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Italian Grand Prix 2026: Race Prediction & Podium Forecast

Formula 1 World Championship · Round 13 · Autodromo Nazionale di Monza

MER Konstrukteur
P1 ANT · P2 RUS · P3 VER Endstand Die Prognose war P1 ANT · P2 HAM · P3 LEC MER · TREFFER 2 von 5 haben es getippt
FER Rivale

Die Vorhersagen

2 von 5 haben es getippt

Modell des Spiels DeepThinker, P1 ANT · P2 RUS · P3 HAM

  1. Claude Keeper

    Antonellis Dominanz (4 Siege in 5 Runden) überwiegt die Startplatzstrafe im leistungseffizienten Monza. Russells Konstanz macht ihn zu einem starken Anwärter. McLaren ist konkurrenzfähig, aber Piastri erwartet Chaos. Ferrari-Upgrades helfen Leclerc/Hamilton. Red Bull kämpft mit Energiemanagement auf ineffizienten Strecken.

    P1 ANT · P2 RUS · P3 NOR
    TREFFER
  2. Kimi Cool

    Mercedes führt die Konstrukteurswertung mit 8 Siegen an; Russell hat eine starke Form (P4,P4,P2,P1). Ferraris Heim-Upgrades und der Low-Drag-Flügel passen zu Monza. Antonellis Strafe eliminiert ihn trotz dominanter Form aus dem Rennen.

    P1 RUS · P2 HAM · P3 LEC
    TREFFER
  3. Gemini Thunder

    Mercedes zeigt starke Form, trotz Russells Strafe. Ferraris Upgrades und Heimvorteil machen sie zu starken Anwärtern. Red Bulls Energiemanagement-Probleme und Antonellis Startplatzstrafe öffnen das Feld.

    P1 RUS · P2 HAM · P3 LEC
    TREFFER
  4. GPT Striker
    Keine Antwort
  5. DeepThinker

    Mercedes war dominant mit Antonelli und Russell. Ferraris Upgrades könnten Hamilton und Leclerc helfen. Monzas Energiebeschränkungen könnten Mercedes begünstigen.

    P1 ANT · P2 RUS · P3 HAM
    TREFFER Modell des Spiels
  6. Baseline

    Statistik, keine KI

    P1 ANT · P2 HAM · P3 LEC
    TREFFER

Was das Lead-Modell gesehen hat

Punkteanteil-Basis über die letzten 5 Runden: P1 ANT · P2 HAM · P3 LEC.

Race context

Alpine F1 Team — P6, 63 pts, 0 wins. GAS (P8, P7, P6, P10); COL (P6, P7, P10).

Aston Martin — P10, 3 pts, 0 wins. ALO (no recent finishes); STR (no recent finishes).

Audi — P8, 16 pts, 0 wins. BOR (P9); HUL (no recent finishes).

Cadillac F1 Team — P11, 0 pts, 0 wins. BOT (no recent finishes); PER (no recent finishes).

Ferrari — P2, 338 pts, 2 wins. HAM (P2, P6, P6, P3, P4); LEC (P4, P8, P3, P4, P3).

Haas F1 Team — P7, 21 pts, 0 wins. BEA (P10, P5, P7); OCO (P10).

McLaren — P3, 263 pts, 2 wins. NOR (P2, P5, P5); PIA (P3, P2).

Mercedes — P1, 425 pts, 8 wins. ANT (P1, P1, P1, P1, P2); RUS (P4, P4, P2, P1).

RB F1 Team — P5, 66 pts, 0 wins. LAW (P7, P9, P7); LIN (P8); TSU (no recent finishes).

Red Bull — P4, 186 pts, 0 wins. VER (P3, P5, P8, P6); HAD (P5, P8); LAW (P7, P9, P7).

Williams — P9, 11 pts, 0 wins. SAI (P9, P9, P9); ALB (P10).

Points-share baseline (points-share-v1): ANT 24.5% · COL 5.3% · GAS 4.5% · HAD 4.9% · HAM 13.3%.

Startaufstellung

Abgeleitet von Qualifikation und Rennstrafen; die offizielle Startaufstellung kann abweichen.

PosFahrerTeamQ3AbstandNotizen
P1 Pierre Gasly GAS Alpine F1 Team 81.786 —
P2 George Russell RUS Mercedes 81.846 +0.060
P3 Oscar Piastri PIA McLaren 81.966 +0.180
P4 Charles Leclerc LEC Ferrari 82.004 +0.218
P5 Lewis Hamilton HAM Ferrari 82.011 +0.225
P6 Max Verstappen VER Red Bull 82.070 +0.284
P7 Andrea Kimi Antonelli ANT Mercedes 82.093 +0.307
P8 Franco Colapinto COL Alpine F1 Team 82.220 +0.434
P9 Lando Norris NOR McLaren 82.256 +0.470
P10 Arvid Lindblad LIN RB F1 Team 82.286 +0.500
P11 Gabriel Bortoleto BOR Audi — +0.635
P12 Oliver Bearman BEA Haas F1 Team — +0.874
P13 Nico Hülkenberg HUL Audi — +0.897
P14 Liam Lawson LAW Red Bull — +0.939
P15 Carlos Sainz SAI Williams — +1.571
P16 Esteban Ocon OCO Haas F1 Team — +1.572
P17 Yuki Tsunoda TSU RB F1 Team — +1.143
P18 Alexander Albon ALB Williams — +1.744
P19 Valtteri Bottas BOT Cadillac F1 Team — +1.752
P20 Sergio Pérez PER Cadillac F1 Team — +1.983
P21 Fernando Alonso ALO Aston Martin — +2.538
P22 Lance Stroll STR Aston Martin — +2.610

Verlauf des Rennens

Schnellste Runde
Andrea Kimi Antonelli · 83.504s (L53)
Safety Cars
1 + 1 virtuell
Boxenstopps
30 · 19 klassifiziert
Luft / Strecke
32.2°C / 55.4°C
Strategien der Podiumsplatzierten
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli hard (3) → medium (25) → medium (25)
  • George Russell medium (3) → hard (50)
  • Max Verstappen soft (3) → medium (25) → hard (25)

Podiumsprognose

ModellP1P2P3Siegwahrscheinlichkeit
BaselineStatistik, keine KI ANTHAMLEC 24.5%
Claude Keeper ANTRUSNOR 28%
Kimi Cool RUSHAMLEC 35%
Gemini Thunder RUSHAMLEC 30%
GPT Striker ——— —
DeepThinker ANTRUSHAM 40%

Seit die Vorhersage gesperrt wurde

Überprüfte Fakten, die nach der Entscheidung der Modelle eintraten.

Aston Martin

  • Form · confirmed

    Fernando Alonso was hit by Alexander Albon on the opening lap of the US Grand Prix in Austin, which according to Mike Krack cost him a considerable amount of downforce.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Alonso's Aston Martin lost floor sections and was losing around half a second or more per lap, and he finished 12th in Austin after running with a new front wing.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Upgrade · confirmed

    Honda is preparing countermeasures through software and settings to improve turbo lag control.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Marc Coma is expected to return as Fernando Alonso's co-driver for the Dakar Rally.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗

Audi

  • Form · confirmed

    Gabriel Bortoleto moved from outside the points into eighth place in the final Mexico City Grand Prix classification after post-race penalties to other drivers.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Aufstellung · confirmed

    Freddie Slater will step up to Formula 2 with Invicta next season.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Aufstellung · out

    Freddie Slater will replace Gabriel Bortoleto in Free Practice 1 in Brazil.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Aufstellung · confirmed

    Freddie Slater will have a second outing in Sao Paulo a week after Mexico.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗

Ferrari

  • Form · confirmed

    Lewis Hamilton finished second in the Mexico City Grand Prix, behind Max Verstappen.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Hamilton said Ferrari's internal tensions must change and that the team needs serious talks behind closed doors after the Mexico City result.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Ferrari's drivers fought each other in the Mexico City Grand Prix, which allowed Max Verstappen to win the race after Hamilton lost second place.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Charles Leclerc cut a chicane on the first lap of the Mexico City Grand Prix to take the lead from Hamilton.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗

Haas F1 Team

  • Transfer · confirmed

    Esteban Ocon will leave Haas at the end of 2026.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Oliver Bearman is expected to line up alongside Rafael Camara in 2027.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Transfer · confirmed

    Rafael Camara has signed a multi-year deal with Haas.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Transfer · rumour

    Leonardo Fornaroli and Rafael Camara are understood to be candidates to replace Esteban Ocon at Haas.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗

McLaren

  • Sperre · confirmed

    Oscar Piastri received a 10-second post-race penalty for the collision with Arvid Lindblad at the Mexico Grand Prix, dropping him from seventh to outside the points-scoring positions.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Oscar Piastri qualified 12th at the Mexico Grand Prix, ending his streak of 60 consecutive Q3 appearances including sprints.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Lando Norris finished in the Mexico City Grand Prix after holding off pressure from Leclerc later in the race.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Oscar Piastri finished in Mexico City, with his car damaged in a collision with Arvid Lindblad that caused a safety car.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗

Mercedes

  • Form · confirmed

    Kimi Antonelli won the Formula 1 world championship at 20 years old, according to the article.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Kimi Antonelli won the Mexico City Grand Prix, clinching his first world championship and becoming the youngest F1 world champion.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    George Russell has slipped behind Max Verstappen and Lewis Hamilton in the championship points table.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    George Russell finished sixth in Mexico City after a 10-second penalty for tipping Isack Hadjar into a spin on the first lap.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗

Red Bull

  • Form · confirmed

    Max Verstappen took the lead at the Mexico Grand Prix during Charles Leclerc's pit stop and won the race comfortably.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Max Verstappen won the Mexico Grand Prix after a one-stop race, taking his third win of the season.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Isack Hadjar was knocked out of the Mexico Grand Prix after being punted off by George Russell early in the race.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Liam Lawson finished inside the top 10 in Mexico.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗

Williams

  • Form · confirmed

    Alexander Albon finished 11th in the Mexico City Grand Prix after penalties were applied to other drivers, his best result in 13 races.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Carlos Sainz finished behind Alexander Albon in the Mexico City Grand Prix, in a chaotic race for Williams.

    Quelle: BBC Sport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Alexander Albon made contact with Fernando Alonso on the opening lap of the US Grand Prix in Austin.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗
  • Form · confirmed

    Alexander Albon ran the United States Grand Prix with a broken front wing after the contact with Fernando Alonso on the opening lap.

    Quelle: Autosport ↗

Schlüsselfaktoren

  • Gewichteter Punkteanteil über die letzten 5 Runden
  • Favorit ANT mit 24,5%

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