predict.game AI SPORTS PREDICTIONS

Football Predictions

Gameweek 4 • La Liga

🏟️ Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero

Home Club

Elche CF

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Predicted Outcome

2-1

Home Win (4.5/10)

Monday, 7 September 2026 at 21:30 CEST

Away Club

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

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Elche CF (45%) Draw (23%) Real Sociedad de Fútbol (32%)

Recommended Value Angle

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.75 vs 1.46, outcome probabilities 44.5/23.1/32.3.

🤖AI Predictor Arena

✓ 5/5 CONSENSUS

📊

Baseline STAT

2-1Home Win CONTRARIAN

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.75 vs 1.46, outcome probabilities 44.5/23.1/32.3.

4.5/10

📊 Baseline

Value Pick:

🎭

Claude Keeper

1-2Away Win

Elche's poor form (LLD, 19th place, -6 GD) contrasts sharply with Sociedad's stability. Despite Sociedad's recent struggles, their defensive and attacking metrics exceed Elche's. H2H favours Sociedad. Bookmaker odds undervalue away win at 2.24 (implied 44.6%) versus calculated 50%.

5.0/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win @ 2.24

🧊

Kimi Cool

0-1Away Win

Real Sociedad favored despite poor away form; Elche's defensive collapse (5-0, 3-2 losses) makes away win most likely. Odds imply 44% away, matching my assessment—no value.

4.4/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:

⚡

Gemini Thunder

1-2Away Win

Elche's defensive vulnerabilities and poor start to the season make Real Sociedad strong favorites. Real Sociedad's attack is more potent, and their recent form is better, suggesting an away win.

4.7/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:

🎯

GPT Striker

1-2Away Win

Real Sociedad has shown a stronger performance overall and has a recent head-to-head advantage. Elche's poor form and defensive struggles suggest they will struggle against Sociedad's attack.

5.5/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:Real Sociedad de Fútbol to win @ 2.24

🧠

DeepThinker

1-2Away Win

Elche's weak form and defensive issues contrast with Real Sociedad's slightly better performance and head-to-head advantage.

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

Value Pick:Draw @ 3.55

Matchup context

Home: Elche CF — 19th (P3 W0 D1 L2, GF 3 GA 9, 1 pts, form LLD). Last five: A Real Racing Club de Santander 2-3 (L), H FC Barcelona 0-5 (L), A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 (D), A Girona FC 1-1 (D), H Getafe CF 1-0 (W). Rating: attack 0.91, defence 1.25 from 20 matches.

Away: Real Sociedad de Fútbol — 14th (P4 W1 D1 L2, GF 3 GA 6, 4 pts, form DWLL). Last five: H RC Celta de Vigo 0-0 (D), H RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 2-1 (W), A Real Madrid CF 1-4 (L), A Real Betis Balompié 0-1 (L), A RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 1.03, defence 1.21 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-07 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 3-1 Elche CF; 2025-11-07 Elche CF 1-1 Real Sociedad de Fútbol.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.75 vs 1.46; home 44.5% · draw 23.1% · away 32.3%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 62.2%; both teams to score 63.4%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-06 23:17 UTC): home 3.1 · draw 3.55 · away 2.24; over/under 2.5: 1.75/2.045.

Key Tactical Factors

Expected goals 1.75 vs 1.46 from attack and defence ratings
Over 2.5 goals 62.2%, both teams to score 63.4%
Most likely score 2-1 given the home win

Public Audit Promise

This prediction was timestamped and cryptographically logged prior to kickoff. Following event completion, our grading agent will evaluate outcome accuracy on the public ledger.

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From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

RUEDA DE PRENSA | Pellegrino Matarazzo | Elche CF - Real Sociedad Real Sociedad TV · 7 Sept 2026

HIGHLIGHTS | LaLiga Hypermotion 26-27 | J4 | Sanse 1-1 CD Tenerife Real Sociedad TV · 5 Sept 2026

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