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Gameweek 5 • La Liga

🏟️ Estadio Municipal de Anoeta

Hjemmelag

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

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Forutsagt Resultat

2-1

Home Win (4.9/10)

søndag 13. september 2026 kl. 21:00 CEST

Bortelag

Club Atlético de Madrid

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Real Sociedad de Fútbol (49%) Uavgjort (22%) Club Atlético de Madrid (29%)

Anbefalt Verdispill

Poisson-baseline fra registrerte resultater: forventede mål 2,02 vs 1,52, utfallssannsynligheter 49,4/21,5/29,1.

🤖AI-Ekspertarena

⚡ DELT BESLUTNING

📊

Baseline STAT

2-1Hjemmeseier CONTRARIAN

Poisson baseline from recorded results: expected goals 2.02 vs 1.52, outcome probabilities 49.4/21.5/29.1.

4.9/10

📊 Basismodell

Verdispill:

🎭

Claude Keeper

1-2Borteseier

Atlético Madrid favorisert til tross for lik poengsum. Sociedad svekket av skader/suspensjoner i den defensive enheten. Bookmakernes odds (2,34) impliserer 43% borteseier; kalibrert analyse antyder 41% gitt Atlético's nylige momentum og Sociedad's defensive sårbarheter. Liten borteverdi til gjeldende odds.

4.1/10

🤖 LLM

Verdispill:Club Atlético de Madrid to win @ 2.34

🧊

Kimi Cool

—Ingen svar

failed: [moonshotai/kimi-k2-0905] answer truncated at 2500 tokens

0.0/10

🤖 LLM

Verdispill:

⚡

Gemini Thunder

1-2Borteseier

Atlético Madrid har en liten fordel i form og rating. Real Sociedad's viktige suspensjon og nylige tap mot sterkere lag antyder en borteseier, til tross for deres hjemmebanefordel. Oddsen for borteseier gir verdi.

4.2/10

🤖 LLM

Verdispill:Club Atlético de Madrid to win @ 2.34

🎯

GPT Striker

1-2Borteseier

Atlético Madrid's nylige form og innbyrdes overtak, kombinert med Real Sociedad's viktige spillersuspensjon, antyder en sannsynlig borteseier.

4.5/10

🤖 LLM

Verdispill:Club Atlético de Madrid to win @ 2.34

🧠

DeepThinker

—Ingen svar

failed: score 1-1 disagrees with the most likely outcome (HOME_WIN)

0.0/10

🤖 LLM

Verdispill:

Matchup context

Home: Real Sociedad de Fútbol — 11th (P5 W2 D1 L2, GF 6 GA 8, 7 pts, form WDWLL). Last five: A Elche CF 3-2 (W), H RC Celta de Vigo 0-0 (D), H RCD Espanyol de Barcelona 2-1 (W), A Real Madrid CF 1-4 (L), A Real Betis Balompié 0-1 (L). Rating: attack 1.10, defence 1.21 from 20 matches.

Away: Club Atlético de Madrid — 8th (P4 W2 D1 L1, GF 7 GA 6, 7 pts, form LWDW). Last five: A Athletic Club 0-3 (L), A Sevilla FC 3-1 (W), H Villarreal CF 2-2 (D), H Málaga CF 2-0 (W), A Villarreal CF 1-5 (L). Rating: attack 1.11, defence 1.15 from 20 matches.

Head-to-head (last 2): 2026-03-07 Club Atlético de Madrid 3-2 Real Sociedad de Fútbol; 2026-01-04 Real Sociedad de Fútbol 1-1 Club Atlético de Madrid.

Statistical baseline (poisson-v1): expected goals 2.02 vs 1.52; home 49.4% · draw 21.5% · away 29.1%; most likely score 2-1; over 2.5 goals 68.5%; both teams to score 67.7%.

Bookmaker odds (median of 20 bookmakers, captured 2026-09-12 17:17 UTC): home 2.95 · draw 3.54 · away 2.34; over/under 2.5: 1.645/2.175.

Verifiserte fakta da tipset ble låst

Real Sociedad de Fútbol

Overgang · confirmed

Mamadou Sarr is a new signing for Real Sociedad.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Overgang · confirmed

Héctor Fort is a new signing for Real Sociedad.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Suspensjon · out

Jon Martín is suspended for Real Sociedad.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Comeback · fit

Luka Sučić scored the winning goal in the 90th minute.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Skade · out

Jon Martín received a red card and is out for the next match.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Form · confirmed

Ochieng experienced calf cramps during the match but continued playing.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Pellegrino Matarazzo asked Ochieng to perform as he used to do for Sanse.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Lagoppstilling · fit

Luka Sučić returned to the starting lineup for Real Sociedad against Elche.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Form · fit

Luka Sučić scored a goal against Real Madrid earlier in the season.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Skade · out

Pablo Marín is out due to injury.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Skade · out

Álvaro Odriozola is out due to injury.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Form · fit

Yangel Herrera has participated in all five official Real Sociedad matches this season, starting four of them.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Club Atlético de Madrid

Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Julián Álvarez was in Atlético's starting lineup for the first time this season.

Kilde: The Guardian ↗

Skade · fit

Marcos Llorente scored Atlético's goal.

Kilde: The Guardian ↗

Form · confirmed

Jan Oblak conceded the winning goal for Atletico Madrid against Liverpool.

Kilde: BBC Sport ↗

Form · confirmed

Marcos Llorente scored the opening goal for Atletico Madrid against Liverpool.

Kilde: BBC Sport ↗

Form · confirmed

Óskarsson and Barrenetxea have started the season well, scoring in the win against Espanyol.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Overgang · confirmed

Julián Álvarez continues at Atlético de Madrid.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Lagoppstilling · confirmed

Ademola Lookman was introduced to add an extra dimension to Atlético's attack.

Kilde: The Guardian ↗

Lagoppstilling · fit

Pellegrino Matarazzo may choose to start Luka Sucic on one of the wings instead of Kubo.

Kilde: Marca ↗

Viktige taktiske faktorer

Forventede mål 2,02 vs 1,52 fra angreps- og forsvarsrangeringer
Over 2,5 mål 68,5%, begge lag scorer 67,7%
Mest sannsynlige resultat 2-1 gitt hjemmeseieren

Offentlig Revisjonsgaranti

Denne prognosen ble tidsstemplet og kryptografisk logget før avspark. Etter kampen evaluerer vår revisjonsagent treffsikkerheten i det offentlige revisjonsregisteret.

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Fra klubbene

Offisielle klubbvideoer fra dagene rundt kampen.

HIGHLIGHTS | 3ª RFEF 26-27 | J2 | Real Sociedad C 2-0 Lagun Onak FT | Zubieta Real Sociedad TV · 12. sep. 2026

🎙️ SIMEONE | Rueda de prensa de Simeone previa al Real Sociedad-Atlético de Madrid | LALIGA J5 Atlético de Madrid · 12. sep. 2026

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