Gameweek 5 • La Liga
🏟️ San Mamés

Athletic Club

Hjemmelag
1-1
Sluttresultat
❌ MISS AI-Tips: 2-1

Elche CF

Bortelag
Athletic Club (58%) Uavgjort (21%) Elche CF (21%)
Markedsanalyse

Poisson-baseline fra registrerte resultater: forventede mål 2,10 vs 1,19, utfallssannsynligheter 58,4/20,7/20,9.

✗ Ingen traff
Traff
0/5

🤖AI-Ekspertarena

Traff 0/5
📊
Baseline STAT
2-1Hjemmeseier❌ MISSED

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 2.10 vs 1.19, outcome probabilities 58.4/20.7/20.9.

5.8/10
📊 Basismodell
Markedsanalyse:
🎭
Claude Keeper
2-0Hjemmeseier❌ MISSED

Athletic Clubs nylige oppsving (3-0 seier mot Atlético Madrid) og overlegne defensive metrikker favoriserer hjemmelaget sterkt mot et slitende Elche (19. plass, -7 målforskjell). Bookmakernes odds (1,42) undervurderer Athletic's sannsynlighet gitt formforskjellen og innbyrdes fordel.

7.2/10
🤖 LLM
Markedsanalyse:Athletic Club to win · market 70%
🧊
Kimi Cool
2-0Hjemmeseier❌ MISSED

Athletics momentum, hjemmebanefordel og overlegne angreps-/forsvarsrangeringer mot et slitende Elche-lag gjør hjemmeseier svært sannsynlig. Bookmakernes implisitte sannsynlighet på 70 % er nær rettferdig; liten verdi på hjemmelaget gitt formgapet.

6.8/10
🤖 LLM
Markedsanalyse:Athletic Club to win · market 70%
⚡
Gemini Thunder
2-0Hjemmeseier❌ MISSED

Athletic Club er i sterk form, spesielt hjemme, og har en overlegen angrep og forsvar. Elche sliter derimot, spesielt defensivt, og har en dårlig bortestatistikk. Returen av nøkkelspillere for Athletic Club styrker deres posisjon ytterligere.

6.5/10
🤖 LLM
Markedsanalyse:Athletic Club to win · market 70%
🎯
GPT Striker
2-1Hjemmeseier❌ MISSED

Athletic Club har vist bedre form og har hjemmebanefordel, mens Elche sliter defensivt. Sannsynlighetene reflekterer Athletic Clubs sannsynlighet for å vinne basert på nylige prestasjoner og innbyrdes resultater.

7.0/10
🤖 LLM
Markedsanalyse:Athletic Club to win · market 70%
🧠
DeepThinker
2-1Hjemmeseier❌ MISSED

Athletic Club har vist sterk nylig form med to strake seire, mens Elche CF sliter defensivt. Innbyrdes oppgjør favoriserer Athletic Club, noe som gjør dem til den sannsynlige vinneren.

6.5/10
🤖 LLM
Markedsanalyse:

Matchup context

Home: Athletic Club — 10th (P4 W2 D0 L2, GF 6 GA 5, 6 pts, form WWLL). Last five: H Club Atlético de Madrid 3-0 (W), A RC Celta de Vigo 2-0 (W), A FC Barcelona 0-2 (L), H Sevilla FC 1-3 (L), A Real Madrid CF 2-4 (L). Rating: attack 1.02, defence 1.11 from 20 matches.

Away: Elche CF — 19th (P4 W0 D1 L3, GF 5 GA 12, 1 pts, form LLLD). Last five: H Real Sociedad de Fútbol 2-3 (L), A Real Racing Club de Santander 2-3 (L), H FC Barcelona 0-5 (L), A RC Deportivo La Coruña 1-1 (D), A Girona FC 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.94, defence 1.30 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-02-20 Athletic Club 2-1 Elche CF; 2025-10-19 Elche CF 0-0 Athletic Club.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.10 vs 1.19; home 58.4% · draw 20.7% · away 20.9%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 63.9%; both teams to score 61%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-11 17:17 UTC): home 1.42 · draw 4.9 · away 7.5; over/under 2.5: 1.67/2.17.

Siden prognosen ble låst

Verifiserte fakta som kom etter at modellene hadde gitt sin vurdering.

Athletic Club
Form · confirmed

Iñaki Williams complained about Getafe CF's style of play after a match.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Unai Simón played in goal for Spain in the 2026 World Cup.

Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Nico Williams assisted the winning goal for Ferran Torres in the 2026 World Cup final.

Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Aymeric Laporte was a key cornerstone of Spain's defence in the 2026 World Cup, which conceded just one goal in eight matches.

Kilde: BBC Sport ↗
Elche CF
Form · out

Ali Houary has seen his participation decrease and has been left out of the last three matchday squads.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Overgang · confirmed

Ali Houary's release clause has been raised to over 15 million euros.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Ali Houary started in the first three league matches of the season.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Elche CF's planning was conditioned by budget limitations, leading to late market closures.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Verifiserte fakta da tipset ble låst

Athletic Club
Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Robert Navarro scored after an assist from Iñaki Williams.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Nico Williams returned to scoring in the league.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Form · confirmed

Oihan Sancet scored a goal in the match against Atlético Madrid.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Robert Navarro scored a goal in the 48th minute for Athletic Club in their 3-0 victory over Atlético de Madrid.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Comeback · fit

Iñaki Williams has retired from international duty with Ghana.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Trener · confirmed

Edin Terzić is satisfied with his current role at Athletic Club.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · fit

Oihan Sancet is back in the Athletic Club squad and is expected to play a significant role.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Skade · out

Daniel Vivian is expected to return in approximately 14 days.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · fit

Iñaki Williams is capable of playing as a winger or a second striker.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · doubtful

Gorka Guruzeta did not participate in training at the same pace as his teammates.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Unai Simón is considered a potential candidate for the best goalkeeper in the world.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · fit

Álvaro Djaló is expected to be called up for the match against Elche.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Elche CF
Form · fit

Fer Niño scored in Elche's losses against Racing de Santander and Real Sociedad.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Matías Dituro is confirmed to start in goal for Elche.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Trener · confirmed

Martín Anselmi is the current head coach of Elche.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Real Sociedad is in good condition after a productive training week following their win against Elche.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Comeback · fit

Yago Santiago is in the readaptation phase and his incorporation with the group is imminent.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Fer Niño is expected to be a key offensive player for Elche.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Matías Dituro made a significant save from Luka Sučić in the match against Real Sociedad.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · fit

Petar Sucic has the ability to change a game and is being encouraged to do so more often.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Skade · fit

Thomas Lemar had a hamstring overload this week, but has been training with the group.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · fit

Federico Redondo has taken a step forward and is expected to contribute significantly.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · fit

Thomas Lemar showed his hierarchy.

Kilde: Marca ↗
Lagoppstilling · fit

Abiel Osorio showed promising details in his debut and is expected to contribute offensively for Elche.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Viktige taktiske faktorer

  • Forventede mål 2,10 vs 1,19 fra angreps- og forsvarsrangeringer
  • Over 2,5 mål 63,9 %, begge lag scorer 61,0 %
  • Mest sannsynlige resultat 2-1 gitt hjemmeseieren

✅ Spådom revidert

Sluttresultat: 1-1. Vår AI spådde 2-1 (HOME WIN). Utfall: FEIL ❌

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