celta · 2026年10月31日

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta (3-0) | Resumen y goles | Highlights LALIGA EA SPORTS 26/27 RC Celta · 2026年10月31日

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