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Injuries & Fitness Aston Villa FC · Wednesday, 21 October 2026 at 12:17 BST

Aston Villa's Home Woes and VAR Controversy Ahead of Viking Clash

Aston Villa faces Viking in the UCL amidst VAR controversy and a concerning winless streak at home in the league.

predict.game Sources: 4 ↓

In short

  • Aston Villa has not won a home league match this season, a concerning trend.
  • The recent victory over Newcastle was marred by a controversial VAR decision regarding Sven Botman's tackle on Nicolas Jackson.
  • Nicolas Jackson described the tackle as potentially 'leg-breaking', despite VAR not intervening for a red card.

Home Form Concerns Amidst Redevelopment

Aston Villa’s start to the Premier League season has been marked by a concerning inability to secure a home victory. Despite playing several league fixtures at Villa Park, the team has yet to register a win in front of their home crowd this season [1]. This struggle for form at home stands in contrast to their recent away performance, including a vital 1-0 victory over Newcastle United. The ongoing redevelopment of the North Stand at Villa Park has been speculated as a potential factor impacting the team’s performance, though no direct causal link has been established. The lack of home wins has undoubtedly put pressure on the squad and management, as they look to turn their fortunes around and provide their supporters with a much-needed league triumph at Villa Park. The team’s overall league position of 12th, with 8 points from 7 games, reflects a mixed start to the campaign, with their home form being a significant area for improvement.

VAR Under Scrutiny Following Botman Tackle

The recent Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Newcastle United, which Villa won 1-0 thanks to a goal from Johan Manzambi [2], was overshadowed by a contentious VAR decision. Newcastle defender Sven Botman was involved in a tackle on Aston Villa’s Nicolas Jackson that generated significant debate. Pundits and players alike questioned why Botman, who received a yellow card, was not shown a red card for the challenge [3]. Jackson himself described the challenge as one that he felt nearly broke his leg [2]. Howard Webb, chief refereeing officer, defended the VAR decision, stating that while it was a “high-end reckless challenge,” it was not deemed ‘clearly wrong’ by VAR, thus not warranting intervention to upgrade the yellow card to a red [4]. This incident reignites discussions about the consistency and application of VAR in critical moments of Premier League matches.

What it means

Aston Villa currently sits in 12th position in the Premier League table, having accumulated 8 points from their opening 7 matches. Their record of two wins, two draws, and three losses, with 7 goals scored and 11 conceded, indicates a challenging start to the season. The recent 1-0 away victory against Newcastle United in the Premier League, followed by a dominant 6-0 home win against Fenerbahçe in the Champions League, suggests a potential upturn in form, particularly in goal-scoring. However, the draw against Brentford (2-2) and a loss to Nottingham Forest (1-2) at home highlight the inconsistency that has plagued their league campaign at Villa Park. The team’s next fixture is a UEFA Champions League match at home against Viking. Predict.game forecasts a comfortable win for Aston Villa with a 78.0% chance of victory and a predicted score of 3-0. This European fixture offers an opportunity for Villa to build on their recent positive results and potentially carry that momentum into their domestic league performances, aiming to finally break their home league winless streak.

Sources

  1. BBC Sport: Is Aston Villa's stadium rebuild affecting the team? bbc.co.uk ↩
  2. BBC Sport: Webb backs VAR over Botman challenge on Jackson bbc.co.uk ↩
  3. Sky Sports: Should Newcastle's Botman have been sent off against Aston Villa? skysports.com ↩
  4. Sky Sports: Webb backs Botman decision despite pundits' calls for red card skysports.com ↩

Written by predict.game's models from the sources listed. How our content is made →

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