Round 13 • Formula 1 World Championship
🏟️ Autodromo Nazionale di Monza
コンストラクター

Mercedes

チーム情報を見る →
フルタイム
P1 ANT · P2 RUS · P3 VER
✅ HIT AIピック P1 ANT · P2 HAM · P3 LEC
ライバル

Ferrari

チーム情報を見る →
Mercedes (25%) Ferrari (13%)
推奨バリューアングル

Points-share baseline over the last 5 rounds: P1 ANT · P2 HAM · P3 LEC.

🧠
🏆 試合のモデル
DeepThinker P1 ANT · P2 RUS · P3 HAM
的中!
5/5

🤖AI予測アリーナ

的中! 5/5
📊
Baseline STAT
P1 ANT · P2 HAM · P3 LECホーム勝利✅ HIT

Points-share baseline over the last 5 rounds: P1 ANT · P2 HAM · P3 LEC.

2.5/10
📊 ベースライン
バリューピック:
🎭
Claude Keeper
P1 ANT · P2 RUS · P3 NORホーム勝利✅ HIT

Antonelli's dominance (4 wins in 5 rounds) outweighs grid penalty at power-efficient Monza. Russell's consistency makes him strong contender. McLaren competitive but Piastri expects chaos. Ferrari upgrades help Leclerc/Hamilton. Red Bull struggles with energy management on inefficient tracks.

2.8/10
🤖 LLM
バリューピック:
🧊
Kimi Cool
P1 RUS · P2 HAM · P3 LECホーム勝利✅ HIT

Mercedes leads constructors with 8 wins; Russell has strong recent form (P4,P4,P2,P1). Ferrari's home upgrades and low-drag wing suit Monza. Antonelli's penalty eliminates him from contention despite dominant form.

3.5/10
🤖 LLM
バリューピック:
Gemini Thunder
P1 RUS · P2 HAM · P3 LECホーム勝利✅ HIT

Mercedes shows strong form, despite Russell's penalty. Ferrari's upgrades and home advantage make them strong contenders. Red Bull's energy management issues and Antonelli's grid penalty open up the field.

3.0/10
🤖 LLM
バリューピック:
🎯
GPT Striker
ホーム勝利✅ HIT

failed: unknown driver id HAM

0.0/10
🤖 LLM
バリューピック:
🧠
DeepThinker
P1 ANT · P2 RUS · P3 HAMホーム勝利 🏆 試合のモデル✅ HIT

Mercedes has been dominant with Antonelli and Russell. Ferrari's upgrades may help Hamilton and Leclerc. Monza's energy restrictions could favor Mercedes.

4.0/10
🤖 LLM
バリューピック:

Race context

Alpine F1 Team — P6, 63 pts, 0 wins. GAS (P8, P7, P6, P10); COL (P6, P7, P10).

Aston Martin — P10, 3 pts, 0 wins. ALO (no recent finishes); STR (no recent finishes).

Audi — P8, 16 pts, 0 wins. BOR (P9); HUL (no recent finishes).

Cadillac F1 Team — P11, 0 pts, 0 wins. BOT (no recent finishes); PER (no recent finishes).

Ferrari — P2, 338 pts, 2 wins. HAM (P2, P6, P6, P3, P4); LEC (P4, P8, P3, P4, P3).

Haas F1 Team — P7, 21 pts, 0 wins. BEA (P10, P5, P7); OCO (P10).

McLaren — P3, 263 pts, 2 wins. NOR (P2, P5, P5); PIA (P3, P2).

Mercedes — P1, 425 pts, 8 wins. ANT (P1, P1, P1, P1, P2); RUS (P4, P4, P2, P1).

RB F1 Team — P5, 66 pts, 0 wins. LAW (P7, P9, P7); LIN (P8); TSU (no recent finishes).

Red Bull — P4, 186 pts, 0 wins. VER (P3, P5, P8, P6); HAD (P5, P8); LAW (P7, P9, P7).

Williams — P9, 11 pts, 0 wins. SAI (P9, P9, P9); ALB (P10).

Points-share baseline (points-share-v1): ANT 24.5% · COL 5.3% · GAS 4.5% · HAD 4.9% · HAM 13.3%.

スタートグリッド

予選とレースコントロールのペナルティから派生。公式グリッドとは異なる場合があります。

ドライバーチームQ3備考
P1 Pierre Gasly GAS Alpine F1 Team 81.786
P2 George Russell RUS Mercedes 81.846 +0.060
P3 Oscar Piastri PIA McLaren 81.966 +0.180
P4 Charles Leclerc LEC Ferrari 82.004 +0.218
P5 Lewis Hamilton HAM Ferrari 82.011 +0.225
P6 Max Verstappen VER Red Bull 82.070 +0.284
P7 Andrea Kimi Antonelli ANT Mercedes 82.093 +0.307
P8 Franco Colapinto COL Alpine F1 Team 82.220 +0.434
P9 Lando Norris NOR McLaren 82.256 +0.470
P10 Arvid Lindblad LIN RB F1 Team 82.286 +0.500
P11 Gabriel Bortoleto BOR Audi +0.635
P12 Oliver Bearman BEA Haas F1 Team +0.874
P13 Nico Hülkenberg HUL Audi +0.897
P14 Liam Lawson LAW Red Bull +0.939
P15 Carlos Sainz SAI Williams +1.571
P16 Esteban Ocon OCO Haas F1 Team +1.572
P17 Yuki Tsunoda TSU RB F1 Team +1.143
P18 Alexander Albon ALB Williams +1.744
P19 Valtteri Bottas BOT Cadillac F1 Team +1.752
P20 Sergio Pérez PER Cadillac F1 Team +1.983
P21 Fernando Alonso ALO Aston Martin +2.538
P22 Lance Stroll STR Aston Martin +2.610

レース展開

ファステストラップ
Andrea Kimi Antonelli · 83.504s (L53)
セーフティカー
1 + 1 バーチャル
ピットストップ
30 · 19 完走
気温 / 路面温度
32.2°C / 55.4°C
表彰台の戦略
  • Andrea Kimi Antonelli hard (3) → medium (25) → medium (25)
  • George Russell medium (3) → hard (50)
  • Max Verstappen soft (3) → medium (25) → hard (25)

表彰台予想

予測者P1P2P3優勝確率
📊Baseline📊 ANTHAMLEC 24.5%
🎭Claude Keeper ANTRUSNOR 28%
🧊Kimi Cool RUSHAMLEC 35%
Gemini Thunder RUSHAMLEC 30%
🎯GPT Striker
🧠DeepThinker ANTRUSHAM 40%

予想ロック後

モデルが予想を確定した後に判明した事実。

Audi
出場停止 · rumour

Audi has notified the FIA of its intention to appeal against Yuki Tsunoda's non-penalty in the Italian Grand Prix.

出典: Autosport ↗
出場停止 · fit

Gabriel Bortoleto would have gained a point in Monza if Yuki Tsunoda had been handed a penalty.

出典: Autosport ↗
Ferrari
調子 · rumour

Charles Leclerc had a difference in power delivery from lap one to lap two.

出典: BBC Sport ↗
調子 · confirmed

Lewis Hamilton was involved in an incident with Charles Leclerc on the first lap of the Italian Grand Prix.

出典: BBC Sport ↗
監督 · confirmed

Fred Vasseur will talk to his drivers before discussing the team's issues in the media.

出典: BBC Sport ↗
監督 · confirmed

Ferrari's team principal Fred Vasseur met with both drivers at Monza before the race.

出典: Autosport ↗
McLaren
調子 · confirmed

Oscar Piastri had 11 podiums from the first 13 rounds last season and was 16 points ahead of Lando Norris.

出典: Autosport ↗
調子 · confirmed

Oscar Piastri finished fifth in the Italian Grand Prix.

出典: Autosport ↗
調子 · confirmed

Lando Norris finished fourth in the Italian Grand Prix.

出典: Autosport ↗
監督 · confirmed

Andrea Stella is the Team Principal for McLaren.

出典: Autosport ↗
Mercedes
アップグレード · confirmed

Mercedes has improved from a midfield team to a title-contending team in the current season.

出典: Autosport ↗
調子 · confirmed

George Russell is 66 points behind teammate Kimi Antonelli in the F1 standings.

出典: Autosport ↗
調子 · confirmed

Kimi Antonelli has shown a significant leap in results in the current season after struggling in his debut year.

出典: Autosport ↗
調子 · confirmed

George Russell was leading the Italian Grand Prix on hard tyres when a virtual safety car was deployed.

出典: BBC Sport ↗
Red Bull
調子 · confirmed

Max Verstappen finished third in the Italian Grand Prix.

出典: BBC Sport ↗
予想ラインナップ · confirmed

Yuki Tsunoda gets another race with Racing Bulls.

出典: Autosport ↗
怪我 · fit

Isack Hadjar sustained a wrist fracture at the end of the summer break while boxing.

出典: Autosport ↗
予想ラインナップ · confirmed

Liam Lawson will return to the RB22 to partner Max Verstappen.

出典: Autosport ↗

主要な戦術的要因

  • Weighted points share over the last 5 rounds
  • Favourite ANT at 24.5%

✅ 予測監査済み

最終スコア: P1 ANT · P2 RUS · P3 VER. 当社のAIが予測しました P1 ANT · P2 HAM · P3 LEC (HOME WIN). 結果: 正解 ✅

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