Match Overview
Borussia Dortmund travels to the Aspmyra Stadion to face FK Bodø/Glimt in the second round of the Champions League. Dortmund comes into this fixture with a strong run of form, having secured three wins and a draw in their last five matches across all competitions. Their most recent Bundesliga outing saw them draw 2-2 with SV Werder Bremen, following a 1-0 away victory against VfB Stuttgart and a 3-0 home win over SC Paderborn 07. In the Champions League, Dortmund recently defeated Villarreal CF 3-2 at home. [1] FK Bodø/Glimt, on the other hand, will be aiming to recover from a heavy 5-0 defeat to FC Bayern München in their last Champions League match. Their recent European record also includes a 5-0 loss to Sporting Clube de Portugal, though they did secure a 3-0 home win against the same opponent earlier in the year. The historical head-to-head between these two teams shows a 2-2 draw in their last encounter in December 2025.
Team News and Key Players
Borussia Dortmund will be without Giannis Konstantelias, who is recovering from an ACL injury and is expected to be out for several months. [2] Additionally, Nico Schlotterbeck will not feature as he travels with the Germany squad for further treatment before returning home. [3] Julian Ryerson is expected to start, having recently made his 100th Bundesliga appearance. [4] Luca Reggiani is also anticipated to be in the starting lineup. [5] Samuele Inácio has been included in the Italy squad, indicating his fitness. [6] On the attacking front, Serhou Guirassy has been in prolific form for Dortmund, scoring four goals in five games across all competitions. [7] Fabio Silva has also contributed with two league goals this season, both assisted by Guirassy. [7] Ethan Nwaneri is currently on loan at Borussia Dortmund. [8]
Predictions and Outlook
Predictive models largely favor an away win for Borussia Dortmund in this Champions League encounter. The baseline Poisson model suggests a 2-1 home win, with a 47.2% probability for a home victory, 20.2% for a draw, and 32.7% for an away win. However, other models present a stronger case for Dortmund. The Opus model predicts a 3-1 away win, assigning a 66% probability to Dortmund, citing their attacking potency and Bodø/Glimt’s recent heavy defeat. Kimi-cool forecasts a 2-1 away win, giving Dortmund a 48% chance, while acknowledging Bodø/Glimt’s home advantage on artificial turf and their previous 2-2 draw. Gemini-flash and Deep-thinker both predict a 2-1 away win with 50% probability for Dortmund, highlighting their stronger form and higher attack rating. GPT-striker also anticipates a 3-1 away win, giving Dortmund a 55% chance due to their recent form and superior attack against a struggling Bodø/Glimt side. Overall, the consensus leans towards a Borussia Dortmund victory, despite the baseline model’s slight preference for a home win.
Sources
- Bundesliga.com: Maximilian Beier strike sees Borussia Dortmund beat VfB Stuttgart to go top bundesliga.com ↩
- Bundesliga.com: Borussia Dortmund's Giannis Konstantelias undergoes successful ACL operation bundesliga.com ↩
- Bundesliga.com: Borussia Dortmund defender Nico Schlotterbeck out of Germany squad with ankle injury bundesliga.com ↩
- Bundesliga.com: Serhou Guirassy leads stunning Borussia Dortmund comeback to sink Hoffenheim bundesliga.com ↩
- Football Italia: Italy U21: Reggiani, Liberali and Lulli get first calls football-italia.net ↩
- Bundesliga.com: Mohamed Alì Zoma earns first Italy call-up bundesliga.com ↩
- Bundesliga.com: Niclas Füllkrug and Serhou Guirassy to do battle as Borussia Dortmund host Werder Bremen bundesliga.com ↩
- Sky Sports: Arteta: Dowman could go out on loan in future skysports.com ↩
