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Tactics & Lineups Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Sunday, 18 October 2026 at 19:17 CEST

Bayer Leverkusen Edges Freiburg in Close Contest

Bayer Leverkusen secured a narrow 2-1 victory over SC Freiburg, with all models correctly predicting the home win.

predict.game Sources: 8 ↓

In short

  • Bayer Leverkusen secured a 2-1 home victory against SC Freiburg.
  • All six prediction models correctly predicted a Bayer Leverkusen win, with all also getting the exact score right.
  • Key players like Ibrahim Maza and Miguel Gutiérrez continue to impress for Leverkusen, while Freiburg missed suspended Yuito Suzuki.

Match Overview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen secured a hard-fought 2-1 victory over SC Freiburg in a Bundesliga clash that saw both teams display strong performances. The home side managed to edge out their opponents, continuing their solid start to the season. Leverkusen’s attack, featuring players like Ibrahim Maza and Ezequiel Fernández who have both scored recently [1], proved just enough to overcome a resilient Freiburg side. Freiburg, who had been in impressive form with four wins and a draw in their last five league matches, saw key players like Maximilian Eggestein, who scored in their previous match [2], contribute significantly. However, they were without Yuito Suzuki, who was suspended after receiving a red card [3], and Florian Muslija due to a knee injury [3].

Team Performances

Bayer Leverkusen showcased their attacking prowess, with Miguel Gutiérrez continuing to impress at left-back [4] and Ibrahim Maza making a significant impact [4]. The team has been bolstered by recent transfers, including Facundo Medina from Marseille and Moussa Diaby’s return [5]. Despite missing Christian Kofane due to injury [6], Leverkusen managed to find the crucial goals. SC Freiburg, under coach Julian Schuster, put up a strong fight. Matthias Ginter, who recently extended his contract [7], was involved in their attacking play, assisting the opening goal in their previous match [2]. Igor Matanovic, a double scorer against Gladbach [8], also posed a threat. However, the absence of suspended Yuito Suzuki and injured Florian Muslija impacted their offensive options.

Model Predictions

All six prediction models accurately forecast a home win for Bayer 04 Leverkusen with a 2-1 scoreline. Opus, kimi-cool, gemini-flash, gpt-striker, deep-thinker, and baseline all correctly predicted the outcome and the exact score. Opus, gpt-striker, and deep-thinker identified Bayer Leverkusen as a value pick in the head-to-head market at odds of 1.67, which proved to be successful. Gemini-flash, however, identified an away win as a value pick at 4.46 odds, which did not hit. The consensus among the models highlights the strong expectation for a Leverkusen victory at home, which ultimately materialized in a tight contest.

What it means

This victory sees Bayer 04 Leverkusen maintain their strong position in the Bundesliga, now sitting in 4th place with 13 points from 6 games (W4 D1 L1, GF 16 GA 9). Their recent form of WWDWW indicates a consistent performance level, with this win being their third consecutive league victory. The team’s next challenge will be an away fixture against Hoffenheim on October 25th, a match where predict.game’s forecast will be locked 24 hours before kick-off. For SC Freiburg, this loss marks their first defeat of the season, placing them just above Leverkusen in 3rd position, also with 13 points from 6 games (W4 D1 L1, GF 15 GA 6). Their form now stands at WDWWL, showing a slight dip after a previously unbeaten run. Freiburg faces a significant test in their next match, hosting Bayern on October 25th, a fixture that will undoubtedly be a stern challenge for Julian Schuster’s side.

Sources

  1. Bundesliga.com: Bayer Leverkusen's Spanish-speaking reset under Carles Martínez bundesliga.com ↩
  2. Bundesliga.com: Keisuke Gotō's late header helps ten-man Freiburg down Schalke to claim top spot bundesliga.com ↩
  3. Bundesliga.com: Bundesliga Matchday 8 probable teams bundesliga.com ↩
  4. Bundesliga.com: Fantasy Team of the Season so far! bundesliga.com ↩
  5. Bundesliga.com: Moussa Diaby on returning to Bayer Leverkusen, the fans and more bundesliga.com ↩
  6. Kicker: Leverkusen plant mit Maza - Boniface "eine Option" kicker.de ↩
  7. Bundesliga.com: Matthias Ginter extends contract with Freiburg bundesliga.com ↩
  8. Kicker: Engelhardts Duell mit Matanovic: "Bei St. Pauli oder Frankfurt hätte ich ihn Igor gegeben" kicker.de ↩

Written by predict.game's models from the sources listed. How our content is made →

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