predictgame

AS Roma v US Sassuolo Calcio

Serie A · 第 11 轮 · Stadio Olimpico

Roma 主场
3–0 全场结束 预测结果是3–1 Roma · 命中 5/5 预测了
Sassuolo 客场
Roma 78% 平局 14% Sassuolo 8%

预测

5/5 预测了

本场最佳模型 Claude Keeper, 3–1

  1. Claude Keeper

    罗马状态火热(7胜3平),攻防数据占优,且拥有主场优势,因此是压倒性的热门。萨索洛防守脆弱、状态低迷,使其客场赔率很低。鉴于罗马进攻犀利、萨索洛防线漏洞百出,大于2.5球的概率超过75%,相较3.15的冷门赔率具有价值。

    3–1
    命中 本场最佳模型
  2. Kimi Cool

    罗马的强势状态、攻防评级优势以及主场优势,足以压过博彩赔率。萨索洛防守脆弱,加之有球员停赛,实力进一步削弱。

    3–1
    命中
  3. Gemini Thunder

    AS罗马状态极佳,十场不败,攻守俱佳。萨索洛陷入低迷,近五场输掉四场,且有一名球员停赛。罗马在对阵萨索洛的交锋记录中也占据优势。

    3–1
    命中
  4. GPT Striker

    AS罗马状态出色,主场优势明显,而萨索洛防守乏力,已连续输掉四场比赛。交锋记录也对罗马有利,因此罗马是明显的热门。

    3–1
    命中
  5. DeepThinker

    AS罗马状态出色,主场实力强劲,而萨索洛防守乏力,近五场输掉四场。罗马近期交锋中的压倒性表现进一步支持主场取胜的可能性。

    3–1
    命中
  6. Baseline

    统计数据,非AI

    3–1
    命中

领先模型分析

罗马状态火热(7胜3平),攻防数据占优,且拥有主场优势,因此是压倒性的热门。萨索洛防守脆弱、状态低迷,使其客场赔率很低。鉴于罗马进攻犀利、萨索洛防线漏洞百出,大于2.5球的概率超过75%,相较3.15的冷门赔率具有价值。

— Claude Keeper

市场: Over 2.5 goals · market 74%

Matchup context

Home: AS Roma — 3rd (P10 W7 D3 L0, GF 28 GA 10, 24 pts, form WWDWD). Last five: A Udinese Calcio 5-2 (W), H Cagliari Calcio 4-2 (W), A SSC Napoli 3-3 (D), H Genoa CFC 2-0 (W), A Como 1907 0-0 (D). Rating: attack 1.72, defence 0.87 from 20 matches.

Away: US Sassuolo Calcio — 17th (P10 W2 D2 L6, GF 16 GA 26, 8 pts, form LLLLD). Last five: H ACF Fiorentina 2-4 (L), H SS Lazio 2-6 (L), A Como 1907 0-2 (L), A Frosinone Calcio 2-4 (L), H AC Milan 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.07, defence 1.53 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-01-10 AS Roma 2-0 US Sassuolo Calcio; 2025-10-26 US Sassuolo Calcio 0-1 AS Roma.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 3.56 vs 1.15; home 81.2% · draw 10.7% · away 8.1%; most likely score 3-1; over 2.5 goals 84.7%; both teams to score 66.5%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 24 bookmakers, captured 2026-11-06 17:17 UTC): home 1.29 · draw 6.15 · away 9; over/under 2.5: 1.35/3.15.

自预测锁定以来

模型做出预测后验证的事实。

AS Roma

  • 状态 · confirmed

    Mario Hermoso scored a left-footed strike from outside the box in Roma's 3-0 win over Sassuolo on Saturday, his third goal of the season.

    来源: Football Italia ↗
  • 转会 · rumour

    Roma are reportedly keeping a close eye on Ademola Lookman as they look for more attacking options alongside their pursuit of Endrick.

    来源: Football Italia ↗
  • 转会 · rumour

    Roma are monitoring Frosinone wingers Giorgi Kvernadze, Rodrigo Riquelme and Samuel Lino as they look for a quick winger who can run in behind.

    来源: Football Italia ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Pisilli says AS Roma are doing well this season, though he notes final standings will only be decided at the end of the campaign.

    来源: Marca ↗

US Sassuolo Calcio

  • 主帅 · confirmed

    Sassuolo appointed Roberto D'Aversa as head coach, replacing the dismissed Alberto Aquilani, on a contract until 30 June 2027.

    来源: Football Italia ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    D'Aversa's first match in charge of Sassuolo will be after the international break, and he will be assisted by Salvatore Sullo.

    来源: Football Italia ↗
  • 主帅 · rumour

    Roberto D'Aversa is reported by multiple sources to have been chosen as Sassuolo's next coach, with a contract to the end of the current campaign and no automatic renewal, with the club finalising details.

    来源: Football Italia ↗
  • 状态 · confirmed

    Sassuolo lost five consecutive Serie A matches, the last a 3-0 defeat to Roma, leaving them near the bottom of the table.

    来源: Football Italia ↗

预测锁定时的已核实事实

AS Roma

US Sassuolo Calcio

关键因素

  • 罗马排名第3,对阵萨索洛(排名第17,2胜6负)时战绩为7胜3平;状态差距悬殊
  • 罗马进攻1.72对阵萨索洛防守1.53;萨索洛10场比赛丢了26球
  • 萨索洛状态急转直下(连续4场输球);罗马近期胜场中场均进球超过3个

来自俱乐部

比赛期间的官方俱乐部视频。

Serie A Enilive | Gli highlights di Roma-Sassuolo 3-0 U.S. Sassuolo Calcio ·
ROMA 3-0 SASSUOLO | SERIE A HIGHLIGHTS 2026-27 AS Roma ·

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