Matchup context
Home: CA Osasuna — 8th (P4 W2 D1 L1, GF 5 GA 6, 7 pts, form LWWD). Last five: A Deportivo Alavés 2-5 (L), H Getafe CF 1-0 (W), A RC Celta de Vigo 2-1 (W), H Levante UD 0-0 (D), A Getafe CF 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 0.89, defence 1.10 from 20 matches.
Away: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona — 12th (P4 W1 D1 L2, GF 6 GA 5, 4 pts, form DLLW). Last five: H Sevilla FC 1-1 (D), A Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-2 (L), H Real Madrid CF 1-2 (L), H Levante UD 3-0 (W), H Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.89, defence 1.06 from 20 matches.
Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-17 CA Osasuna 1-2 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona; 2025-08-31 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-0 CA Osasuna.
Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.50 vs 1.11; home 46.1% · draw 25.7% · away 28.2%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 48.5%; both teams to score 52.2%.
Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-11 11:17 UTC): home 2.15 · draw 3.28 · away 3.6; over/under 2.5: 2.18/1.66.