Team News and Injury Updates
Torino FC enters this fixture with some positive news on the injury front, as striker Che Adams is expected to return for the visit of Udinese on October 12th [1]. Adams had been sidelined with a low-grade adductor strain in his left thigh. His potential return could provide a much-needed boost to Torino’s attack, which has managed only five goals in five league matches so far. Other players like Cesare Casadei, Niccolò Fortini, Pietro Comuzzo, and Alessio Cacciamani are also listed as potential players for Torino FC and are fit for selection [2]. Former Torino and Italy forward Andrea Belotti, who previously played for the club, is not involved in this fixture [3].
Udinese Calcio, on the other hand, is facing a more challenging situation with several key players out due to injury. Jakub Piotrowski is set to miss around two months after undergoing heart surgery to correct a benign arrhythmia [4]. Striker Idrissa Gueye is also a long-term absentee, having undergone surgery for an ankle fracture that will keep him out for three months [5]. Additionally, Nicolò Zaniolo withdrew from the Italy squad due to a muscular problem and is out for this match [5]. David Alaba, a recent free-agent signing, has paused his international duty to focus on his new club but is currently out [6]. Coach Kosta Runjaić was a significant factor in Alaba’s decision to join Udinese, and Alaba has been training hard despite being without a club previously [6]. Jesper Karlstrom, who scored for Udinese in a previous match, is expected to be in the starting lineup [7]. Matteo Palma and Oumar Solet, who had previously sustained injuries, are expected to return to action [8].
Recent Form and Head-to-Head
Both Torino FC and Udinese Calcio have endured a difficult start to their Serie A campaigns, with identical records of one win, one draw, and three losses from their opening five matches. Torino currently sits in 15th position with 4 points, having scored 5 goals and conceded 8. Their recent form shows a mixed bag of results: a 1-1 draw against Bologna, a 2-0 loss to AS Roma, a 2-1 victory over ACF Fiorentina, and losses to US Sassuolo Calcio (2-1) and AC Milan (2-1). Playing at home, Torino will be looking to leverage their advantage at the Stadio Olimpico di Torino.
Udinese is just one spot above Torino in 14th place, also with 4 points, but with a slightly better goal difference, having scored 8 goals and conceded 11. Their recent form includes a 1-0 loss to Cagliari, a high-scoring 5-3 defeat against FC Internazionale Milano, a 2-1 loss to SS Lazio, a 3-2 win against AC Monza, and a 1-1 draw with Como 1907. The head-to-head record between these two teams in their last two encounters is split: Udinese secured a 2-0 home victory in May 2026, while Torino won 2-1 at home in January 2026. This suggests that home advantage could play a significant role in this fixture.
Match Predictions
Predict.game’s models are largely in agreement, forecasting a home win for Torino FC. The baseline Poisson model predicts a 2-1 home win, with probabilities of 37.7% for a home victory, 24.7% for a draw, and 37.6% for an away win. This model suggests an expected goals tally of 1.46 for both home and away teams. Other models, including Opus, Kimi-Cool, Gemini-Flash, gpt-striker, and Deep-Thinker, also lean towards a Torino victory. Opus and Kimi-Cool both predict a 1-0 home win, with home win probabilities of 42.0%. Gemini-Flash and gpt-striker both forecast a 2-1 home win, with gpt-striker giving Torino a 45.0% chance of winning and Gemini-Flash at 40.0%. Deep-Thinker also aligns with a 1-0 home win and a 45.0% probability for Torino. The consensus across these models highlights Torino’s home advantage and Udinese’s extensive injury list as key factors. The return of Che Adams for Torino is seen as a boost to their attacking capabilities, while Udinese’s numerous absentees, including key players like Piotrowski, Gueye, and Zaniolo, are expected to weaken their squad significantly. Despite both teams’ poor form, the models suggest that Torino has a slight edge in this encounter.
What it means
Torino FC currently sits in 15th place in the league table with 4 points from 5 games, a record of 1 win, 1 draw, and 3 losses. Their form, represented as DLWLL, indicates a struggle for consistency, with only one win in their last five outings. They have scored 5 goals and conceded 8. This upcoming fixture against Udinese, who are just above them in 14th with an identical points tally and a form of LLLWD, presents a crucial opportunity. A win for Torino would allow them to climb above Udinese and potentially distance themselves from the relegation zone, offering a much-needed boost in confidence and momentum. Conversely, a loss would see them drop further down the table, intensifying the pressure on coach Ignazio Abate and the squad. The next fixture is vital for Torino to improve their standing and demonstrate their capability to compete in Serie A.
Sources
- Football Italia: Torino push for Adams renewal with contract entering final year football-italia.net ↩
- Football Italia: Newspaper names 37 Italy youngsters to bring back major tournament success football-italia.net ↩
- Football Italia: Ex-Torino and Italy forward Belotti joins Serie B side Modena football-italia.net ↩
- Football Italia: After McTominay, Udinese player Piotrowski also needs heart surgery football-italia.net ↩
- Football Italia: Official: Udinese striker Gueye out for 3 months after surgery football-italia.net ↩
- Football Italia: Alaba: ‘Runjaic convinced me to join Udinese, I feel good and ready to play’ football-italia.net ↩
- Football Italia: Lazio’s Gattuso looks ahead after Udinese win: ‘I hope to take points from Milan, the club of my heart’ football-italia.net ↩
- Football Italia: How former Bayern and Real Madrid star Alaba will fit at Udinese football-italia.net ↩
