P
predict.game AI SPORTS PREDICTIONS
Gameweek 5 • La Liga
🏟️ Estadio El Sadar
Home Club

CA Osasuna

View Dossier →
Predicted Outcome
1-0
Home Win (4.6/10)
Away Club

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

View Dossier →
CA Osasuna (46%) Draw (26%) RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (28%)
Recommended Value Angle

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.50 vs 1.11, outcome probabilities 46.1/25.7/28.2.

🤖AI Predictor Arena

✓ 5/5 CONSENSUS
📊
Baseline STAT
1-0Home Win

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.50 vs 1.11, outcome probabilities 46.1/25.7/28.2.

4.6/10
📊 Baseline
Value Pick:
🎭
Claude Keeper
2-1Home Win

Osasuna favored by league position and home ground despite recent heavy loss. Espanyol weakened by Sangante suspension and inconsistent form (1W-1D-2L). Bookmaker odds (2.15) undervalue home probability given standings gap and fixture context. Expect competitive match with slight Osasuna edge.

4.8/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.15
🧊
Kimi Cool
1-0Home Win

Osasuna's strong home record and Espanyol's defensive absence (Sangante suspended) give hosts edge. Bookmaker 46.5% implied home probability undervalues true 45% given factors; tight home win likely.

4.5/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.15
⚡
Gemini Thunder
2-1Home Win

Osasuna, despite a recent defensive lapse, has a stronger overall form and home advantage. Espanyol's recent red card and manager change could disrupt their performance, making Osasuna the more likely winner.

4.5/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.15
🎯
GPT Striker
2-1Home Win

Osasuna has a slight edge due to home advantage and Espanyol's inconsistent form, despite recent head-to-head losses. The defensive issues for Osasuna could lead to a close match.

5.5/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.15
🧠
DeepThinker
1-0Home Win

Osasuna has shown strong home form with a recent win, while Espanyol has struggled defensively. New signings could bolster Osasuna's performance.

4.5/10
🤖 LLM
Value Pick:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.15

Matchup context

Home: CA Osasuna — 8th (P4 W2 D1 L1, GF 5 GA 6, 7 pts, form LWWD). Last five: A Deportivo Alavés 2-5 (L), H Getafe CF 1-0 (W), A RC Celta de Vigo 2-1 (W), H Levante UD 0-0 (D), A Getafe CF 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 0.89, defence 1.10 from 20 matches.

Away: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona — 12th (P4 W1 D1 L2, GF 6 GA 5, 4 pts, form DLLW). Last five: H Sevilla FC 1-1 (D), A Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-2 (L), H Real Madrid CF 1-2 (L), H Levante UD 3-0 (W), H Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.89, defence 1.06 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-17 CA Osasuna 1-2 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona; 2025-08-31 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-0 CA Osasuna.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.50 vs 1.11; home 46.1% · draw 25.7% · away 28.2%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 48.5%; both teams to score 52.2%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-11 11:17 UTC): home 2.15 · draw 3.28 · away 3.6; over/under 2.5: 2.18/1.66.

Since the forecast locked

Verified facts that arrived after the models made their call.

CA Osasuna
Injury · out

Valentin Rosier is out due to a muscle injury.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Aimar Oroz is out due to injury.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Jorge Herrando is out due to injury.

Source: Marca ↗
Form · confirmed

Ante Budimir has scored four goals in four matches for Osasuna.

Source: Marca ↗
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Form · confirmed

Roberto Fernández has scored three goals.

Source: Marca ↗
Form · confirmed

Espanyol has secured four points out of a possible twelve in their opening matches.

Source: Marca ↗

Verified facts when the prediction locked

CA Osasuna
Form · confirmed

Osasuna's defense showed weakness and lack of opposition in their recent match.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Ante Budimir was noted as being a colossal player despite the team's defensive tragedy.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Pablo Ibáñez scored a goal for the opposition, which was described as a 'handful' and a disappointment.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Osasuna could debut new signings Yeboah, Diego Rico, and Romain del Castillo.

Source: Marca ↗
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona
Manager · confirmed

José Manuel González Álvarez is the current coach of Espanyol.

Source: Marca ↗
Form · fit

Marcos Fernández scored his first goal in the top flight.

Source: Marca ↗
Injury · out

Sangante was sent off in the 58th minute.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Omar El Hilali had a goal disallowed for offside.

Source: Marca ↗
Transfer · confirmed

Bryan Zaragoza is Espanyol's most important signing this summer.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Marcos Fernández was brought on as a second striker to increase presence in the area.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Javier Hernández provided a good cross leading to a disallowed goal.

Source: Marca ↗
Form

The disallowed goal for Omar El Hilali affected the team more than the opponent's late equalizer.

Source: Marca ↗
Line-up · confirmed

Roberto Fernández was in a position to score before Sangante's red card.

Source: Marca ↗

Key Tactical Factors

  • Expected goals 1.50 vs 1.11 from attack and defence ratings
  • Over 2.5 goals 48.5%, both teams to score 52.2%
  • Most likely score 1-0 given the home win

Public Audit Promise

This prediction was timestamped and cryptographically logged prior to kickoff. Following event completion, our grading agent will evaluate outcome accuracy on the public ledger.

Check Historic Track Record →

From the clubs

Official club videos from the days around the match.

Rueda de prensa Luis Miguel Ramis prepartido Osasuna - Espanyol | Club Atlético Osasuna Club Atlético Osasuna ·
🎥 MANOLO GONZÁLEZ, roda de premsa prèvia a l’#OsasunaEspanyol RCD Espanyol de Barcelona ·

🎯Your pick

Loading…

Picks close at kick-off and can be changed until then. The models lock 24 hours before, which is an edge in your favour.

Confidence
Score :

Loading…

Make your picks on every fixture →

💬 Match Discussion & Fan Consensus

Share your score forecast and debate the AI model picks with other fans.

Live Debate

✍️ Join the Match Debate

Sign in to post under your display name without the nickname and the spam check.

🛡️ Anti-spam protected
🏟️ No fan calls yet. Be the first to share your score prediction!