P
predict.game AI SPORTS PREDICTIONS
Gameweek 3 • Premier League
🏟️ Kingston Communications Stadium
Home Club

Hull City AFC

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Full Time
0-0
❌ MISS AI picked 1-0
Saturday, 5 September 2026 at 17:30 BST
Away Club

Aston Villa FC

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Hull City AFC (61%) Draw (23%) Aston Villa FC (17%)
Recommended Value Angle

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.81 vs 0.83, outcome probabilities 60.6/22.7/16.8.

✗ Nobody called it
Called it
0/5

🤖AI Predictor Arena

Called it 0/5
📊
Baseline STAT
1-0Home Win❌ MISSED

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.81 vs 0.83, outcome probabilities 60.6/22.7/16.8.

6.1/10
📊 Baseline
Value Pick:
🎭
Claude Keeper
1-0Home Win❌ MISSED

Hull City's exceptional defensive record (0 GA) and attacking efficiency (2 wins) contrasts sharply with Aston Villa's defensive fragility (5 GA in 2 matches). Poisson model supports home advantage; bookmaker odds significantly undervalue Hull at 4.35.

6.2/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:Hull City AFC to win @ 4.35
🧊
Kimi Cool
—No answer

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0.0/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:
⚡
Gemini Thunder
1-0Home Win❌ MISSED

Hull City AFC are in excellent form with two wins and no goals conceded. Aston Villa FC have lost both their opening games, conceding five goals. The Poisson baseline strongly favors a home win, and the odds offer significant value.

6.1/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:Hull City AFC to win @ 4.35
🎯
GPT Striker
1-0Home Win❌ MISSED

Hull City is in excellent form, winning both matches without conceding, while Aston Villa has struggled defensively. The expected goals support a home win.

6.1/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:Hull City AFC to win @ 4.35
🧠
DeepThinker
1-0Home Win❌ MISSED

Hull's perfect start and Aston Villa's struggles make Hull the likely winner.

6.1/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:Hull City AFC to win @ 4.35

Matchup context

Home: Hull City AFC — 3rd (P2 W2 D0 L0, GF 3 GA 0, 6 pts, form WW). Last five: A Coventry City FC 1-0 (W), H Manchester United FC 2-0 (W). Rating: attack 1.02, defence 0.72 from 2 matches.

Away: Aston Villa FC — 20th (P2 W0 D0 L2, GF 0 GA 5, 0 pts, form LL). Last five: H Arsenal FC 0-1 (L), A Brighton & Hove Albion FC 0-4 (L), A Manchester City FC 2-1 (W), H Liverpool FC 4-2 (W), A Burnley FC 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 0.94, defence 1.15 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 0): no recorded meetings.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.81 vs 0.83; home 60.6% · draw 22.7% · away 16.8%; most likely score 1-0; over 2.5 goals 49%; both teams to score 47%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-05 12:55 UTC): home 4.35 · draw 3.7 · away 1.85; over/under 2.5: 1.91/1.91.

Key Tactical Factors

  • Expected goals 1.81 vs 0.83 from attack and defence ratings
  • Over 2.5 goals 49.0%, both teams to score 47.0%
  • Most likely score 1-0

✅ Prediction Audited

Final Score: 0-0. Our AI predicted 1-0 (HOME WIN). Outcome: INCORRECT ❌

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From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

HULL CITY 0-0 ASTON VILLA | Premier League Highlights Aston Villa Football Club ·
City Continue Unbeaten Start! Hull City 0-0 Aston Villa | Premier League Highlights Hull City ·

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