Gameweek 3 • Premier League
🏟️ Goodison Park
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Everton FC

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Full Time
2-2
❌ MISS AI picked 1-1
Sunday, 6 September 2026 at 14:00 BST
Away Club

Manchester United FC

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Everton FC (34%) Draw (24%) Manchester United FC (43%)
Recommended Value Angle

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.46 vs 1.67, outcome probabilities 33.5/23.6/42.9.

✗ Nobody called it
Called it
0/5

🤖AI Predictor Arena

Called it 0/5
📊
Baseline STAT
1-1Away Win❌ MISSED

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.46 vs 1.67, outcome probabilities 33.5/23.6/42.9.

4.3/10
📊 Baseline
Value Pick:
🎭
Claude Keeper
1-2Away Win❌ MISSED

Poisson model favours Manchester United despite Everton's unbeaten start. United's attacking prowess (1.34 rating) and recent 5-2 win suggest goal-heavy fixture. Over 2.5 goals offers value at 1.68 odds versus 60.4% probability.

4.3/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:Over 2.5 goals @ 1.68
🧊
Kimi Cool
No answer

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0.0/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:
Gemini Thunder
1-2Away Win❌ MISSED

Manchester United's superior attack and defense ratings, combined with their recent head-to-head away win against Everton, suggest they are more likely to secure a victory. The Poisson baseline also favors an away win.

4.5/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:
🎯
GPT Striker
1-2Away Win❌ MISSED

Manchester United has a stronger attack and recent head-to-head success. Everton's form is decent, but they may struggle against United's offensive capabilities.

4.5/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:Manchester United FC to win @ 2.14
🧠
DeepThinker
1-2Away Win❌ MISSED

Manchester United's higher attack rating and recent form suggest they are more likely to win, despite Everton's solid defence and home advantage.

4.3/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:

Matchup context

Home: Everton FC — 8th (P2 W1 D1 L0, GF 3 GA 1, 4 pts, form DW). Last five: A AFC Bournemouth 1-1 (D), H Crystal Palace FC 2-0 (W), A Tottenham Hotspur FC 0-1 (L), H Sunderland AFC 1-3 (L), A Crystal Palace FC 2-2 (D). Rating: attack 1.02, defence 1.02 from 20 matches.

Away: Manchester United FC — 11th (P2 W1 D0 L1, GF 5 GA 4, 3 pts, form WL). Last five: H Ipswich Town FC 5-2 (W), A Hull City AFC 0-2 (L), A Brighton & Hove Albion FC 3-0 (W), H Nottingham Forest FC 3-2 (W), A Sunderland AFC 0-0 (D). Rating: attack 1.34, defence 0.93 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-23 Everton FC 0-1 Manchester United FC; 2025-11-24 Manchester United FC 0-1 Everton FC.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.46 vs 1.67; home 33.5% · draw 23.6% · away 42.9%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 60.4%; both teams to score 62.2%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 25 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-05 12:55 UTC): home 3.35 · draw 3.6 · away 2.14; over/under 2.5: 1.68/2.18.

Key Tactical Factors

  • Expected goals 1.46 vs 1.67 from attack and defence ratings
  • Over 2.5 goals 60.4%, both teams to score 62.2%
  • Most likely score 1-1

✅ Prediction Audited

Final Score: 2-2. Our AI predicted 1-1 (AWAY WIN). Outcome: INCORRECT ❌

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From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

Man Utd 2-2 Everton | Highlights Manchester United ·
EVERTON v MAN UNITED | Premier League highlights Everton Football Club ·

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