predict.game AI 体育预测

足球比分预测

Gameweek 5 • La Liga

🏟️ Estadio El Sadar

主队

CA Osasuna

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预测赛果

1-0

Home Win (4.6/10)

2026年9月12日星期六 GMT+2 16:15

客队

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

查看球队档案 →

CA Osasuna (46%) 平局 (26%) RCD Espanyol de Barcelona (28%)

推荐价值投注

基于过往战绩的泊松分布基线：预期进球 1.50 对比 1.11，赛果概率 46.1%/25.7%/28.2%。

🤖AI专家预测擂台

✓ 5/5 共识

📊

Baseline STAT

1-0主胜

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 1.50 vs 1.11, outcome probabilities 46.1/25.7/28.2.

4.6/10

📊 基准模型

价值推介:

🎭

Claude Keeper

2-1主胜

尽管近期遭遇重创，但凭借联赛排名和主场优势，奥萨苏纳仍占优。西班牙人因桑加特的停赛和不稳定的状态（1胜1平2负）而实力受损。博彩公司赔率（2.15）低估了主胜概率，考虑到积分差距和比赛背景。预计比赛将很激烈，奥萨苏纳略占优势。

4.8/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.15

🧊

Kimi Cool

1-0主胜

奥萨苏纳强大的主场战绩和西班牙人防守端的缺失（桑加特停赛）让主队占优。博彩公司给出的 46.5% 的主胜隐含概率低估了实际的 45%，考虑到各种因素；主胜可能性很大。

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.15

⚡

Gemini Thunder

2-1主胜

奥萨苏纳，尽管近期防守出现失误，但整体状态和主场优势更强。西班牙人近期的红牌和主教练更换可能会扰乱他们的表现，使得奥萨苏纳更有可能获胜。

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.15

🎯

GPT Striker

2-1主胜

尽管近期交锋失利，但奥萨苏纳凭借主场优势和西班牙人起伏不定的状态略占优势。奥萨苏纳的防守问题可能导致比赛胶着。

5.5/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.15

🧠

DeepThinker

1-0主胜

奥萨苏纳近期主场表现强劲并取得胜利，而西班牙人则在防守端挣扎。新援的加入可能会提升奥萨苏纳的表现。

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

价值推介:CA Osasuna to win @ 2.15

Matchup context

Home: CA Osasuna — 8th (P4 W2 D1 L1, GF 5 GA 6, 7 pts, form LWWD). Last five: A Deportivo Alavés 2-5 (L), H Getafe CF 1-0 (W), A RC Celta de Vigo 2-1 (W), H Levante UD 0-0 (D), A Getafe CF 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 0.89, defence 1.10 from 20 matches.

Away: RCD Espanyol de Barcelona — 12th (P4 W1 D1 L2, GF 6 GA 5, 4 pts, form DLLW). Last five: H Sevilla FC 1-1 (D), A Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-2 (L), H Real Madrid CF 1-2 (L), H Levante UD 3-0 (W), H Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-1 (D). Rating: attack 0.89, defence 1.06 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-05-17 CA Osasuna 1-2 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona; 2025-08-31 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 1-0 CA Osasuna.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 1.50 vs 1.11; home 46.1% · draw 25.7% · away 28.2%; most likely score 1-1; over 2.5 goals 48.5%; both teams to score 52.2%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 21 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-11 11:17 UTC): home 2.15 · draw 3.28 · away 3.6; over/under 2.5: 2.18/1.66.

自预测锁定以来

模型做出预测后验证的事实。

CA Osasuna

伤病 · out

Valentin Rosier is out due to a muscle injury.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Aimar Oroz is out due to injury.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Jorge Herrando is out due to injury.

来源: Marca ↗

状态 · confirmed

Ante Budimir has scored four goals in four matches for Osasuna.

来源: Marca ↗

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

状态 · confirmed

Roberto Fernández has scored three goals.

来源: Marca ↗

状态 · confirmed

Espanyol has secured four points out of a possible twelve in their opening matches.

来源: Marca ↗

预测锁定时的已核实事实

CA Osasuna

状态 · confirmed

Osasuna's defense showed weakness and lack of opposition in their recent match.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Ante Budimir was noted as being a colossal player despite the team's defensive tragedy.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Pablo Ibáñez scored a goal for the opposition, which was described as a 'handful' and a disappointment.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Osasuna could debut new signings Yeboah, Diego Rico, and Romain del Castillo.

来源: Marca ↗

RCD Espanyol de Barcelona

主帅 · confirmed

José Manuel González Álvarez is the current coach of Espanyol.

来源: Marca ↗

状态 · fit

Marcos Fernández scored his first goal in the top flight.

来源: Marca ↗

伤病 · out

Sangante was sent off in the 58th minute.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Omar El Hilali had a goal disallowed for offside.

来源: Marca ↗

转会 · confirmed

Bryan Zaragoza is Espanyol's most important signing this summer.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Marcos Fernández was brought on as a second striker to increase presence in the area.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Javier Hernández provided a good cross leading to a disallowed goal.

来源: Marca ↗

状态

The disallowed goal for Omar El Hilali affected the team more than the opponent's late equalizer.

来源: Marca ↗

阵容 · confirmed

Roberto Fernández was in a position to score before Sangante's red card.

来源: Marca ↗

关键战术因素

根据攻防评分，预期进球 1.50 对比 1.11
大于 2.5 球 48.5%，双方均进球 52.2%
考虑到主胜，最可能比分 1-0

公开审计承诺

本预测在开赛前已通过时间戳加密记录。赛后，审计代理将在公开账本上评估预测准确性。

查看历史战绩 →

来自俱乐部

比赛期间的官方俱乐部视频。

Rueda de prensa Luis Miguel Ramis prepartido Osasuna - Espanyol | Club Atlético Osasuna Club Atlético Osasuna · 2026年9月11日

🎥 MANOLO GONZÁLEZ, roda de premsa prèvia a l’#OsasunaEspanyol RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · 2026年9月11日

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